Arsenal – Chelsea Tip Premier League, Matchday 3 on Sunday, 06/09/26 at 17:30 CET
For Xabi Alonso, the moment of truth is getting closer and closer. Because on Sunday in the late afternoon I will find out whether I am right with my Arsenal Chelsea tip after he and his Blues have undergone the first real endurance test of the season.
Arsenal are unbeaten against Chelsea since August 2021 (8 wins). In addition, there is simply a little more substance behind the Gunners’ last appearances. The 1-0 win at Aston Villa, in which the opponent’s attack did not come into its own at all, is a good example of this!
Arsenal vs. Chelsea AI predictions:
Of course, my digital bettor is also at the start. Because with his Arsenal Chelsea AI prediction for the top match of the Premier League, I had several data-related betting recommendations created.
Victory Arsenal without conceding a goal at odds of 3.06 is the first of the three AI picks. Personally, I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Gunners’ capable defence were to remain flawless again after the 3-0 win against Coventry and the 1-0 win against Villa.
The reigning Europa League winner even had a very low xG value of only 0.20 against their defence last week. In addition, you should not forget that Chelsea themselves have failed to score in three of their last four away games at the Etihad Stadium.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Arsenal |
Draw |
Victory Chelsea |
| 55.7% |
24.6% |
19.7% |
If you are skilled in using a betting app and would like to take a higher risk, then a 1-0 or 2-0 win for Arsenal at odds of 4.50 would also be something for you (“Tip 1 & under 2.5 goals”).
Finally, I have an AI player bet in store that concerns what may be the only scorer of this game: Bukayo Saka, who else? The Englishman could become the first player since 2020/21 to score on each of the first three Premier League matchdays of a new season.
What you need to know about Arsenal vs. Chelsea betting
- Impressive dominance in the capital: I see an enormously consolidated record in local duels with the Gunners; Arsenal are unbeaten in the last 16 London derbies (W12 D4).
- Striking result pattern at Emirates Stadium: In the home games of the home side, there is a noticeable trend in the number of goals; eight of Arsenal’s last nine home games in the league have scored an odd total number of goals.
- Guarantee for high-scoring Chelsea matches: The Blues’ matches have regularly offered a lot of offensive spectacle recently; in six of Chelsea’s last seven Premier League games, over 2.5 goals have been scored.
- Toughness in a foreign country: The guests reveal a noticeable lack of discipline on a foreign pitch; in each of Chelsea’s last three league away games, at least three players of the team saw a yellow card.



