Dortmund – Heidenheim Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 20 on Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 17:30 CET
A Dortmund Heidenheim tip, as I have in mind, could ideally almost double your stake. And actually, the conditions for the aforementioned special bet BVB to score in both halves could hardly be more promising!
Sure, Borussia didn’t play their best game in the Champions League during the week, but they could really put in the effort at the weekend if, according to the Bundesliga schedule, only a weakening relegation candidate is visiting.
In any case, the odds of about 1.75 I am aiming for are incentive enough even without Merkur Bet’s odds boost in view of the fact that the third-best attack in the league meets the second-weakest defense.
1. FC Heidenheim has not won any of the previous five Bundesliga duels against Borussia Dortmund (2 draws, 3 defeats) and has even lost the last three meetings in a row.
Only against RB Leipzig did FCH play more top-flight games without ever leaving the pitch as winners (six games).
It’s just a shame that the average home win odds are just a paltry 1.25 – which is why I had to be a little more creative when betting on a worthwhile Dortmund Heidenheim prediction in order to get more attractive odds.
Dortmund – Heidenheim Prediction & Betting
I expect a monumental triumph for the Black and Yellows, which is why BVB won with HC -2 at average odds of about 2.62 and made it to my extended betting slip in no time at all.
Dortmund over 3.5 goals could also pay off – especially at attractive odds around 3.05. After all, the Heidenheimers have to cope with a loss that may not be compensated.
It’s about Benedikt Gimber’s suspension and his influence on his team’s defensive behaviour. With him in the starting eleven, FCH conceded only 1.7 goals per Bundesliga game, but without him it was a significantly higher 2.3 goals conceded.
What you need to know about Dortmund vs. Heidenheim betting
- Dortmund are playing their best Bundesliga season in 7 years with 42 points and have the second-best defence in the league in terms of expected goals conceded.
- Heidenheim was in the lead for the shortest time in Europe this season and spent only 150 minutes in front in the five top leagues.
- Due to the streak of 12 unbeaten games, BVB is considered by the bookmakers to be the biggest favourite of the weekend with a probability of victory of 92 per cent.
- The absence of the suspended Gimber weighs heavily, as FCH concedes an average of 2.3 goals without him, while the value with him is 1.7.
Dortmund – Heidenheim: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
I am clearly focusing on an attractive sports betting bonus and Borussia’s offensive behaviour, while our Dortmund Heidenheim AI prediction, on the other hand, focuses more on the defensive work of the Black and Yellows.
Victory BVB to nil is the prediction of our digital betting brain, which I welcome in principle. Odds of around 2.10 as well as ten clean sheets already collected speak for this game outcome.
Personally, however, I have the uneasy feeling that Borussia will have the upper hand in the end with a result like 4-1 – dominant, but not without conceding a goal. Therefore, in the end, I prefer to keep my hands off it!
Dortmund/Dortmund at values around 1.72 is a statistically extremely well-founded suggestion that our data model finally presented to me. Actually, there can only be top marks for it.
Because Red-Blue was only in the lead for a total of 150 Bundesliga minutes this season. So far, this is less than any other club from Europe’s top 5 leagues in the 2025/26 season.
Last week against Leipzig, FCH only buckled in the second half (0-3), but against angry Borussia, who are looking for redemption, things could crack much earlier at Signal Iduna Park this time.
The best odds for Dortmund vs. Heidenheim
The bookmakers only expect excitement to a limited extent here. At Dortmund Heidenheim, an early decision on the pitch is expected rather than a long open game – at least that’s what market opinion suggests.
A home win for BVB is a 1.23. This rate speaks volumes: dominance, game control and clear field advantages are clearly priced in. Dortmund are considered the favourites, and anything less than three points would be a shock from the bookies’ point of view.
The draw is estimated at 6.75. Such an outcome only seems realistic in a very special scenario – for example, if Dortmund misses chances and Heidenheim isolates deeply. However, the markets consider this to be unlikely.
An away win by Heidenheim is 11.0 and is thus clearly in the sensational area. For the guests, everything would have to come together, while almost nothing works for BVB.
The Dortmund Heidenheim odds leave hardly any room for interpretation: one-sided expectations, clear distribution of roles and little room for doubt – at least from the bookmakers’ point of view.
Dortmund vs Heidenheim Match Analysis:
Dortmund feel right at home in their own stadium and will use the home crowd to build up pressure from the start.
Heidenheim is nowhere near as solid defensively as top international teams and is likely to have problems, especially on the flanks, if BVB picks up speed early and brings width into the game.
The current form clearly speaks in favour of the Black and Yellows: Dortmund are unbeaten in twelve Bundesliga games, while Heidenheim have been waiting for a win in six games and have visibly lost stability.
In addition, FCH does not manage to defend consistently over 90 minutes. Gimber’s suspension also tears a gap in the defence.
Dortmund’s defensive strength with ten clean sheets also gives them the confidence to remain patient and make clean use of their chances. In fact, it shouldn’t be too long before Guirassy should get the first opportunity to pull off in front of his feet!
Dortmund Form Check
Borussia are currently experiencing their strongest Bundesliga season at this point in seven years. With 42 points from 19 games, they are in second place, have a goal difference of +21 and have the second-best defence in the league behind Bayern.
The most recent 3-0 away win at Union Berlin was an expression of this form. BVB are now unbeaten in twelve Bundesliga games and have reduced the gap to league leaders Bayern to eight points.
Second place looks consolidated, but internally they hope to put pressure on the record champions again with a strong second half of the season.
In terms of personnel, there are minor question marks ahead of the home game against Heidenheim. Waldemar Anton, for example, was absent during the week against Inter Milan due to illness and is considered questionable due to the short regeneration time.
Marcel Sabitzer continues to work on his comeback after a calf injury, while Niklas Süle has also had to miss out recently with back problems. Despite everything, Dortmund remain the clear favourites next Sunday.
Heidenheim Form Check
Heidenheim continues to have an extremely difficult time away from home and is now one of the most vulnerable teams in the league away from home.
Four defeats from the last six away games and only four points away from the Voith Arena underline why only Hamburg is in a worse position.
Particularly alarming: Heidenheim has been waiting for a clean sheet for 22 Bundesliga games now – a negative run that is currently unique in the five major European leagues.
The 3-0 defeat against Leipzig last weekend fitted seamlessly into this picture. Heidenheim has so far had no chance against absolute top teams: defeats against Bayern, Dortmund and twice Leipzig with an overall goal difference of 0:11 speak for themselves.
Especially defensively, there is a lack of stability as soon as speed and individual quality increase.
In terms of personnel, there are other concerns. Attacker Mikkel Kaufmann has been missing recently due to illness and is also a shaky candidate for the weekend. Benedikt Gimber, who has already been mentioned several times, is definitely not there, who is suspended after his fifth yellow card.
In the difficult away game in Dortmund, Heidenheim needs an almost perfect performance anyway – otherwise the next clear defeat against a playfully superior opponent threatens.
