Bundesliga 5th matchday, Saturday, 28.09.2024 at 3:30 pm
A spectacle against Leverkusen, three dreary performances against significantly weaker opponents? Yes, RB Leipzig imagined the start differently in our 1st Bundesliga tips! What ideas does the team now have in my RB Leipzig Augsburg tip?
It’s clear that she would only be satisfied with a win. The Fuggerstadt team are once again one of the league’s surprise packages, continuing to concede goal after goal and playing a major role in my bet for the game on Saturday, “Over 3.5 goals”.
However, I can’t answer the question of why the Bulls score five goals one time and none at all a few days later. Perhaps they need an opponent like FC Augsburg to show them what their own offense is capable of.
Our bookmakers have little doubt as to whether there will be three points at the weekend. As a result, the RB Leipzig Augsburg odds average 1.43 to 6.40, leaving the guests with rather slim chances of winning.
My RB Leipzig Augsburg prediction includes not only the current statistics, but also a look at the direct comparison. Most statistics very quickly underpin why the “Over 3.5 goals” bet is likely to be a good one here.
The betting providers’ prediction?
Our bookmakers seem to be certain that Leipzig will leave the game with three points on Saturday. After five consecutive home wins against Augsburg, it’s no wonder that the odds are below 1.45.
Augsburg have been in crisis for a long time, winning only one of their last nine league games. Away from home? I can see them losing five in a row. So the Bavarian Swabians are actually still well served with their 6.40.
Leipzig could not prevail against Union and St. Pauli, only playing 0-0. In addition, the last three guest appearances in Augsburg always resulted in a draw. If you don’t want to rule out the draw, you can look forward to odds of 5.00.
KI-Prognose RB Leipzig vs Augsburg: That’s what ChatGPT tips
The games between Leipzig and Augsburg have definitely not been boring in recent years. Reason enough to ask ChatGPT about it and, as usual, to look at the three different betting suggestions.
If you want to take a high risk, there is the possibility of Leipzig winning despite being behind. Admittedly, the FCA took the lead in three of the last four direct duels. Nevertheless, I wouldn’t bet on this horse this time, because Augsburg only scored the 1-0 in 2024/25 once.
What about the bet that Leipzig will win with goals on both sides? Although RB collected three clean sheets, the opponents were only moderately strong with St. Pauli, Union Berlin and Bochum. Since Augsburg has already scored seven times, I am fine with this tip.
The classic “Over 2.5 goals” is of course very popular with me, but ultimately I’m still leaning a little bit more towards the top.
Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Augsburg
Somehow, RB Leipzig themselves cannot assess this start to the season. The Bulls’ goal is clear: to be at the top of the league and, in the best case, to be in with a chance of winning the title.
But how do you explain to your own fans that you win against Bayer Leverkusen after trailing 2-0, but don’t win against Union Berlin and St. Pauli? They last played 0-0 twice.
The 1-0 win against VfL Bochum also fits into this series. One goal against Bochum, Union and St. Pauli, three against Leverkusen? No, it’s not logical, not even for the best experts!
Of course, it’s great that the Saxons have not been defeated in 15 games and that no one has a longer winning streak. Nevertheless, the team is annoyed that they did not win the obligatory games.
Odds analysis
It’s hard to explain why Leipzig are having such a hard time offensively. Goals in the 1st half? Just one! So maybe betting on RB scoring at least one goal before half-time is a good idea, since FCA is allowing so much. A tight 1.50 is still available in the Betano app.
Since the visitors from Augsburg have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five away games, I also look at the “Over 1.5 goals RB” bet. A 1.35 odds? Disappointing! We have to switch to “Over 2.5 goals”, now we would be at 2.15.
Taking a risk with an outcome bet could also be worthwhile here. A 3-1 would not be out of place, especially given Augsburg’s problems. The odds are good for you, at 10.0 at Bwin.
RB Leipzig vs. Augsburg: a pairing that is usually a guarantee for spectacle!
1:0 and 0:0? No, even their own stadium is no indicator that it would go better with the support of the fans. Last season, RB only conceded twelve goals at home, so the focus now seems to be on defense again.
Four goals from the first four games? Never before has RB started a new season with so little danger! It is certainly not due to personnel problems, because with Kevin Kampl and Xaver Schlager, no one who would be responsible for many goals is missing.
The fact that a lot can happen against FC Augsburg is well known in Leipzig. However, the really crazy things, for example scoring again after trailing 0-3, happen away from home, home games are often a safe bet.
Augsburg’s defensive problems are back
3:0, 3:2, 4:0, 2:1, 3:1, 0:0, 2:0 and 2:1? All home games in the league against FCA ended successfully, with only one point conceded.
Last season, the match was also early on in the season, one round before this year’s clash. So whichever way you look at it, Augsburg will go into the game as underdogs.
Jess Thorup is already under fire after four matchdays, which is no wonder given that the crisis began long before then. The team went into the summer break with five defeats, having only played three clean sheets in 2023/24.
The big defensive problems prevail again in the still young season. 2:2 against Bremen, 0:4 in Heidenheim, 3:1 against St. Pauli and 2:3 against Mainz, two goals conceded are not uncommon!
In Leipzig, the sixth away defeat in a row now threatens, which would set a negative record. It also hardly helps the FCA that seven own goals are not even that bad, because the defense undermines all efforts.
On average, almost 3.5 goals were scored last season when the FCA marched onto the pitch away from home. As if the sporting facts were not precarious enough already, the team is also facing personnel problems.
Samuel Essende, the only professional with two goals, has been handed a red card and will therefore definitely be missing against Leipzig. He will not be back until after the international break, which will further exacerbate the FCA crisis.
My RB Leipzig Augsburg Tip:
At first glance, the game between RB and Augsburg, if it takes place in Leipzig, is one of those that we often categorize as David versus Goliath. But will it be the same this time, given that the start of the season has been quite bumpy?
The Bulls have had a hard time offensively, but with the Fuggerstadt team coming, they are an opponent that invites you to score goals. For this reason, I can very well imagine that the jam will be over.
The many goals conceded by the guests, including the fact that they also have offensive power of their own, ensures that I can confidently recommend the following bet to you:
We’ll see more than 3.5 goals!
