Lazio Rome – Fiorentina Tip Serie A, Matchday 19 on Wednesday, 07/01/26 at 20:45 CET
Fiorentina is still in the relegation zone after New Year’s Day 2026! But there are increasing signs that the first Serie A away win of the 2025/26 season could initiate the turnaround that the board had hoped for from its new coach.
According to my Lazio Fiorentina tip, the men from the cradle of the Renaissance will finally meet a beatable European Cup participant who has now also lost a very important player!
The fact that Taty Castellanos has just been sold to West Ham weakens the “Biancocelesti” immensely – that much is certain. In fact, for this reason alone, I would go so far as to say that even the new bookmakers favor the weaker side on Wednesday in the Olimpico.
Lazio vs Fiorentina AI Predictions:
I want to keep every possibility of success open, but our Lazio Fiorentina AI prediction does well to draw my attention to the most game-theoretically sensible tips – even if they require a little courage.
Strictly speaking, from this point of view, the AI selection Win Fiorentina at odds around 3.30 is clearly preferable to my own proposal.
Because the reinvigorated Viola looked better against Udinese (5-1) and Cremonese (1-0) than in the entire first half of the season under Pioli. Lazio, on the other hand, have been treading water for weeks and, to make matters worse, seem to have forgotten how to score goals …
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Lazio Rome |
Draw |
Win Fiorentina |
| 39.6% |
30.2% |
30.2% |
Under 2.5 goals is another computer-generated tip that I personally like very much. It’s just a shame that with general odds around 1.62, you don’t have to hope for a monster payout in XXL format – at least not without a lavish Betano boost!
Nevertheless, I rate the probability of success of this type of bet as very high. If only because only 3 of the Romans’ 18 Serie A games so far in the current season have seen both sides involved net at the same time.
At first, I labeled half-time/final score X/2 as an arbitrary suggestion. The high rate of about 4.55 immediately had a certain appeal to me, but it was only at second glance that I understood how ingenious this AI suggestion really is.
Not only does my gut feeling appeal to me, but there is no other Serie A club that has drawn so often at half-time in its away games as Fiorentina (7 of 9).
So it’s quite possible that the Viola’s onslaught will not take place until the second half!
What you need to know about Lazio vs Fiorentina betting
- In the last 5 Lazio games, a total of seven red cards have been shown.
- Both teams have scored in just 3 of Lazio’s 18 league games this season – the lowest figure in the league.
- Before this matchday, only Verona (17) conceded more goals in the second half than Fiorentina (16) in Serie A.
- Seven of Fiorentina’s nine away games this season have been drawn at half-time – the shared league high.



