Union Berlin – Heidenheim Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 12 on Saturday, 29.11.2025 at 15:30 CET
There is really no shortage of unpleasant records and records at the bottom of the table from Heidenheim at the moment. If the team plays by far the worst season in its (still quite short) Bundesliga history, the next negative premiere is already in sight.
If Frank Schmidt’s team has never lost a Bundesliga game against the Irons so far, it could now be on Saturday. My Union Berlin Heidenheim tip is clearly in favor of a home win in any case.
In doing so, I am also taking into account the forecasts of the German betting provider, which I favor in this case, which clearly favors the Berliners on the 12th matchday of the Bundesliga.
“Favored” even sounds almost exaggerated. In any case, I can’t remember a Bundesliga game in which Steffen Baumgart’s troops started with a determined probability of success of just under 60 percent.
On closer inspection, the starting position for the Irons does not seem to be so favourable. The previous recipe for success of switching quickly with the least possession of the ball of all Bundesliga teams (33%) will hardly be effective against Heidenheim.
After the guests have been shot down several times recently, FCH’s first focus is likely to be on preventing goals – which is why Union will then have to take care of the game, completely against its nature.
If this scenario threatens to expose the offensive lack of ideas of the Köpenickers quite quickly, the hosts have a decisive trump card up their sleeve in my opinion.
No other Bundesliga team has scored more goals from stationary balls than the Irons. And such set pieces are often enough of game-deciding importance, especially in the duels between two rather offensively weak representations.
Union Berlin – Heidenheim Prediction & Betting Tips
Even if the means of play are limited, the Berliners should not lack self-confidence after four unbeaten competitive games on Saturday. From the beginning, FCU urged to draw a measurable return from the opponent’s uncertainty.
With the half-time/final score Union/Union tip, I therefore trust the hosts to take the lead at half-time – by the way, this bet would have been successful in the recent 1-0 win at St. Pauli.
Thanks to an odds boost from Oddset, 2.7 times the stake is returned in the event of success.
Nevertheless, the expected élan of the home side does not have to mean that the goal total goes through the roof. On the contrary: With odds of just under 1.90 for under 2.5 goals, you will be really well served by the bookmakers in my opinion.
From these forecasts, a nil victory for the Red and Whites is also derived with a certain inevitability. Although Union has defended more successfully in the past, the odds of 2.70 offered for it are absolutely okay!
What you need to know about Union Berlin vs Heidenheim betting
- 1. FC Heidenheim took 10 of the 12 possible points from the four Bundesliga games against Union Berlin (W3 D1) – more than against any other team. Overall, FCH have lost only one of their last 11 competitive games against the Irons (W7 D3): 0-2 in the 2nd round of the 2022/23 DFB Cup at the Alte Försterei.
- Union Berlin recently went three games unbeaten in a row for the first time this Bundesliga season (W1 D2) and celebrated their fourth BL win of the season with a 1-0 win at FC St. Pauli – the only other time the Iron have won more in the Bundesliga after the first 11 games is in 2022/23 (7).
- With five points after the first 11 Bundesliga games, 1. FC Heidenheim is playing its weakest season in the top flight – in the first two BL seasons of FCH, it was always twice as many points (10) at this point.
- Union Berlin are unbeaten in four Bundesliga home games (W1 D3), which is the longest streak under Steffen Baumgart. Only from March to May 2025 did Union go four BL home games in a row without defeat under Baumgart, the series then ended with a 0-3 against current opponents 1.
- 1. FC Heidenheim is the only team still without an away point this Bundesliga season, and five away defeats in a row are also a negative club record (as was the case most recently at the end of 2024).
Union Berlin – Heidenheim: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
“Goals or not goals” also seems to be the decisive question that our popular technical tool has been dealing with when creating the Union Berlin Heidenheim AI prediction.
The fact that artificial intelligence also assumes that the home side have the better end in the result can be seen from the forecast that Union will score at least two goals in the course of the game.
Since Heidenheim scored just two goals in five away games, over 1.5 goals for the Iron should be synonymous with the three-pointer. However, the odds of about 1.80 promised for this go a bit beyond the mere odds for a home win.
