Series A, Monday, 20.05.2024
Fixed third place beckons for FC Bologna! What VfB Stuttgart were in the Bundesliga in 2023/24, the Rossoblu are in Serie A: the absolute surprise team that will compete in the Champions League next season.
The direct duel for third place will take place on Monday, and they are favored in the home match against the Italian record champions. And for good reasons, as I reveal in my Bologna Juventus betting tip. My corresponding betting recommendation: The “Double chance 1X” with a maximum of three goals
Inter Milan have lost twice, so the title has been up for grabs for a long time. The team that has lost the second fewest is not Napoli, Milan, Juve or Atalanta, but FC Bologna.
The Red & Blues probably can’t quite believe their strong season themselves, having conceded just five defeats. There has only been one since mid-January, and that was a narrow 1-0 defeat against Inter
Around that defeat, Bologna had won eight in a row. In the meantime, the club’s steps towards third place have become somewhat smaller, which means that draws are the new method of choice.
Four of the last six games have ended in draws, and Bologna have also failed to win against clubs such as Frosinone, Monza and Udinese Calcio. In between, however, there were victories against Roma and Napoli, which are actually stronger clubs
What the Rossoblu have definitely scored with this season is their defense. They have only conceded 27 goals, only champions Inter with 20 goals conceded are stronger in this regard.
The last time they conceded two goals in a match was at the beginning of February, and seven times in the entire season. Especially in home games, Bologna are a team to watch when defending
Six wins in 18 away games, 21:18 goals? Definitely, if there is a small weakness, then it can be found away from home. But as soon as they play at home, the team really gets going.
Twelve wins, four draws and two defeats, 30 goals and just nine goals conceded? Bologna have the best home defense, only the two Milan clubs have won in their stadium!
Since Milan had already secured the three-pointer on the first matchday, they have only lost once more at home since August. But: At the same time, we can also note that three of the last four home games have not ended in victory.
Bologna have already secured qualification for the Champions League, now it’s just a question of where they finish. They are level on points with Juventus in third with 67 points, but Atalanta follow with 66 points.
This makes it clear that if they want to finish third, they must not lose at least once on Monday. When was the last time they beat Juventus? In February 2011! Since then, the Rossoblu are without a three-pointer against the Old Lady, but three of the last four matches have resulted in a 1-1 draw.
Juve are still a fearful opponent, but since a lot has changed for the home side this season, odds of 2.65 to 3.00 are being offered on average by our bookmakers, who offer tax-free betting.
This puts Juve in the role of the underdog, and the Bianconeri have only themselves to blame. Two narrow victories from the last 15 league games? It’s a good thing there have been so many points before, otherwise the premier class would have been a thing of the past!
Eight draws have been played in this period, with the last five matches all ending with a point. Five goals from the last eight games? There’s hardly anything going on offensively either.
In any case, the country’s record champions are reluctant to play away from home, having won just eight of their 18 away games. There have also been six draws and four defeats. Their last win came at the end of January with a 3-0 win in Lecce!
Lecce, Salernitana, Frosinone, Monza, Florence, Milan, Empoli and Udinese? With the exception of the Rossoneri, all the clubs that have been beaten away from home are significantly further down the table
Admittedly, Juventus Turin are one of FC Bologna’s most feared opponents. But: This season, there is a lot to be said for the Rossoblu finally winning again. The hosts are incredibly strong at home and defensively, and they will never lose.
On the other hand, they will face an Old Lady who seem to have lost their form several weeks ago. Wins are now in short supply, especially away from home, and there have been none for four months.
As Bologna defend excellently at home and the visitors’ offense is increasingly struggling, even against relegation candidates, I have decided to recommend the following bet:
Bologna to score a maximum of three goals
