Everton – Arsenal Tip Premier League, Matchday 17 on Saturday, 20.12.2025 at 21:00 CET
Saturday evening, floodlights and the Premier League – what more could you want? For my Everton – Arsenal tip, we look to Liverpool, where the leaders want to defend their lead in the table.
My focus is on the bet “Both teams score – No”. At Bet-at-Home you get a stable odd of about 1.80.
Arsenal has the best defence in the league and has only conceded ten goals. Everton, on the other hand, lack the necessary power in attack without Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Iliman Ndiaye, who can rarely convince even with the best line-up.
Even though our bookmakers have clearly put the Gunners in the role of favourites in their football bets with win odds of around 1.60, I have to mention at this point that the league leader has been waiting for a win away from home for three PL games (D2, L1).
Nevertheless, the Toffees are clearly seen as outsiders. A home win brings odds of around 5.60, even a draw would give you up to 4.00 times the stake.
Everton vs. Arsenal AI Predictions:
Our AI tool spits out clear numbers for this firecracker. The chance of victory for the Londoners is estimated at 57.0%, which underlines coach Arteta’s role as favourites.
On the other hand, there is only an 18.4% probability of a home win for the Toffees. This is almost exactly the same as the Everton – Arsenal odds of the local bookmakers.
In terms of expected goals, the AI sees the guests ahead with 1.46 to 0.73. This supports my prediction that Everton will have little chance of scoring their own goal here.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Everton |
Draw |
Victory Arsenal |
| 18.4% |
24.6% |
57% |
The bookmakers even imply a chance of victory of over 62% for the Gunners. If you bet on Everton, you may find a little more security for your bet in the Asian Handicap +0.75.
If the host loses by only one goal, there would still be half the stake back with this handicap. But let’s be honest: Arsenal is simply a class better.
The Everton Arsenal prediction is also so clear because Everton hardly takes place offensively (only 18 goals) and also faces the best defense in the league.
The Gunners conceded only ten goals and allowed only 7.44 shots on goal per game.
What you need to consider when betting on Everton vs. Arsenal
- Arsenal have conceded the first goal in five of their last seven away games.
- Everton has lost every single game against a Champions League team this season.
- Arsenal have been unbeaten in competitive matches since the end of August (16 wins, 3 draws).
- The home side have lost only two of their eight home games so far (W4 D2)
