Heidenheim – Frankfurt Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 9 on Saturday, 11/01/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
On Matchday 9 of the Bundesliga, 1. FC Heidenheim and Eintracht Frankfurt will face off in a clash of opposites. While FCH is fighting against relegation, SGE needs three points to stay in the Champions League spots.
The big thing they have in common: both teams were recently eliminated from the cup. Frankfurt lost to Dortmund (2-4 on penalties), Heidenheim lost to Hamburg (0-1).
In my Heidenheim vs. Frankfurt prediction, I assume that both teams are looking to make amends and will be on the offensive. The combination “Both teams to score & Over 2.5 goals” is available at Betano at odds of around 1.70.
Frankfurt’s statistics in particular point to a turbulent exchange of blows. Anyone who has a goal difference of 21:18 after eight match days does not think much of controlled offense.
But Heidenheim can also be expected to score at least one goal. Although FCH has won only one of its last five league games, it has only failed to score against Stuttgart (0:1) in the same period – and that game was played away.
Heidenheim – Frankfurt Prediction & Betting
Looking at it objectively, Eintracht Frankfurt is in the midst of a results crisis. The Hessians have won only two of their last eight games.
The fact that they have faced teams such as Bayern, Dortmund, Liverpool, and Atletico puts the misery into perspective. Nevertheless, in my opinion, the “double chance 1X” offers an alternative tip. The odds at Bet365 Germany are strong at around 1.90.
At the same time, I’m bringing half of my combination bet into play as a single tip. “Over 2.5 goals” is available at odds of around 1.50, which is not a bad idea given Frankfurt’s style of play.
I also find the “Heidenheim under 1.5 goals” bet interesting. Since FCH has only scored seven goals this season, it will be difficult for them to score more than one goal, even against an open Frankfurt team.
What you need to consider when betting on Heidenheim vs. Frankfurt
- Heidenheim has scored only seven goals in the current Bundesliga season – only Gladbach has scored fewer goals so far. However, Frank Schmidt’s team’s xG (expected goals) value is 11.11, which suggests that they should have scored much more often.
- Eintracht Frankfurt’s games have been real goal fests so far: an average of 4.88 goals per game – the highest in the Bundesliga and well above the league average of 3.21 goals per game.
- The combination “Both teams to score & Over 2.5 goals” has come in for all four of Frankfurt’s away games. This betting event also occurred in three of Heidenheim’s four home games.
- Jonathan Burkardt is currently scoring with impressive regularity – on average every 81 minutes. With six league goals already, the Frankfurt striker is second only to Harry Kane in the Bundesliga scoring charts.
Heidenheim – Frankfurt: AI tip & odds analysis
After the cup week, our AI model is of course back in action in the Bundesliga. So without Heidenheim Frankfurt AI prediction, nothing works at this point.
First of all, the AI recommends the 1×2 bet “Frankfurt to win” in addition to the Betano voucher. This is of course a bold prediction given SGE’s recent problems. However, the fact that the odds are close to 2.00 and Heidenheim has lost six of its first eight games of the season naturally speaks in favor of this prediction.
The AI takes a low risk with the “Both teams to score” bet at odds of around 1.50. Keep in mind that in ten of Eintracht’s last twelve games, this bet would have been successful.
Finally, you are presented with a prediction for the result. A “2-1 away win” is the second most likely result from the bookmakers’ point of view, with odds of around 9.25. Only a 1-1 draw has even lower odds (approx. 8.50).
The best odds for Heidenheim vs. Frankfurt
The odds of 1.90 in the classic 1X2 market for an away win for Frankfurt highlight the class difference between the two teams ahead of their clash on matchday nine.
Heidenheim has won only one game so far this season. After eight games, the team is only separated from Borussia Mönchengladbach at the bottom of the table.
With six defeats from eight games, Heidenheim is also the most loss-prone team in the Bundesliga – and has scored only seven goals so far.
The bookmakers are giving the hosts an Asian handicap of +0.5, which means that if Heidenheim does not lose, all bets on the home team will receive a full payout. If, on the other hand, Frankfurt wins by any score, the opposite position – Frankfurt -0.5 – will be successful.
The Asian goal line of over/under 3.25 goals is also interesting, especially in view of Frankfurt’s previous games. Eintracht’s games average 4.88 goals per game – the highest in the Bundesliga, ahead of Bayern (4.25) and Augsburg (4.00).
Seven of Frankfurt’s eight league games have exceeded the 2.5 goal mark so far. Only in the 2-0 win against St. Pauli last weekend did the game remain below this limit, meaning that “over” bettors did not receive a payout.
Heidenheim vs Frankfurt Match Analysis:
Frankfurt goes into this match with a nine-point lead over the hosts – unsurprisingly, Dino Toppmöller’s players are the clear favorites with the bookmakers.
Frank Schmidt’s team is more passive without the ball than any other team in the Bundesliga, allowing an average of 18.75 passes per defensive action (PPDA). This game plan means that Heidenheim has only 42% possession on average in the league, so the visitors are likely to dictate the pace for long periods.
Heidenheim will therefore have to rely on quick transitions and direct passes to put Frankfurt’s vulnerable defense under pressure.
Frankfurt is likely to be on the front foot for long periods, but has struggled to really control games this season.
The so-called field tilt – a value that measures territorial dominance – is 52.55%, which suggests that Heidenheim can also gain possession in dangerous areas and thus have chances to test Toppmöller’s shaky defense.
Eintracht’s games have been high-scoring so far, and that could continue this time around. The higher individual quality in attack is likely to be the deciding factor.
New signing Jonathan Burkardt has found his form since his move from Mainz – the striker has scored twice in each of the last two league games and is likely to have good chances again this time.
Heidenheim form check
Heidenheim’s early form gives cause for concern. The team narrowly escaped relegation last season via the relegation play-offs – and the signs indicate that another tough battle to stay up lies ahead.
Frank Schmidt’s team has won only one of its eight Bundesliga games and has already lost six times. The miserable start to the season means that Heidenheim is currently three points away from a safe position in the table.
Defensive problems in particular have characterized the weak start. On average, Heidenheim concedes two goals per game – only Gladbach, Augsburg, and Frankfurt have conceded more goals so far. In addition, Schmidt’s team has the third-worst defense in the league with an xGA (expected goals against) value of 15.3.
Things are no better in attack: with only seven goals scored, Heidenheim has the second-weakest attack in the Bundesliga. Coach Schmidt hopes that his team will improve their scoring ability against Frankfurt, of all teams, who have looked shaky in defense so far.
Frankfurt form check
Frankfurt has struggled for consistency in the first few months of the season. The team has not celebrated two Bundesliga wins in a row since the second matchday. Coach Dino Toppmöller knows that his team needs to improve if it wants to compete for a top-four spot again.
Offensively, Eintracht shows a lot of drive toward the goal and scores an average of 2.62 goals per league game. Toppmöller’s team is the most efficient in the Bundesliga, exceeding its xG (expected goals) value by 7.87.
Frankfurt must continue to be clinical in front of goal, but needs to improve in other areas to secure qualification for the Champions League.
In defense, however, Frankfurt has been vulnerable, conceding 18 goals in eight league games. However, according to the underlying data, Toppmöller’s team has also been unlucky – their opponents only had a cumulative xG value of 10.6.
Heidenheim’s harmless attack may favor Frankfurt, but their own defensive problems could make for an entertaining game.
