Palmeiras – Botafogo Prediction Club World Cup, Round of 16 on Saturday, 06/28/2025 at 6:00 p.m.
The FIFA Club World Cup brings us an all-Brazilian Round of 16 clash that promises to be a thriller: Palmeiras takes on Botafogo.
Both teams are among the most traditional clubs in the country and are now facing each other in a prestigious duel on the international stage.
The starting position is exciting – while Palmeiras boasts more experience on the international stage, Botafogo is relying on team spirit and fresh momentum.
In my Palmeiras Botafogo prediction, it is striking that both teams are currently in good form. Palmeiras scores with its tactical discipline and dangerous transition game.
Botafogo, on the other hand, brings pace and offensive versatility to the table, which could make for an open contest.
Many sports betting providers see Palmeiras as slight favorites, but the odds are in a range that leaves room for value bets. Individual class speaks in favor of Palmeiras, but enthusiasm speaks in favor of Botafogo.
In any case, fans can look forward to an intense match in which every mistake could make the difference…
Palmeiras – Botafogo Prediction & Betting
This is a duel with high potential for extra time, as only one of the last six competitive matches between the two teams has seen more than one goal scored.
A draw after 90 minutes is therefore a Palmeiras Botafogo tip at odds of exactly 3.00, which is always of interest in this particular matchup.
Just as interesting is an over 2.5 goals bet, which promises very attractive odds of around 2.45 at Betano Germany. After all, the last nine direct encounters have produced an average of 3.1 goals!
What you need to consider when betting on Palmeiras vs. Botafogo
- Palmeiras has the third-highest expected goals value of all non-European teams with 5.3 xG, behind only Flamengo (5.5) and Al Ahly (5.4).
- Palmeiras has scored in 19 of its last 21 games – one of the goalless games was a 0-0 draw against Botafogo on March 30, 2025.
- Botafogo finished the group stage with a goal difference of +1, despite an expected goal difference of -4.6.
- In the last meeting between the two sides in March, Palmeiras were clear favorites at odds of 1.70, while Botafogo had only a 17.4% chance of winning at odds of 5.75.
- Botafogo remained unbeaten in their last five direct encounters (3 wins, 2 draws) and scored the first goal in seven of their last eight games against Palmeiras.
- Igor Jesus scored two goals from just 0.5 xG – his winner against PSG came from a chance with only 0.13 xG and was the biggest surprise win of the tournament so far (11.1% estimated chance of winning).
Palmeiras – Botafogo: odds analysis
The Palmeiras Botafogo AI prediction convinced me exactly 66% of the time. After all, the two riskier suggestions for a successful soccer bet weren’t bad at all.
I only have a problem with the supposedly “safe” Palmeiras Botafogo tip – but let’s take it one step at a time. Let’s start with the high-risk tip and then work our way through to the supposed safety-first option.
“The game will be decided in extra time” at 5.80 is speculative, but not completely out of the blue. When two teams are evenly matched – and that’s the case here – a draw after 90 minutes is a distinct possibility. For these high odds, it’s an exciting, if somewhat bold, approach.
“Botafogo will be promoted” at 2.18 sounds more realistic. The form curve clearly favors the visitors and the spirit in the team is currently outstanding. I would actually estimate the chance of this team prevailing at around 65% – so the value is right.
I’m less convinced by the Palmeiras Botafogo tip “Both teams to score: No” at odds of 1.75. Palmeiras are strong in attack, Botafogo are dangerous on the counter – a 1-1 draw seems much more plausible than a game without either side scoring.
The best odds for Palmeiras vs. Botafogo
The odds for the Palmeiras Botafogo tip from the leading bookies show pretty clearly what we can expect here: a completely open game!
With odds of 2.35, Palmeiras is the slight favorite going into the game – that corresponds to a probability of around 42.6%.
But Botafogo is not far behind: 3.30 for the underdog means a probability of 30.3%, which shows that the team is definitely capable of pulling off a coup.
The draw is at 2.90, around 34.5% – a clear indication that these two teams are evenly matched.
While Palmeiras is traditionally considered slightly stronger, Botafogo has performed well recently – this is also reflected in the odds for the Palmeiras Botafogo tip. Neither side is clearly superior here, and that is precisely what makes it so appealing.
Anything is possible here – perfect conditions for an exciting game in which every action could make the difference.
Palmeiras vs Botafogo match analysis:
Palmeiras and Botafogo met in the Brazilian league around two months ago (0-0) – back then, the roles were clearly defined.
Palmeiras went into the game as clear favorites with odds of 1.70, while Botafogo, with odds of 5.75, had only a 17.4% chance of winning.
Since then, however, the situation has changed noticeably. Botafogo has stabilized, won important games, and now appears much more solid.
Palmeiras, meanwhile, has not always shown its usual dominance recently, which means that the balance of power has shifted noticeably ahead of the current encounter.
The signs therefore point to a completely open duel between two evenly matched teams – a game on a knife edge, in which small details could prove decisive.
Unlike in March, this time around we can expect an exciting and tactical game from Palmeiras and Botafogo, which will remain open until the final stages.
My prediction: Draw