So if the Iron crack the opponent’s bulwark again and again, the prognosis for the guests is unsurprisingly a lot bleaker.
The AI forecast suggests that Heidenheim – as in the five previous away games – will once again remain without a goal in the first half. If the team from the Brenz once again refuses to score, bettors can only speculate on odds of 1.4.
When it comes to the ways and means that promise success for the favored hosts, our artificial intelligence also seems to take into account one or the other set piece hit.
The fact that Union’s defensive giant Danilho Doekhi once again appears on the table as a potential goalscorer at a strong odds of 4.20 is certainly to be understood as a reference to Berlin’s parade discipline.
The best odds for Union Berlin vs. Heidenheim
As I had already explained, the hosts have to act in an unusually clear favorite position with regard to the Union Heidenheim odds: For the home victory, there is an average of only about 1.65 times the stake back.
So it goes without saying that Heidenheim will once again make do with the well-known role of the underdog at An der Alten Försterei. If a draw is already quoted at 4.00, the only second win of the season seems to be even a good deal further away (odds approx. 5.00).
Anti-cyclical tippers should therefore actually be driven to the Heidenheimers in droves, especially since the stadium in the east of Berlin actually suits the guests excellently – only in the spring, FCH scored a sovereign 3-0 away win here.
If one or the other tipster feels compelled to place the Double Chance X2 bet due to such somewhat outdated success reports, he will be rewarded for this courage with an odds of 2.15, which is well worth considering.
Union Berlin vs Heidenheim Match Analysis:
Union Berlin are expected to be the dominant team in this match. The team ranks 17th in the Bundesliga in terms of pitch pitch, a metric that measures territorial dominance.
Heidenheim, however, is even behind the Iron in this statistic. The guests also have an ineffective attack and scored the fewest goals in the league with only eight goals in eleven games.
Since Heidenheim cannot rely on his attack, it is to be expected that Frank Schmidt will choose a risk-averse approach, especially in the early stages.
Heidenheim has the deepest average defensive line in the Bundesliga, so it will be Union Berlin’s task to crack the opposing defense.
The hosts are in the top half of the league in terms of total crosses with an average of 17.73 per game. Heidenheim’s deep defence should mean that Union has even more to offer here.
Union Berlin Form Check
Union Berlin have had their best run of the Bundesliga season with two draws and one win from their last three games.
The team is currently unbeaten in four Bundesliga home games (1 win, 3 draws) and has thus piled up the longest streak under coach Steffen Baumgart – well.
The home strength is crucial for Union Berlin, as the team picked up nine points at the An der Alten Försterei stadium, while they have only picked up six points away from home.
In September, they defeated Hoffenheim at their own stadium and put in strong performances against VfB Stuttgart (2-1) and Bayern Munich (2-2), with Bayern only scoring the equaliser in the last minute.
Union Berlin have the lowest average possession rate in the Bundesliga this season at 33%. Union Berlin also has the second-lowest expected goal percentage (xG), scoring 1.84 goals more than expected.
Nevertheless, Union Berlin is the most dangerous team in set pieces, with more goals (7), shots on goal (71) and a higher xG (6.08) than any other team in these situations.
Heidenheim Form Check
Heidenheim are winless in six Bundesliga games, with two draws and four defeats, including the most recent two defeats with an aggregate score of 0-9.
This is Heidenheim’s worst start to a Bundesliga season, as the team has only half as many points (5) after eleven games as in the previous two seasons.
The guests are the only Bundesliga team that has not yet picked up an away point this season. Heidenheim is also the only team without an away point in the five best leagues in Europe, as all five away games have been lost.
Heidenheim has conceded 26 goals and is thus the team with the worst defense and the weakest attack, as only 8 goals have been scored so far.
Nevertheless, Union Berlin and St. Pauli have so far performed even worse than Heidenheim in terms of expected goals (xG).
Heidenheim should have scored at least 4.41 goals more than the eight that have been scored so far. This negative deviation is the second largest in the Bundesliga, only HSV is still behind.
With 21.74, Heidenheim also has the highest expected goals conceded (xGA) in the league. However, only four of Heidenheim’s 26 goals conceded came from set-pieces, which is the lowest percentage in the league at 15%, along with Leipzig.
