Serie A, Friday, 27/09/2024 at 20:45 CET
Is the Italian championship fight possibly more exciting than initially assumed?
Since last weekend, redeeming the Merkur Bets bonus in combination with a championship contender who is not called Inter can no longer be equated with wasting a first-class sports betting bonus.
Because of all things, the city rivals have made the race for the Scudetto more exciting than ever with their victory in the “Derby della Madonnina”. According to my AC Milan Lecce betting tip, the Rossoneri will keep their foot on the gas on Friday.
A successful 180-degree turnaround, like something out of a storybook! Milan are currently the only Serie A club to have recorded back-to-back wins, and Paulo Fonseca finally seems to have put his team on the road to success.
In the familiar atmosphere of the San Siro at the weekend, the Rossoneri showed the whole of Italy that they may have found their way back to their old strength and no longer buckle under pressure.
Thanks to Gabbia’s late 2-1 winner in the Derby della Madonnina against Inter, they have also given the German betting providers a good telling off. Because they only gave them a slim chance of a win with odds of around 5.00…
On the other hand, US Lecce are struggling with their own destiny on Friday. The southern Italians experienced real drama against Parma, where they squandered a 2-0 lead in injury time.
The team shows that it is combative, but often loses its nerve in the important moments. Various injury concerns and suspensions do not make the situation any better.
Coach D’Aversa faces the challenge of stabilizing his team again, but against an AC Milan that now believes in itself and its coach again, it will be anything but easy.
The AC Milan Lecce betting odds clearly show who should be ahead here.
With odds of 1.38, Milan are the clear favorites going into the race. This means that the bookmakers see a probability of about 72% that the Rossoneri will actually get the upper hand at home.
And Lecce? With a win rate of 7.25, the bookmakers give the underdog only a 13% chance. So it would be a real sensation if the southern Italians were to take the full three points at the San Siro for the first time since 1997…
But if we take a closer look at the AC Milan Lecce odds, there are other exciting scenarios that you can also consider – for example, player betting. And in this regard, I have a hot candidate for you!
Christian Pulisic is currently in top form. He has scored in each of his three season games for the Rossoneri – always in the first half.
The average odds of 7.00 for the tip “Pulisic scores the 1-0” is therefore absolutely attractive. Those who want to take less risk can instead bet on the US American scoring at any time, which is currently trading at odds of around 3.00.
Another worthwhile scenario is a home win without conceding a goal. Milan have actually kept a clean sheet in four of their last five home games against Lecce.
The odds of 2.25 for a “Rossoneri clean sheet” are therefore well worth considering in view of this statistic.
However, for those who want to play it safe, a simple bet on the home win would also be interesting.
However, at 1.38, the odds are not particularly high. It is therefore worth looking for a little more risk if you are aiming for higher winnings.
The head-to-head between Milan and Lecce speaks clearly in favor of the Rossoneri. Milan have won 11 of their last 12 home games against Lecce, with only one draw.
In the last two seasons, the southern Italians managed to prevent the hot favorites from winning the Serie A – but this was always at the Stadio via del Mare and not at the awe-inspiring San Siro.
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Conclusion: After the impressive win at the weekend, the mood in Milan has completely changed. Paulo Fonseca, who was recently viewed critically, has quickly become a fan favorite.
This euphoria will now carry the Rossoneri through to the game against Lecce, and with a Christian Pulisic in top form, who has already scored in three consecutive games, the chances are very good that Milan will take a commanding victory here – including a Pulisic goal.
My AC Milan v Lecce prediction: Milan win & Pulisic scores!
