Sunday, 12.05.2024
It’s long been just a hunt for the international places, because the championship will of course go to PSG again! In Ligue 1, Lille still want to conquer third place, for which they need two really strong final results.
The Great Danes need an away win at a relegation candidate on Sunday and are also favored by the bookmakers. I’ll be a little cautious in my Nantes Lille betting tip and tell you why I’m backing the double chance X2 at under 3.5 goals
There are three fixed Champions League places in Ligue 1 in 2023/24 – fourth-placed Lille won’t like that at the moment! They are two points behind Stade Brest, so the last two games will be about catching up.
Brest have a relatively easy remaining program with Reims and Toulouse, whereas Lille still have to face a much stronger Nice after the away game against Nantes
The Great Danes lost the spectacle against Lyon 3-4 a few days ago, despite first leading 2-0 and then 3-2 in the 87th minute! It was their second defeat in the last three games, and Monaco were also too strong at 0:1.
0:1 or 3:4, the team can completely change its face within a few rounds. They’ve only won three in a row once this season, and 15 in 32 games isn’t that many anyway
In the general table, Lille are only fourth, a long way behind Paris St. Germain. But there’s also a statistic where nobody is really stronger than the Great Danes: Everything that happens at home!
With eleven wins, three draws and two defeats, they lead this type of table, while twelve goals conceded means they have the second-best defense behind Nice (9). They hadn’t lost at home since the end of September, before the aforementioned 4-3 defeat to Lyon
A home game without a goal? That has never happened before this season. Good for Lille, but they’re playing away on Sunday! Suddenly there are only four wins and a measly 16 goals, an average of exactly one per match.
Goalscorer Jonathan David doesn’t really feel at home away from home either. He has scored 17 goals this season, four of them when his team has played away from home
After all, he has scored five times against Nantes in his career, including the 2-0 win in the first half. So I have to keep an eye on another David goal, which is listed at odds of 2.50 at Bet365.
You can also use the Bet365 voucher to make your betting account look even better. Is Nantes generally one of your favorite opponents? 17 games without defeat, 14 wins, yes, definitely!
Our bookmakers are still a little cautious, certainly also due to the weakness on the road, but see Lille ahead with odds of 1.95 to 3.90. Nantes really need every point to avoid relegation.
With a four-point lead over the relegation places, it’s not too early to think you’re safe. Why? Quite simply because they still have two really tough opponents in Lille and Monaco.
They have recently drawn twice in a row and have only lost one of their last four games. Curious: When Nantes have been successful, it’s almost exclusively away from home! Six of their nine victories have come away from home, but at home they’re simply a mess
Three wins, three draws and ten defeats – nobody has collected fewer points. The Canaries’ biggest problem can be found in their attack, with only bottom-placed Clermont Foot beating their 29 goals.
They failed to score 13 times, which is very reminiscent of Union Berlin in Bundesliga 1
Eight defeats in a row? FC Nantes fans have long since stopped going to the stadium, with three measly goals scored in this period. The fact that Pedro Chirivella is suspended doesn’t make it any better, of course
Lille are aiming for third place, but how can they do that with an away game coming up? The Great Danes are much weaker away from home than at home and have only won four times. And yet, I almost rule out a defeat on Sunday.
Why? Quite simply because Nantes are the worst home team and have just lost eight games in a row at home. That’s why I’m already setting the “double chance X2”. But there is also an offensive fact.
The Canaries have scored three times in those eight home games, while Lille have scored exactly once on average away from home. So I can’t imagine a scoring fest this weekend, which is why my full betting tip is as follows:
Lille to score under 3.5 goals!
