Leeds – Arsenal Tip Premier League, Matchday 24 on Saturday, 31.01.2026 at 16:00 CET
Peacocks vs. Gunners! This duel in the Premier League promises to be a particularly interesting one on Saturday (16:00 CEST). One thing in advance: For my Leeds Arsenal tip, I assume that the Londoners will keep a clean sheet, as they did recently in Nottingham.
In other words, I’ll give you the following prediction: Both teams will score – No!. I place this Leeds Arsenal bet at odds of 1.74 at Winamax, a sportsbook with PayPal.
Our top bookmakers are not impressed by the Peacocks’ recent run of success at home (W3 D2) or the fact that the league leaders have not won in three league games (D2 L1).
Leeds United is the blatant underdog. A home win brings betting odds of around 6.00 and above. Even for a draw, old and new bookmakers make the more than 4.00 times the stake easy.
Even though the Gunners have been waiting for a win in three league games and were recently beaten 3-2 by Manchester United, our bookies expect the Arteta team to win.
Leeds – Arsenal AI predictions:
Our in-house AI tool has also taken a close look at the game and provides a clear tendency. The computer-aided analysis sees Arsenal as the overwhelming favourites for this clash with a winning probability of a whopping 62.1%.
The Leeds Arsenal betting odds reflect this balance of power. The odds on an away win imply a chance of winning of around 65%. Leeds, on the other hand, is only given a chance of victory of about 17% by the bookmakers.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Leeds |
Draw |
Victory Arsenal |
| 16.2% |
21.7% |
62.1% |
In terms of goals in the match, our analysis tool predicts a total of 2.52 goals. Statistically, 1.75 of these are attributable to Arsenal and only 0.76 to Leeds. This underpins my bet that not both teams will score.
Interestingly, the Gunners tend to have low-scoring games, especially on foreign grounds, where fewer than 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of eleven games. This makes betting on lower goals at odds of 1.86 at NEO.bet also an alternative worth considering.
What you need to know about Leeds – Arsenal betting
- Since the beginning of December, no team in the Premier League has lost less often than Leeds. They only had to admit defeat once.
- The Gunners are winless in three league games. During this time, no Arsenal player managed to score from open play.
- Only three teams have had fewer games with over 2.5 goals than Arsenal this season. In away games, three or more goals were scored in only four out of eleven cases.
- Leeds have been waiting for a PL home win against the Gunners since November 2000. In the last six duels, there have been four defeats and two draws.
