Genoa – Inter Milan Tip Serie A 2025/26, Matchday 15 on Sunday, 14/12/25 at 18:00 CET
Shortly after such an intense Champions League evening, Milan could encounter unexpected problems in Serie A – especially since the statistics are deceptive.
Inter have not lost any of their last 12 matches with the “Grifoni”, but the only three games they have not won have been the last three meetings at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
If you look at the odds of the German bookmakers, a Genoa Inter Milan bet on a draw would probably be the best choice.
Because if the Nerazzurri should have the upper hand at all against this unruly opponent, then – as in every joint encounter since 2022 – with a maximum of one goal difference.
Genoa vs Inter Milan AI Predictions:
I can live very well with the Genoa Inter Milan AI forecast of our internal data model in parts. But where I don’t agree, I’ll show you in a moment.
But I agree with the selection 1st half: Most goals at odds around 3.40 – that could bring a fat payout.
After all, Inter have scored the most Serie A goals in the first 45 minutes (12) before this matchday, while Genoa are the only club in the league that have not scored or conceded goals after the 75th minute.
So it seems that most of the action will take place in the first half.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Genoa |
Draw |
Win Inter Milan |
| 15.2% |
21.9% |
62.9% |
In 5 of the last 6 games of the Grifoni as well as in 3 of the last 4 direct duels with the upcoming opponent, the condition both score has been fulfilled again and again.
And since Genoa Inter Milan odds are currently trading around 2.10 for exactly this scenario on the betting markets, I would strike mercilessly if I were you.
By the way, the biggest deviation from the AI is exactly at this point – it recommends a 2:1 result bet on the Milanese, while I would prefer a 1:1 result bet at a slightly more attractive 8.25.
What you need to consider when betting on Genoa vs. Inter Milan
- Genoa is the only Serie A team whose home games this season have not scored a goal (neither scored nor conceded) after the 75th minute.
- Genoa have won only two Serie A games this season after taking the lead (D2 L3).
- Inter Milan scored the most Serie A goals in the first half before this round with 12 goals.
- Inter received the fewest cautions of all teams in the league this season with 20 yellow cards.
