Champions League, Thursday, 19.09.2024 at 21:00
After their 4-0 opening win in Serie A, I thought Atalanta would give their fans another dream season. In recent weeks, however, there have been an increasing number of setbacks, some of which have been quite harsh.
But years of Merkur Bets experience as a customer of the licensed bookmaker and several Champions League seasons have taught me never to write off Giampiero Gasperini’s men, especially in difficult situations like these.
According to my Atalanta Bergamo Arsenal betting tip, Thursday’s match at Gewiss Stadium will be what usually happens here on the international stage anyway: a European Cup match in which goals will not be in short supply.
I’ve been looking closely these days at my favorite team’s chances of claiming a win on the first Champions League matchday of this completely revamped competition.
In my deliberations, I also asked ChatGPT for an Atalanta Bergamo Arsenal AI prediction, whose suggestions I will assess for you from the perspective of an experienced betting professional.
I can tell you in advance that most of the computer-generated Atalanta Bergamo Arsenal tips are very much in line with my own expectations for this match.
The bookmaker prediction
The odds for Atalanta to win the opener are currently at 4.00. This suggests that the bookmakers give the visitors from Italy rather small chances of winning here.
The odds for a double chance for Atalanta, on the other hand, are 1.93. This offer provides much better protection for anyone who is not sure whether the English can actually live up to their role as favorites.
Meanwhile, the average Arsenal odds for a successful start to the group stage are 1.85, which I personally think is a little too optimistic.
KI prediction Atalanta Bergamo vs Arsenal: ChatGPT
The Atalanta Bergamo Arsenal AI betting tip Over 4.5 goals is risky, but definitely interesting. The bar is set very high, but the form curves of both teams actually point to a potential goal festival.
With the offensive strength that both teams bring to the table, this match could be a real cracker. If you fancy a spectacle and are brave enough, this tip could be for you.
Don’t forget that five goals were scored in the first half alone in Bergamo’s win against Florence at the weekend!
The suggestion for an Arsenal win is less convincing.
The odds of 1.80 don’t seem particularly attractive to me, especially when you consider that Atalanta won the Europa League last season and even inflicted their first and only defeat on Leverkusen.
Given the strength of “La Dea”, I think these odds are rather low and the chances of a clear victory for Arsenal are not as high as the odds suggest.
The bet that both teams will score, on the other hand, seems pretty safe to me. With odds of around 1.60, this is a good choice, as both teams are strong offensively.
Analysis: Atalanta Bergamo vs Arsenal
Atalanta Bergamo got a good beating before the international break. The 4-0 defeat against Inter Milan made it clear just how much they are missing a creative mind like Teun Koopmeiners.
Without him, the team lacks a creative mind, and that had a brutal effect on the final result in the aforementioned Serie A thriller against Milan.
However, the return of Ademola Lookman last weekend lifted the spirits of the Bergamo fans. The Nigerian’s contribution was crucial in the prestigious 3-2 win over Fiorentina.
On the other hand, the Gunners are in solid form. The Londoners have made a strong start to the Premier League season and have also performed well in their opening matches on the international stage.
Want some figures? Arsenal have always won their first game in the last six major European competitions, be it in the UEFA Europa League or the Champions League.
The last opponent to beat the Gunners in an opening game was Dinamo Zagreb in the 2015/16 season, and it is this consistency and strength that arguably makes Arsenal a bookmakers’ favourite in the markets.
It will be exciting to see whether the Gunners can continue their impressive run and put Atalanta Bergamo in their place.
Quotenanalyse
Dear readers, I have two really exciting tips for you here that you shouldn’t miss out on.
Firstly, “Over 2.5 goals” at odds of 1.70 is an absolute bargain in my opinion. I simply cannot imagine that there will be fewer than three goals in this match.
Secondly, take a look at the odds for “Atalanta over 1.5 goals” – that’s 2.80. That’s a great chance for a high payout.
Once Bergamo really get going, things could really get going, as they did against Florence at the weekend. So the odds could really pay off here if Ademola Lookman catches fire again!
Atalanta Bergamo vs Arsenal odds: Saka instead of Lookman!
Bukayo Saka is particularly suitable for a goalscorer bet in this match, as he stood out in the last Champions League season at Arsenal with eight goals in nine games.
That makes him the best Englishman to score in a debut season since 2000/01. In contrast, Ademola Lookman, despite his strong Europa League performances, has yet to score in his four previous appearances against Arsenal.
Saka’s goal odds, meanwhile, are trading at very attractive odds of around 3.05 on the user-friendly Oddset app.
Over four goals? Quite possible!
The data clearly points to a high-scoring duel when Atalanta meet Arsenal at Gewiss Stadium on Thursday.
Take a look at the stats from last season: Arsenal outscored their xG (expected goals) by an impressive 5.49, being eclipsed in this category only by Atlético Madrid (+6.16).
The Gunners scored 19 goals in the last Champions League season, although their xG was only 13.51, which shows how effective they were in front of goal. With a shooting accuracy of 15.7%, the third highest in the competition, they are extremely dangerous.
In short: Arsenal + few chances = lots of goals.
However, the Italians can also claim plenty of statistical reasons why they could be the ideal “dance partner” to actually help an over-4.5-goal bet like the Atalanta Arsenal AI forecast has already speculated to be successful here.
Attention, dear sports betting fans: On the other hand, Bergamo have scored an incredible 3.6 goals per game on average in their 23 Champions League games.
This is the second highest goal rate of all teams that have played more than 20 times in the Champions League, only Viktoria Pilzen can top the above value with 3.8.
These figures speak volumes: If you want to bet on lots of goals on both sides, that’s not only a bold decision, but also a well-founded one.
This match promises to be a real spectacle, so get ready for plenty of action!
My Atalanta Bergamo Arsenal betting tip:
In my Atalanta Bergamo Arsenal prediction, I see clear signs of an exciting evening full of goals.
The tip “Both score and over 3.5 goals” seems particularly promising to me here. The statistics show that both Arsenal and Atalanta have shown a lot of offensive power in the past.
Both teams also have the potential to provide a spectacular match in 2024/25 in their very own way and thus help all goal bets to succeed!
My tip: Both score & over 3.5 goals!
