Super League, Monday, 20.05.2024
The departure of Raphael Wicky has led to a significant improvement in performance at the reigning champions and cup winners and is likely to enable them to defend their title.
Young Boys recently won four out of five league games and extended their lead at the top of the table to six points. It was a different story for Servette Geneva, where the results no longer add up in the final stretch of the season.
For my Servette Geneva Young Boys betting tip, I grab the Interwetten voucher and play the odds of 2.15 for “Young Boys Over 1.5 goals”
A few weeks ago, Servette Geneva were just one point behind the reigning champions and played their part in the dismissal of Raphael Wicky. From this perspective, the odds of up to 2.06 for a home win in the sports betting apps are understandable.
Since then, however, the situation has changed and with two matchdays to go, Bern host Servette Geneva, have a ten-point lead over the third-placed team in the table and may well be crowned champions.
If you like, the maximum win odds of 3.19 for a three-pointer for the visitors is a good place to start with a free bet. The league leaders should definitely have enough motivation with the prospect of defending their title
In addition to the motivational aspects, the form curves of the two opponents are extremely far apart. René Weiler has only won two of the last nine league games with his team.
Interim coach Joël Magnin, on the other hand, has brought Young Boys back on track, collecting 2.00 points per league game with the team and in all likelihood saving the championship
During the final two league games under Raphael Wicky, the Black & Yellows remained goalless in each and disappointed in their own attacking play.
However, the visitors’ offense has completely changed since then. Bern scored “over 1.5 goals” in six of their previous seven games and had no problems in their last encounter with St. Gallen (3:1).
Servette actually have the best defense in the Super League and have only conceded 34.8 goals. However, the last few weeks have been difficult for the third-placed team and four of their last nine games with “over 1.5 goals conceded” have left their mark
Over the season as a whole, the league leaders’ attack away from home (25 goals) is nowhere near comparable to their offense at home (47 goals).
However, the huge difference has been resolved in recent weeks and YB have scored “Over 1.5 goals” in each of their three previous visiting appearances.
This strong development loosens my shoulder and reduces the worry lines when looking at the expected goals (49.6 xG).
Servette Geneva is the team with the most expected goals (59.1 xG) and can give you a profit of 1.62 for “Over 1.5 goals” at Bet365.
These low odds already show how strong the bookmakers think the home side’s attack is. Perhaps this is exactly your chance.
René Weiler has seen his team score a maximum of one goal in seven of the eight previous matchdays. That’s why you should rather play odds of 2.05 and higher for “Servette Geneva Under 1.5 goals” at the bookmakers without taxes.
Fittingly, Bern have not conceded more than one goal per matchday in four league games against strong rivals such as FC Lugano
It is both remarkable and reassuring that the Black & Yellows have been able to maintain their form without their best attacker, Joël Monteiro (12 goals).
The attacking player is missing due to a ligament injury, which did not prevent the visitors from scoring three goals of their own against St. Gallen (3:1 win).
Servette loaned their best attacker to Union Berlin in the winter. Chris Bedia scored ten goals in the first 18 matchdays and is still Servette Geneva’s most prolific attacker.
His goals will be missed by Les Grenats, whose second-highest scorer Enzo Crivelli (8 goals) is likely to remain out of action
Jérémy Guillemenot is next on the home side’s internal goalscoring list. However, the 26-year-old has not scored for six matchdays.
Can Servette Geneva keep up with the awakened offense of the league leaders? I think not and would therefore argue in favor of using the Betano betting bonus for the odds of 1.80 on a “double chance X2”.
The recent history of this pairing also speaks in favor of this. YB have only lost one of the last four meetings and have built up a goal difference of 8:4 in the process
The visitors will not let the chance to win the championship slip away. Since Joël Magnin took over, YB have collected nine more points than Servette Geneva.
Servette coach René Weiler has had to bury his hopes of a surprise title in recent weeks. The home side have recently lost two games in a row.
My Servette Geneva Young Boys betting tip is: Young Boys Over 1.5 goals
