Arsenal – Chelsea Tip EFL Cup, semi-finals, second leg on Tuesday, 03/02/26 at 21:00
Second leg in the EFL Cup semi-finals. After the 3-2 win in the first leg, Arsenal FC already has one foot in the final, but cannot sit back against the attacking Chelsea FC.
In any case, the Blues have won six of their last seven games and can approach the game with a broad chest despite being behind. Accordingly, I expect another turbulent exchange of blows in my Arsenal Chelsea tip and set my sights on the bet “Over 2.5 goals” at Interwetten (odds approx. 1.65).
The fact that the Gunners go into the game as favorites – as the Seahawks did at the Super Bowl 2026 – is no surprise. Recently, the Premier League leader swept over Leeds (4-0) and is unlikely to exercise restraint against Chelsea either.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea AI predictions:
Cup in England? Of course, our AI model doesn’t miss out on that. So no one has to do without an Arsenal Chelsea AI prediction for the semi-final second leg.
Arsenal and Chelsea are among the best attacking teams in the Premier League this season. The fact that the new bookmakers are calling for a round 1.70 for the classic “Both teams to score” is therefore quite surprising. So this AI recommendation is a real value bet.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Arsenal |
Draw |
Win Chelsea |
| 56% |
24% |
20% |
And the “draw at half-time” also fits the starting position. Both teams are likely to meet at eye level for long stretches. The odds around 2.30 are therefore rather generous. Or do you think a 1-1 draw at half-time is unrealistic?
“Arsenal to win & both teams to score” has odds of about 3.20. Of course, Arsenal doesn’t necessarily have to win to make it to the final. However, there is still nothing to shake about the Gunners’ role as favourites.
What you need to know about Arsenal vs. Chelsea betting
- Last season, Arsenal were eliminated in the EFL Cup semi-finals by Newcastle (0-2 and 0-2).
- Chelsea have reached the cup final three times since the 2018/19 season – and lost three times.
- The Blues last won the EFL Cup in the 2014/15 season – 2-0 against Tottenham.
- In the 2017/18 season, Chelsea failed in the cup semi-finals against Arsenal FC (0-0 and 1-2).
- The Gunners have won their last four home games against Chelsea.
