Arsenal – Burnley Tip Premier League, Matchday 37 on Monday, 18/05/26 at 21:00 CET
On the penultimate matchday of the Premier League, the Gunners are looking forward to an absolute must-win. My Arsenal Burnley tip is therefore focused on a clear home win in the title race against the already relegated team.
I’m betting on an Arsenal win without conceding a goal. The Gunners’ defence is the best in the league, while Burnley can hardly make an impact offensively.
Mikel Arteta’s team has already kept 18 clean sheets this season. Burnley, on the other hand, has one of the most harmless offenses in the entire Premier League with only 37 goals this season and will have an enormously difficult time in the Emirates.
Arsenal vs. Burnley AI Predictions:
Of course, our AI model is also at the start on the home stretch of this Premier League season and provides you with more betting alternatives in its Arsenal Burnley AI prediction.
An interesting selection is the bet on a handicap victory. Since the goal difference could still be decisive in the title race, I expect the home side to be looking for a sweeping victory. And who could be better suited as an opponent than the already relegated Burnley?
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Arsenal |
Draw |
Win Burnley |
| 85.3% |
9% |
5.7% |
The Asian Handicap Line of -2.5 for Arsenal at odds of around 1.82 is worth considering. That means Arsenal must win by at least three goals, which is absolutely within the realm of possibility given the circumstances.
In addition, goalscorer bets are an option. Viktor Gyökeres has a high probability (odds approx. 1.40) to score a goal. A bet on him as a goalscorer in combination with a home win would improve the low Arsenal Burnley odds a bit. “Gyökeres scores & Arsenal wins” has odds of around 1.50.
What you need to know about Arsenal vs. Burnley betting
- Arsenal have won all of their last three home games.
- The Gunners have not conceded a goal in their last four competitive games.
- Burnley has the weakest offense in the league with 31.34 xG.
- Arsenal have lost only three of 30 home games this season.
- Goalkeeper David Raya has the best goal against percentage in the league (0.72).



