Union Berlin – Frankfurt Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 21 on Friday, 06/02/2026 at 20:30 CET
Although Friday’s match of the 21st round of the Bundesliga will see two teams completely winless in 2026 face each other, fans of the cultivated spectacle should not miss the kick-off at the Alte Försterei stadium.
Berlin’s 4-3 away win in the first leg was at best a vivid foretaste of a new loss of control.
Albert Riera, who is whirling on the sidelines for the first time for the SGE, will concentrate at full speed on closing the defensive holes:
However, because fine adjustments are unlikely to be enough for a solid performance, I once again assume goals on both sides in my Union Berlin Frankfurt forecast.
The fact that Eintracht, who have conceded three goals in each of their last five Bundesliga games, will not get their defence tight from one day to the next should be a fairly reliable hypothesis.
But with three hits each against Dortmund and Hoffenheim, the Irons also did everything they could to make the BTS palatable to me, especially since the quota is also quite comfortable.
The long-term trend also speaks for some goals at the Alte Försterei. The Köpenickers, once praised for their defence, have only kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 home games.
Union Berlin – Frankfurt Prediction & Betting
If you’re looking for an alternative with a little more risk, then take a look at the bet on a draw – bet365 offers odds of 3.50 here, which I think is pretty fair as both teams have shared the points five times in their last five games combined.
For the very brave among you, I have found a real cracker: Many new bookmakers offer a massive 15 odds on both teams scoring a goal in both halves. With Frankfurt’s high-scoring games, this is at least worth considering.
It is also interesting to take a look at the goalscorer market. Andrej Ilic and Ilyas Ansah are considered favorites. Since Ilic is still waiting for his first goal of the season after 19 appearances, a bet on Ansah, the Irons’ top scorer, seems to be the smarter choice – odds of 3.00
At odds of 3.55, Oliver Burke is of course also a plausible goal scorer option. With a hat-trick, the Scot almost single-handedly shot down the Hessians in the 4-3 win in the first leg.
What you need to know about Union Berlin vs. Frankfurt betting
- Union Berlin has a massive problem in front of goal. The chance conversion rate of 9.54% is the sixth worst in the entire league.
- Frankfurt has a new coach in Albert Riera on the sidelines. This often means a change of style and makes the team unpredictable.
- Eintracht have never kept a clean sheet away from home this season. In 12 of their 15 away games, both teams have scored.
- The Iron are also vulnerable at home and have only been able to keep a clean sheet twice in ten home games.
Union Berlin – Frankfurt: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our internal AI tool has calculated the match for you and comes to an exciting result. The probability calculation sees the home side from Berlin slightly ahead with a chance of victory of 40.0%, which underpins their role as favorites.
The AI gives Eintracht a 34.4% chance of winning, while a draw is rated 25.6%. The Union Berlin Frankfurt odds reflect this tight distribution and suggest a duel at eye level.
The predicted number of goals is a total of 2.53 goals. Of these, 1.32 goals were scored by Union and 1.21 by Frankfurt. This supports my main recommendation that both teams will probably score here. The Over 2.5 goals are also attractively quoted at around 1.90.
On the betting market, the Asian Handicap Line is set at Union Berlin -0.25. This means that if you win at home, you win completely, if you draw, you get half of your stake back. A quite interesting approach for your Union Berlin Frankfurt bet at odds of approx. 1,50.
The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is 2.5. While Union’s games are among the lower-scoring in the league with an average of 2.90 goals, Frankfurt’s games are a real spectacle with 4.25 goals per game.
This statistic makes a bet on the Asian over 2.75 goals particularly attractive, with betting providers with PayPal odds of around 2.10. Eintracht’s offensive orientation could shake the defensive stability of the Berliners and ensure a high-scoring game that makes us cheer in the end.
The best odds for Union Berlin vs. Frankfurt
Unbeaten in four direct duels, Union Berlin had recently developed into a somewhat surprising opponent of Eintracht – especially at Deutsche Bank Park, the Berliners recently knew no mercy.
