Bundesliga 22nd matchday, Friday, 2/14/2025 at 8:30 p.m.
This is precisely where the challenge for RB Leipzig lies: gaining points alone is not enough in the long run if the aim is to participate in the premier league again!
The victory against St. Pauli was a step in the right direction, but now further wins and fewer draws must follow.
Augsburg, however, is likely to be a real test. After all, the Fuggerstadt team is currently the only team outside the top three to remain unbeaten in the last five match days. Find out whether RBL still has the upper hand in my Leipzig Augsburg betting tip!
FCA fans will be happy if their boys survive the first quarter of an hour against Leipzig without conceding a goal. In this time frame, I would not recommend you to place an Interwetten free bet on a clean sheet for the home team either.
Augsburg have already conceded five home goals in the first 15 minutes this Bundesliga season – the highest number in the league. At the same time, they have not scored a goal themselves during this period, which is also a league-wide low.
At the same time, in my Augsburg RB Leipzig prediction, I will still give you good reasons why the hosts should not go away empty-handed on Friday in terms of points.
The betting providers’ prediction?
The Augsburg RB Leipzig odds are in – and the bookies see the guests ahead, but not by much.
A price of around 3.45 for an Augsburg win shows that a home win is not completely out of the question, while 2.10 for Leipzig only indicates a slight favoritism for the Saxons.
The draw for 3.50 lies somewhere in between and could perhaps be the smartest result in the end – because Augsburg knows how to annoy favorites, and Leipzig has already shown weaknesses in such games.
KI prediction Augsburg vs RB Leipzig: That’s what ChatGPT predicts
The Augsburg RB Leipzig AI prediction from ChatGPT provided me with various suggestions during the week, which I have individually evaluated for you.
For the high risk, “Result: 1:1” is suggested at odds of 6.90. A bold, but entirely understandable Augsburg RB Leipzig tip, as the last three direct duels in the WWK Arena have each ended in a draw – 1:1, 2:2 and even 3:3.
At medium risk, the AI bets on “1st goal: Augsburg”. However, I would be cautious here, as I have already pointed out that the Fuggerstadt team have often fallen behind early lately.
On the other hand, “both score” is recommended as a safe bet at odds of 1.60. ChatGPT classifies this as very likely, but personally, I see the probability of occurrence as more likely to be around 50%.
In this case, the odds of around 1.60 would therefore be too low for me to be able to conjure up profitable football bets.
Analysis: Augsburg vs RB Leipzig
Augsburg remain unbeaten in five league games after the 0-0 draw in Mainz and are among the form teams during this period. Nevertheless, this series was only enough for 12th place, as the team had previously weakened (1 win in 8 games).
Nevertheless, a clear upward trend can be seen, which may come in time to try and attack the European Cup zone again.
At home, things have been mixed recently with two defeats in three games, albeit against Champions League teams.
Leipzig are also part of this elite group, which is why I feel that the Augsburg odds for a home win of 3.50 on average are too low for me to actually want to take this risk.
Last weekend, Leipzig stopped their negative streak with a 2-0 win over St. Pauli after four Bundesliga games without a win. Despite a weak start to the year, the team is still in fourth place, but is increasingly feeling the pressure from the chasing pack.
However, do you want to hear a really good argument as to why the Saxons could continue to struggle on Friday? RBL will have to do without captain Willi Orban at the weekend – and that could have a significant impact.
Without him in the starting lineup, Leipzig have only won one of their last six Bundesliga games.
What’s more, of all the players who have had at least 150 duels in the current season, the Hungarian has the best success rate (66%).
Odds Analysis
“Under 3.5 goals” at 1.42 may not promise a huge payout, but I consider the likelihood that many attacks on both sides will fizzle out or come to nothing to be disproportionately high.
A “draw bet” at 3.45 also offers a good risk-reward ratio and could therefore prove to be another worthwhile tip. Especially if you take another closer look at what feels like a very even balance of power.
Augsburg vs. RB Leipzig: Angstgegner par excellence!
When games against RBL are on the program, then FCA fans are filled with fear and trepidation – and who could blame them?
Augsburg have not beaten Leipzig in 16 competitive games – they have been waiting longer for a win against no other opponent (5 draws, 11 defeats).
The most recent home series is at least a glimmer of hope: the last three Bundesliga duels in Augsburg have all ended in draws. The only victory over RBL in the Bundesliga so far? A 1-0 home win in September 2017.
Augsburg against Leipzig could actually end 1-1…
I wouldn’t be shocked if FCA take between one and three points – they’re in good enough form.
As mentioned earlier, Augsburg have not lost in five Bundesliga games. The only longer winning streak under Jess Thorup was at the beginning of his tenure (six games, October to December 2023).
What’s more, with 27 points, the FCA are doing better than they have in seven years (31 points after 21 games in 2017/18). They have also had the best defense in the league so far in 2025 (only three goals conceded).
I would also not be surprised if this game – in contrast to the last four direct duels – did not break the 2.5-goal mark this time.
Because the Fuggerstadt team in particular have a clear tendency towards low-scoring games, and the statistics support this.
FC Augsburg have created the fewest big chances in the Bundesliga this season (34). So they lack offensive power.
In terms of finishes, neither team has delivered any exciting results: only Holstein Kiel (227) have taken fewer shots than Augsburg (236) and Leipzig (232).
And without their captain, who is suspended, I could well imagine that Leipzig’s tactical approach will be more defensive than usual this time.
Perhaps ChatGPT is right with its Augsburg RB Leipzig prediction and in the end it really is a 1-1 draw.
My Augsburg RB Leipzig Tip:
Augsburg will go into the home game against Leipzig with confidence, but will want to avoid falling behind early again. The hosts have stabilized recently and are relying on solid defending.
On the other hand, Leipzig will be without key defender Willi Orban, which could force Leipzig to adopt a more defensive approach.
My bet: Double chance 1X & Under 3.5 goals
