Ajax – Atalanta Tip Conference League, Matchday 2 on Thursday, 22.10.2026 at 21:00 CET
A 5-2 win in Groningen on Sunday, a 2-1 defeat at Hajduk Split the week before: it is rarely boring with this Ajax team. My Ajax Atalanta tip is therefore based on exactly what is currently on the agenda in Amsterdam.
Namely, on Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.40, which can be excellently refined with the DAZN Bet new customer bonus. In Amsterdam’s nine Eredivisie games, 39 goals have already been scored, an average of 4.3 goals per game.
And the guests? They fit perfectly into the picture. Maurizio Sarri’s team conceded eleven goals in seven Serie A games, did not draw a single one and lost 3-2 in Milan on Sunday. Careful scanning looks different!
Ajax vs Atalanta AI predictions:
If you still need a second opinion on this pairing, our Ajax Atalanta AI prediction will deliver it to your doorstep. The model has broken down the form curves of both teams and spat out two alternatives, which I am happy to sign.
At the top of the list is both teams to score at odds of 1.50, for which the Oddset free bet is also great. Ajax conceded twelve goals in nine league games, while the visitors scored twice in the 3-2 defeat in Milan.
If you want to play a little higher, take Ajax Over 1.5 goals at 1.85. Three goals per game have been the norm in the Eredivisie recently, and Sarri’s team travels with eleven goals conceded from seven league games.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Ajax Amsterdam |
Draw |
Victory Atalanta Bergamo |
| 45.3% |
24.8% |
29.9% |
How this evening begins can be predicted quite well. Ajax are without a point after the defeat on Hajduk’s Poljud and must deliver immediately in front of 55,000 spectators – Michel Sanchez will send his team forward early.
That’s why I also find 1st half: Over 1.5 goals at odds of 2.30 appealing, especially since such bets can often be spiced up with a suitable bet365 odds boost.
Atalanta, on the other hand, currently has little to do with managing a result: Four defeats from the last five league games and not a single draw this season show that Bergamo’s games almost always tip in one direction.
What you need to know about Ajax vs. Atalanta betting
- Continuous spectacle in the Eredivisie: In Ajax’s nine league games, 39 goals have already been scored, which corresponds to an average of 4.3 goals per game.
- Offense top, defense permeable: The Amsterdam team scored 27 league goals, but also conceded twelve goals and most recently won 5-2 in Groningen.
- Form crisis of the guests: Atalanta have lost four of their last five Serie A games, most recently 3-2 at AC Milan.
- All or nothing with Sarri: In seven Serie A games, Atalanta did not get a single draw (three wins, four defeats).
- Different European start: Ajax lost 2-1 at Hajduk Split in the opener, while Atalanta dispatched Pafos 3-1.