Nevertheless, the prospects of the Iron are considered too optimistic by the bookmakers with the Union Berlin Frankfurt odds in my opinion. Certainly there is something in it for Union – but should the Köpenickers be declared the concrete favourites with a 2.20?
I have my doubts and see value more in the other options. As already mentioned, I can warm up to a draw the most here, which of course is not least due to the odds.
For the fact that in 2026 simple point wins have been the highest of feelings for both teams so far, a tight 3.50 for tip X is absolutely okay from my point of view.
With a win rate of just under 3.30, however, the Hessians may also be beaten a little below their value, for whom the debut of Albert Riera may lead to the long-awaited initial spark.
Union Berlin vs Frankfurt Match Analysis:
Frankfurt travels as eighth in the table, only one place ahead of the Köpenickers. Union therefore have a great chance to draw level on points with a win. That alone promises a lot of excitement for the start of the matchday on Friday evening An der Alten Försterei.
Eintracht’s weak form makes Union the favourites, but you should never underestimate a team that has just got a new coach. Albert Riera will do everything he can to start with a victory, even if he faces a mammoth task.
Away games of Frankfurt have a goal guarantee. The Eagles concede an average of 2.7 goals per game away from home. This should open up some chances for Union, although the Iron are only in the lower midfield of the league even in terms of expected goals (xG).
What makes Frankfurt’s attack so strong is its efficiency. The guests exceeded their own xG value by a whopping 12.4, which speaks for an ice-cold conversion of chances. Riera will try to maintain this offensive power and realign the team.
Since it is unlikely that the new coach will be able to solve Eintracht’s massive defensive problems in such a short time, we can look forward to an entertaining game. For neutral spectators this will certainly be a treat, for us bettors at best a goldmine.
Union Berlin Form Check
The Irons suffered a 3-1 defeat at Hoffenheim last weekend and are still waiting for their first win in 2026. After three draws and a 3-0 thrashing against Dortmund, this was the next setback for the team.
Union’s last victory dates back to 20 December 2025. Steffen Baumgart’s team is thus going through the most difficult phase of the season. Previously, the longest winless streak in the league had only allowed three games, which illustrates the current problems.
Against Hoffenheim, Union Berlin missed a number of good chances, especially in the first half. Andrej Ilic and Rani Khedira missed a hundred percent chance in the seventh minute after a mistake by goalkeeper Oliver Baumann.
Although the Berliners finished the game with a higher number of expected goals (2.19 xG) than Hoffenheim (1.49 xG), they ended up without points. The lack of precision in front of goal remains the team’s biggest problem.
The chance conversion rate of only 9.54% is the sixth worst in the entire Bundesliga. That’s simply not enough to be consistently successful. This value urgently needs to improve if you don’t want to lose sight of the season goals.
After all, only one of the last six home games in the league has been won, but they have collected seven points against top teams such as Stuttgart, Bayern and Leipzig. This shows that hope for Europe is not yet completely buried.
Frankfurt Form Check
The 3-3 draw against Werder Bremen on matchday 18 was the last game for coach Dino Toppmöller. After that, Eintracht lost their next four competitive games, including two games in the Champions League, before the new head coach enters the ring for the first time.
With Albert Riera, a new head coach has been hired, who stands for a complete change of style. Frankfurt are currently eighth in the Bundesliga, twelve points behind fourth place, and have already been eliminated from the DFB Cup and the Champions League.
Riera’s approach emphasizes entertaining football and control of the game through possession. This is in stark contrast to Toppmöller’s direct tactics, which are geared towards quick transitions. It will be interesting to see how quickly the team can implement this.
Last weekend, Frankfurt lost 3-1 at home to Leverkusen, with Ellyes Skhiri also seeing a red card. This extended the winless streak to eight games across all competitions, and Robin Koch’s consolation goal did not change that.
The defensive problems are still glaring. Frankfurt have already conceded 45 goals, which is the worst value in the league together with Heidenheim. The offense with 40 goals scored simply cannot compensate for this weakness.
Interestingly, the data on expected goals conceded suggests that the Hessians should have conceded 15.92 fewer goals. This shows that bad luck and individual mistakes often play a role. For my Union Berlin Frankfurt prediction, however, this is secondary.
