Champions League qualifiers, play-offs, second leg, Tuesday, 27.08.2024 at 21:00
The ÖFB apparently wants to see the 17-time national champions in the Champions League group stage. In my Red Bull Salzburg Dynamo Kiev prediction, I tell you what the federation did for the team from Mozart’s city at the weekend.
However, my focus is of course on finding a Red Bull Salzburg Dynamo Kiev tip that, in combination with the Oddset free bet, can be turned into something financially worthwhile
You don’t always need the best players to win a championship, especially not in the Austrian Bundesliga.
What RBS new coach Pepijn Lijnders has achieved in the few weeks since taking over as head coach in the city of Mozart for the first time is something to be proud of, despite the bloodletting on the transfer market.
Red Bull Salzburg have lost some top-class players such as Strahinja Pavlovic this summer, but they are still unbeaten in seven competitive games (6 wins, 1 draw) under the Dutchman’s leadership in the 2024/25 season
After the 2:0 away win against Dynamo Kiev, the worst should already be behind them on their way to the main round of the Champions League.
Originally, I had feared that the strong Ukrainians would be able to use their home advantage, but with an xG value of 0.93 to 1.95 in favor of RBS, the victory was also deserved in its magnitude.
There is also good news ahead of the upcoming home game: Diakite is expected to be back in the starting eleven, and the extra rest time will also benefit the team.
Last Saturday, RBS were due to play a Bundesliga clash against Hartberg, but this was postponed by the FA out of consideration for the second leg of the UCL play-off.
Coach Lijnders therefore had a few extra days to prepare his impressive offense for the match against the Ukrainians.
Extensive fine-tuning will hardly have been necessary anyway, as RBS have scored in every competitive game so far and even netted an average of 3.14 times per game
That’s why I quickly scroll through the popular “Over 2.5 goals” option in a reputable sports betting app at the current odds of around 1.60.
After all, the Ukrainians will have to attack right from the start to avoid having to make up the deficit in the Red Bull Arena just before the end.
The European Cup record also makes it clear how challenging it will be for the visitors from Kiev to get anything going against such a strong team.
After all, only top clubs such as Chelsea, Inter, Real Sociedad and Benfica Lisbon have managed to conquer the Red Bull Arena in recent years.
Also noteworthy: RBS have not lost any of their last eight home games in qualifying for a UEFA competition and have always managed to score at least once (6 wins, 2 draws)
Theoretically, you could add an additional condition to my suggested goal bet, according to which RBS will not lose.
In view of Salzburg’s proven home strength in comparable situations, I would instinctively want to inquire about the odds of a home win bet and a double chance 1X bet
However, Dynamo Kyiv seem to have saved their best performances for the away game against both Rangers (2-0) and Partizan Belgrade (3-0) this European Cup season.
Consequently, if I were you, I wouldn’t underestimate the Ukrainians and would at least consider an entertaining 2-2 draw, if not a narrow 2-1 away win as well.
However, with Red Bull Salzburg Dynamo Kiev odds of around 1.50 to 5.50 in favor of the team from Mozartstadt, top providers such as Sunmaker are signaling that there will be nothing to gain for the visitors.
But with such a stark odds differential, it’s simply not worth placing a home win bet, so I prefer to stick with my simple goal bet
Conclusion: Dynamo Kiev missed a valuable opportunity for promotion in the first leg against Red Bull Salzburg.
Nevertheless, the Ukrainians have often shown their best performances away from home this season, which makes them an unpredictable factor.
Despite this danger, I’m backing an over-2.5-goal bet for the second leg exclusively.
Salzburg’s attack has been consistently strong and regularly delivers goals, which is likely to be the case again this time.
However, any home win or DC-1X bets on this match are absolutely uninteresting for me due to the low odds
My tip: Over 2.5 goals
