Hoffenheim – Cologne Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 6 on Friday, 10/03/2025 at 8:30 p.m.
Finding a verified betting provider with a German license is the only thing I still have to do myself. However, I take the Hoffenheim Cologne tip stored there entirely from the specifications of our reliable AI model.
Our digital betting friend has been so accurate with his predictions for the Kraichgau and Cologne games in recent weeks that I trust him a lot more than usual on the 6th Bundesliga match day.
Incidentally, the suggested home win bet is in line with my own football expertise.
Especially since TSG already achieved an impressive xG value of 2.55 on the last matchday despite a disappointing draw – twice as high as that of their opponents from Breisgau.
Want to hear a statistic that will silence every Cologne fan? TSG Hoffenheim has lost only one of its last 16 Bundesliga games against Cologne (1-3 in April 2023) and has won half of its 26 Bundesliga duels with the Billy Goats.
That gives the Kraichgau fans courage, doesn’t it? Among the current Bundesliga teams, they only have a higher win rate against FC Augsburg (54%).
Hoffenheim – Cologne Prediction & Betting
Over 2.5 goals & Both teams to score is my personal suggestion when it comes to which Hoffenheim Cologne tip best combines good odds with a high probability of success.
The TSG players concede an average of 2.2 goals per game, while the visitors from Cologne score an average of 2.0 goals. In addition, Hoffenheim have conceded at least one goal in each of their last five games.
This also makes the Over 3.5 goals option interesting at average Hoffenheim vs. Cologne odds of around 2.32. After all, this mark has already been successfully broken in 2 of the last 3 direct duels.
What you need to consider when betting on Hoffenheim vs. Cologne
- Hoffenheim scores an average of 4.00 goals per 90 minutes – only Frankfurt, Bayern, and Werder Bremen are above that in the Bundesliga.
- Cologne has a possession rate of 45.7% after five games – the third lowest in the league behind Union Berlin and Heidenheim.
- According to our AI model, there is a 60.3% probability that both teams will score and a 54% chance that there will be over 3 goals (Asian Goal Line 3.0).
- Fisnik Asllani has had 16 shots on goal so far (3.72 per 90 minutes) – only Michael Olise, Luis Diaz, and Can Uzun have had more.
Hoffenheim – Cologne: AI tip & odds analysis
My own predictions coincide with the Hoffenheim Cologne AI forecast on one point: there should be plenty of goals – regardless of whether TSG actually wins in the end.
However, the AI cleverly combines these two scenarios! The suggestion is a Hoffenheim win & Over 2.5 goals is a perfect combination, and the accompanying odds of around 2.60 completely offset the betting risk involved.
Our AI also focuses on Fisnik Asllani as the first goalscorer of the match, which could see you win around seven times your stake if successful. But be careful, because the TSG striker has scored all five of his goals in away games.
Both teams to score is a simple but reliable Hoffenheim vs. Cologne tip, which would have been successful in each of the last four direct duels at odds of around 1.50 and also has the best chances of success this time around.
The best odds for Hoffenheim vs. Cologne
Hoffenheim welcomes Cologne – a Bundesliga duel that promises speed and tactical finesse on the pitch and plenty of excitement on the betting slip.
The best odds are available at Winamax Germany and Bet365: 1.93 for a Kraichgau victory, 3.90 for a draw, and 3.55 if the Billy Goats surprise everyone with an away win.
Hoffenheim scores with controlled build-up play and home advantage, while Cologne relies on quick transitions and individual class.
Clever bettors can juggle between the strength of the favorites and the potential of the underdogs, turning their betting slip into a little odds adventure. Excitement, risk, and value—all combined in one game.
Hoffenheim vs Cologne match analysis:
This will be an interesting game, in which a wild comeback seems possible at any time. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has already picked up four points from behind this Bundesliga season – the best record in the league.
Cologne, on the other hand, has dropped five points from leads, with only Bayer 04 Leverkusen (7) being more careless.
Set pieces could be decisive in this game. Hoffenheim have conceded nine goals from set pieces so far – 82% of all goals conceded and the highest figure in the league, both in absolute terms and as a percentage.
Cologne, on the other hand, have only scored once from a set piece – the lowest figure in the league, with only 10% of their total goals coming from this source.
A lot will also happen from crosses: both Hoffenheim and Cologne have the highest success rate for offensive crosses in the Bundesliga (33% each).
Including corner kicks, Hoffenheim’s accuracy rises to 36% – the best in the league – with Cologne close behind at 34%.
So, all in all, Friday’s game is likely to be a duel in which pace, set pieces, and crosses could make the difference for both sides.
Hoffenheim form check
I trust our AI prediction, but Hoffenheim must finally make a statement in Sinsheim and learn to win a home game.
TSG is currently the weakest home team in the Bundesliga this season, with zero points and a goal difference of minus five from two home games.
1899 has never had such a poor start to the season in front of its home crowd, and the seven goals conceded after only two home games is a new negative club record.
Cologne form check
1. FC Köln is currently in a minor crisis, even though the start of the season was solid.
The Billy Goats have been winless in three Bundesliga games and have only picked up one more point since the start of the third matchday – only Augsburg (0) has picked up fewer points in the league during this period.
In addition, Cologne has just lost two competitive games in a row for the first time under Lukas Kwasniok; the last time they had a longer losing streak was in September/October 2023, when they lost four games in a row.
So it’s high time to turn things around and prevent a drop out of the top third of the table with a win in Sinsheim.
