Borussia Mönchengladbach – Union Berlin betting tip
Precarious situation for Gladbach and Union Berlin ahead of the 31st matchday, it’s a messed up season for both teams. Union’s Champions League debut ended in the group stage with a direct exit from the European Cup and, like Borussia, they are fighting against relegation.
The teams have only bagged one three-pointer each from their last five games, Mainz are edging ever closer and Bochum should not be written off completely either. In my Gladbach Union Berlin betting tip, I assume that both teams will be successful in front of the opponent’s box. The corresponding odds are waiting at Happybet:
Only the 3:1 away win in Wolfsburg has given Gladbach some breathing space in recent weeks. However, relegation is still in jeopardy, with the cult club only having collected 31 points, two more than their upcoming opponents Union Berlin.
Following their recent win against Die Wölfe, Gladbach have again failed to pick up points in two hard-fought matches against Dortmund (1:2) and Hoffenheim (3:4). The aim in the last two home games is to win, losing against the capital is definitely forbidden
The betting providers’ forecast
Gladbach start the home game as slight favorites and have been assigned a 2.30 in the best sports betting apps, with a win bet on Union (3.08) offering a slightly higher profit in the event of success. A 3.50 is advertised for the draw.
In any case, the closely matched odds point to an exciting Sunday afternoon of soccer. The latest results confirm that Gladbach are capable of excitement
Analysis: Gladbach vs. Union Berlin
In only two of the last seven matches has a team won a game by more than one goal. However, Borussia supporters have not had much to cheer about with just one win from the last eight games.
The defense in particular is causing a few stomach aches. 60 goals conceded in 30 games – I don’t need to calculate the average with these figures. Only bottom-placed Darmstadt have conceded more.
However, the attack-oriented style of play also prevented them from losing a few points. Finally, Gladbach scored 53 goals themselves, the highest figure in the Bundesliga’s top five
Union could only dream of that this season; with 26 goals, the Irons have the weakest attack after Cologne. They have also conceded the most defeats this season, 17 behind Darmstadt, while the Hessians have lost 19 times.
Ten defeats and three draws in 15 away games, which is why in my opinion the “double chance 1X” definitely makes sense, but Merkur Bets offers just 1.36, so the bet is only possible in combination with a goal odds
Analysis of odds
Gladbach’s games have been tough this season, but the team from North Rhine-Westphalia have conceded as many goals at home as they have scored, 26:25. Union are not exactly known for their goal festivals on away trips.
With nine goals scored, the Berliners have a reputation as the weakest away attack in League One. In addition to the “Double chance 1X”, I would therefore not go for too high an over-goal shelf, just the “Over 1.5 goals”.
The combination already brings a tasty 1.77 on the betting slip, great odds for which the Merkur Bets free bet of up to 100 euros can also be redeemed. All new customers receive the free bet, the amount depends on the first deposit.
Ten times in a row, at least two balls landed in the net when Gladbach were on the pitch. The last time they drew 0-0 against Darmstadt was a little quieter, but the teams also managed a total of 34 shots in this match
Bankruptcy sequence for the Berliners
Union can’t match the goal rate, but I’m convinced that the hosts’ aggressive but also risky style of play will lead to a match with lots of open spaces.
After a 0-0 draw against Frankfurt, Union had a tough program with Leverkusen (0-1) and Bayern (1-5) ahead of them, and the Ironmen also went down in Augsburg (0-2).
Despite the miserable result of having scored only one goal in the last four games, I think the goal of both teams at 1.71 is a great bet. Union were able to carve out a few chances against their last opponents
Long injury list at Gladbach
Incidentally, Union’s last away win came in mid-February, a 0:1 against Hoffenheim. The hosts are hampered by a long injury list, with regular keeper Jonas Omlin, Maximilian Wöber, Manu Kone and Franck Honorat among those missing.
Just to name a few names in Gladbach’s bulging injury list. Julian Weigl will also have to sit out a game due to a yellow card suspension. While Borussia’s team doctors are in full swing, things are quiet at Union at the moment.
Head coach Nenad Bjelica can draw from the full squad, as the entire squad is available
Another source of encouragement for the Berliners are the recent results against Gladbach. Union have won the clash five times in a row, and Hertha BSC’s city rivals are unbeaten in seven games.
Gladbach’s only win against Union in their recent history came in mid-May 2020, a 4-1 home victory in the season after Union Berlin were promoted
In seven of nine matches, both teams scored and only once did they score less than two goals. Union celebrated a 3-1 home win in the first leg, with Kevin Volland putting Union ahead and Benedict Hollerbach and Mikkel Kaufmann putting the lid on it.
Alassane Plea only managed to score the equalizer in the final quarter of an hour. Who wins this time doesn’t really matter for my bet. I’ll reveal why the goal from both teams is the perfect bet in my conclusion:
My Gladbach Union tip:
Union are rarely able to match the brilliant moments of recent years. Meanwhile, cult coach Urs Fischer is no longer at the side. That’s another reason why I’m not overrating the one-sided 7-2-1 record between Berlin and Gladbach.
The Berliners have only scored three away from home twice this season, have the weakest offense on away trips, but have created some scoring opportunities in the last two matches and scored against Bayern.
The foals are susceptible to conceding goals, but they are much more playful in attack. Borussia scored twice as many goals as Union in 2023/2024. However, the hosts are missing some key players, which is why I opt for the goal of both teams.
My Gladbach Union Berlin prediction: Both teams will score