AC Milan – Inter Milan betting tip
The Derby della Madonnina, named in honor of one of the city’s main attractions, the statue of the Virgin Mary on the roof of the cathedral, often referred to as the “Madonnina”, promises pure betting entertainment this Monday evening.
The best sports betting providers have already circulated early odds for this potentially decisive duel.
It would be the first time in the history of Serie A that the next Italian champion could be announced directly after a Milan derby.
Of course, I couldn’t pass up this historic opportunity to bring you up to date with my AC Milan Inter Milan predictions
Just as the championship was decided surprisingly early in Germany, a “lightning scudetto” is also in the offing in Italy.
Should the Nerazzurri prevail at the San Siro, the championship would be decided with five matchdays to go.
It would be only the sixth time ever south of the Alps that the title has been decided so early.
Meanwhile, in my AC Milan Inter Milan betting tip, I believe that the best team in the league will not miss this golden opportunity
The prediction of the bookmakers?
The venue may be the same, but the bookmakers have identified a clear favorite.
Did AC Milan’s extra effort in the Europa League during the week possibly play a bigger role in the bookmakers’ odds than initially assumed?
In any case, it is “Internazionale” that has been given odds of around 1.98 as the favorite, while the average odds for both a draw and a win for AC Milan are significantly higher – around 3.70.
Analysis: AC Milan vs Inter Milan
I had imagined the finish of the 2023/24 season to be exactly as it is currently shaping up. However, I must honestly admit that I saw Milan crossing the finish line ahead of Inter.
This would have been an obvious conclusion if you consider the monumental transfers made by the AC board last summer in order to win the Scudetto again in 2023/24.
In between, however, there were one or two disastrous slips that knocked Pioli’s team off course for the title.
However, they are now as good as they should have been from the start. Milan have now lost just one of their last 17 Serie A games, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match (12 wins, 4 draws)
On the other hand, Inter are still deeply disappointed not to have reached the Champions League semi-finals.
However, the final quarter of an hour in the quarter-final second leg, when Simone Inzaghi’s side were unusually error-prone at the back, put paid to their “double”.
This was followed by four matches against Napoli (1:1), Empoli (2:0), Udinese (2:1) and Cagliari (2:2), which did not always produce the desired result.
Nevertheless, unlike Milan, all the key players are fit! The Rossoneri, however, are still missing key central defender Simon Kjaer, while German Malick Thiaw is suspended for tonight
Quota analysis
Rafael Leao has started to take a liking to the derby. The Portuguese has been involved in a total of four goals in the last three Serie A duels between the two eternal rivals (3 goals, 1 assist).
Although I strongly sympathize with an away win bet tonight, I can well imagine that the city rivals will also score – especially thanks to the friendly support of Rafael Leao.
In any case, the payout for a goal from the Portuguese is extremely high. Using the Bwin app, you can secure odds of a whopping 3.75 if the athletic winger actually scores at any point during the match
Inter with a series like last time in 1948?
This fixture is often extremely even, which is why neither team has managed to consistently get the better of the other.
However, Inter have won their last five competitive matches against Milan, which is an extremely rare occurrence.
Should the Nerazzurri prevail tonight, it would be the first time since 1948 that one of the two rivals – back then it was AC – has won six Milan derbies in a row
Inter with a statistical advantage!
While I base my AC Milan Inter Milan prediction on the impression I have gained that the Nerazzurri are actually the better team, analysts, on the other hand, curl a “two” on the betting slip based on their data science.
There are several facts and figures that indicate in advance that Inter will prevail this time too. In view of their published odds, the bookmakers will probably feel vindicated at this point:
You might think that “San Siro” or “Giuseppe Meazza” make no difference, as they are one and the same venue. However, this is only partly true!
Because if Milan have been awarded nominal home rights, they have only managed to win one of the last eight editions of the Derby della Madonnina (3 draws, 4 defeats)
In addition, their coach, Stefano Pioli, of all people, is the coach with the most defeats in the history of the Milan derby.
Of the 14 matches in which he has been on the touchline, the Rossoneri have only managed to come out on top 3 times (2 draws, 9 defeats).
My tip: The rivalry between the two clubs is great and there would be no greater satisfaction for the Inter soul than to be able to celebrate the Scudetto in front of the opposing fans at the San Siro of all places!
Consequently, I expect an extremely heated duel tonight, with lots of fouls and goals.
I can very well imagine that Inter will come out on top with results such as 2:1 or 3:1 and then be crowned the next Italian champions.
My Milan Inter Milan betting tip is: Win Inter & Both teams score
