Nottingham – Porto Tip Europa League, quarter-finals, second leg on Thursday, 16/04/26 at 21:00
My Nottingham Forest Porto tip for the second leg in the quarter-finals of the Europa League is here. The starting position is completely open after the 1-1 draw in the first leg and promises high tension for all football fans.
This means that the bet wins with every draw. In general, bookmakers have to put up with the question of whether they actually reflect the balance of power according to reality.
Porto was clearly the better team in the first leg. They had significantly more scoring chances and a much higher xG value. Forest needed a curious own goal to even get the important equaliser.
Nottingham vs Porto AI Predictions:
The draw in the first leg leaves all possibilities open. Accordingly, our AI model has calculated the game in detail and presents you with additional betting alternatives in its Nottingham Porto AI prediction.
A bolder bet is that of a Porto victory. The Nottingham Forest Porto odds for this are 3.40 in the Sportwetten.de app. In view of Forest’s weak home form, this is worth considering. In addition, in my opinion, Porto is a bit underestimated by the bookmakers.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Nottingham |
Draw |
Victory Porto |
| 46.2% |
27.1% |
26.7% |
William Gomes Carvalho is in top form and already scored in the first leg. A bet on him scoring again offers sufficient value at 5.00 even without a sports betting bonus, especially since the Brazilian was rested at the weekend.
The Portuguese have only lost one game in the Europa League and are strong offensively. Forest must concentrate on the relegation battle, which could clearly shift priorities. It is also rather unlikely that Porto will be as unfortunate as in the first leg.
What you need to consider when betting on Nottingham vs. Porto
- Forest have won just three of their 16 home games in the Premier League, scoring the fewest home goals in the league (14).
- Porto have never won an away game against a Premier League team (10 defeats in their last 11 games).
- Nottingham are winless in seven home games (three defeats) and have scored just 0.43 goals per game.
- William Gomes Carvalho has scored four goals in his last five games for Porto, including the goal in the first leg.
