SV Darmstadt – 1. FC Heidenheim betting tip
0.1 % – that’s the chance of the “Lilies” avoiding relegation via the relegation play-off.
But hand on heart: the drop has been sucked. On this 31st Bundesliga matchday, I’m much more interested in every possible Darmstadt Heidenheim tip that leads to betting success.
In order to show you some worthwhile betting scenarios in this context, I have analyzed data and statistics and was able to find out some interesting information:
Did you know, for example, that this coach duel has been played more often than almost any other to date? Darmstadt coach Torsten Lieberknecht and Heidenheim coach Frank Schmidt will face each other for the 20th time in a professional league match!
In the course of this millennium, only Felix Magath and Thomas Schaaf have played against each other more often in the German professional leagues (24 times).
Lieberknecht remained unbeaten in the first 11 encounters (8 wins, 3 draws), but has lost six of the last eight games against Schmidt’s Heidenheim (1 win, 1 draw).
However, it is more meaningful data that has paved my way to a hopefully successful Darmstadt Heidenheim betting tip via the Betway app.
The forecast of the betting providers?
Even after their “sign of life” against Cologne last weekend, the German bookmakers don’t really want to trust the bottom team.
Once again, the opponents are the favorites on Sunday. The Darmstadt Heidenheim odds, which you can call up using any verified sports betting app, reveal average FCH win odds of 2.10, which are topped by SVD win odds of 3.25.
Analysis: Darmstadt vs Heidenheim
Finally, Darmstadt managed to win a Bundesliga game again last weekend, their first three-pointer since matchday 7 (!).
And even if I don’t think the Lilies will pull off the greatest comeback of all time, this 2-0 win makes it clear that the team can still spring a surprise or two.
Many players are fighting for their contracts and for a possible contract with other first division clubs, so the SVD players can be expected to continue to give their all
Heidenheim, meanwhile, haven’t done too much since their stunning 3:2 win over Bayern at the start of April and could continue to lack the motivation to give it their all in their final games of the 2023/24 season.
They have already achieved their stated goal for the season, so the fact that they have only won one of their last nine Bundesliga games is not particularly disturbing.
Furthermore, the Red & Blues are used to chasing back-to-back wins away from home. It can therefore not be ruled out that Darmstadt will also benefit from this tendency.
After all, 1. FC Heidenheim have trailed for a total of 657 minutes away from home this Bundesliga season, longer than any other team.
Quota analysis
You can certainly bet on this game in the betting shop, but the odds of 5.00 for a 0:0 or 1:1 are unbeatable in my eyes.
Heidenheim will be without the suspended Omar Haktab Traore and will therefore be more defensive-minded than usual in order to compensate for the loss of their regular defensive player.
It is also interesting to note in this context that a 1-1 draw has been the most common final result between the two clubs to date.
Of the 23 competitive matches documented to date since the 2008/09 regional league season, five have ended with this result
Duels between promoted teams in the BL usually go to the host club
SV Darmstadt and 1. FC Heidenheim have only met once before in the Bundesliga, and that was in the first half of the season, when the Brenzstadt side came out on top 3-2.
Darmstadt, however, are unbeaten in four second division home games in all competitions against FCH (3 wins, 1 draw).
But here’s a very interesting statistic: In the Bundesliga, the respective home team has won 10 of the last 15 meetings between two promoted teams (1 draw, 4 defeats).
Home win Darmstadt? No thanks!
Personally, I think the draw potential of this game is so high that it would make no sense from a rational point of view to significantly reduce the potential winnings by hedging with a double chance 1X bet.
A home win doesn’t seem possible anyway!
SV Darmstadt have only won one home game this Bundesliga season – only Greuther Fürth in the 2012/13 season (4 points) had fewer points after 15 home games in a Bundesliga season than Darmstadt this season (6).
What’s more, Darmstadt are winless in 12 home games in the Bundesliga and have lost each of their last five games!
A clean sheet should by no means be ruled out, but if goals are scored, then Darmstadt’s goal will inevitably come via the feet or head of Oscar Vilhelmsson.
The Swede has scored three goals in his last five Bundesliga appearances for SVD, making him the club’s top scorer this calendar year.
He had only scored once in the entire first half of the season.
Interesting fact for Sunday: In no game this Bundesliga season has he taken more shots (4) than in the first-round match against 1. FC Heidenheim.
If, on the other hand, you want to use the first-class Merkur Bets sports betting offer primarily to place your goal bet on Tim Kleindienst, you should know that you can hope for every minute of your bet.
Together with Harry Kane, Granit Xhaka and Tim Kleindienst, Heidenheim’s Patrick Mainka is one of four outfield players to have started all 30 games this Bundesliga season – but he is the only one not to have missed a single minute (2,700 minutes).
My Darmstadt Heidenheim tip:
I think this is a game that can only end 0:0 or 1:1.
Darmstadt are not a reliable bet for a home win at home and there is not enough footballing ability for SVD to actually win back-to-back games on Sunday.
Heidenheim, on the other hand, are already past their peak of form this season, but the Red & Blues will not let themselves go completely on Sunday.
Anything is possible in soccer, but with a view to the possible payouts, a bet like the one I personally have in mind for the promoted side would certainly be well-founded.
My Darmstadt Heidenheim betting tip is: Draw & Under 2.5 goals
