Champions League, Wednesday, 12/03/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
A Champions League return match with a friendly character. There is hardly any other way to describe the duel between Arsenal and PSV Eindhoven. With a whopping 7-1 away win in the first leg, the Gunners have already wrapped up everything.
Or are we going to see what is arguably the greatest comeback in the history of the competition? I lack faith alone. However, it shouldn’t be a breadless art on Wednesday either.
I expect a colorful back and forth and place my bet on both teams scoring at Bet365 in my Arsenal PSV Eindhoven tip.
Yes, Arsenal were favorites in this round of 16 matchup, but that it would be so clear right after the first leg? I would have expected a narrow victory or a draw. PSV now need a football miracle of the very greatest kind after the “Germany Brazil World Cup 2014” result.
However, I would not be surprised if there is already a good mix in the starting lineup to save players for the league and give other players the chance to prove themselves. That’s why I see potential for both teams to score.
The bookmakers’ prediction
In my opinion, an 1X2 bet is like a lottery ticket here. Arsenal start as the clear favorites at 1.37 on paper, PSV start the match at 7.00, and our top betting providers offer 5.00 for a draw.
After the 7:1, Arsenal can look forward to the match in a relaxed manner. The guests have de facto nothing to win and nothing to lose.
I find the “double chance X2” at 2.75 to be the most interesting bet.
AI prediction Arsenal vs. PSV Eindhoven: ChatGPT’s tip
ChatGPT also avoids the match odds by recommending “low risk” and bets against me! That’s because the AI sees value in the selection that both teams won’t score on Wednesday. However, PSV were not without danger in the first leg.
And I can’t imagine Arsenal going home without scoring, despite the huge lead. None of the stars want to make themselves unpopular with Mikel Arteta with a lackluster performance. And as I said, the match is an opportunity for rotation players.
Unusual: In the middle odds region, ChatGPT has picked out Arsenal’s victory with both teams scoring. True to the motto, if it does ring, then really!
Since I want to avoid the 1X2 market, I’m not a big fan of the combo either.
The AI came up with the 2-0 Arsenal win as the third result tip for players who like to reach into the higher odds shelves.
Analysis: Arsenal vs. PSV Eindhoven
PSV lost their way in February, having only managed two competitive victories since the beginning of the month. In addition to the 3-1 win against Juventus, they beat Heerenveen 2-1 in the league at the weekend.
Due to the many weak results, Ajax have now pulled ahead in the Eredivisie. The gap has grown to eight points. With 75 goals, PSV has by far the best offense, but it has to fight a lot more in defense than Amsterdam.
30 goals were conceded in 25 games, almost twice as many as the team in second place. In the last 16 competitive games, they kept just one clean sheet. Given these dire statistics, the Arsenal goal is entirely to be expected.
At least the series is longer in terms of own goals. In 2025, PSV has scored in every match so far. The last goalless performance was on December 14. In the Champions League group stage, the team scored an average of two PSV goals, which they managed to maintain after four goals against Juve.
Odds Analysis
Arsenal, on the other hand, were able to save themselves the last round completely, conceding the fewest goals after Inter, and keeping a clean sheet at home in all four games. However, with Donetsk and Zagreb, there were also two weaker teams.
The Londoners have the best defensive record in the Premier League. 24 balls found their way into the Arsenal goal. They are currently in second place, eight points ahead of a non-Champions League place.
However, the traditional club has not won in three league games. A 0-1 defeat to West Ham was followed by a 0-0 draw against their first pursuer Nottingham and a 1-1 draw at Manchester United. In the EFL Cup, the club was temporarily knocked out by Newcastle.
They also lost their white streak in four consecutive league home games. Due to the high underdog odds, we get 1.69 for the single PSV goal and 5.00 for the double strike! That would be something for a free bet!
Arsenal vs. PSV Eindhoven odds: No further escalation?
Due to the friendly nature of this game, I would generally make sure to keep your stakes low for this match, or check out one of the numerous free bet offers. Because here, one or two high odds could quickly add up.
The bookmakers have not factored in a renewed escalation in results. With “Over 3.5 goals”, the stake can already be tripled if successful. Another 5.00 odds await with “Over 4.5 goals”.
In doing so, PSV not only has a remarkable offensive value in terms of goals, but also in terms of the number of chances. Over 90 minutes, the Dutch team created the fifth-highest number of opportunities, with Arsenal creating around four fewer.
The differences in the defensive statistics are more pronounced. While Arsenal have kept fewer goals than almost any other team, the away team has not exactly covered itself in glory in this ranking.
How motivated are the Gunners?
You out there are more confident in the 1X2 market. At Winamax, most users have pounced on the Arsenal victory in this match. In addition to the home victory rate, the “double chance 1X” the goal of both teams and the “over 1.5 goals” line are in demand.
So a few of the lower odds are also being taken on here, but I would stay away from them in this match. At Winamax, they are at least free of betting taxes, and as a new customer, you can get a free bet credit of up to 100 euros.
Another bonus that I would like to recommend to you is that of Bet365. With the code “VIPANGEBOT”, you will receive a strong package from the official sponsor of the Champions League. In addition, the traditional betting provider is giving away tickets for the Champions League.
Arsenal and PSV have met nine times in total, including in the group stage of the previous season. Arsenal won 4-0 at home, followed by a 1-1 draw in the second meeting.
Overall, Arsenal have emerged victorious on five occasions in this fixture, while PSV have only won twice. The only Champions League victory against the English top club was a 1-0 win in the 2007 round of 16, which was enough to see them through.
In fact, PSV have scored only one goal in five away games in London. The statistics should look a little better after Wednesday.
My Arsenal PSV Eindhoven tip:
I would rather not place high stakes in this second leg. That’s why I’m also accessing a slightly higher rate in this match, which in my opinion, however, brings a higher probability of occurrence than many of the low rates.
I expect rotations on both sides, at least in half-time number two. In a duel without total tension, I expect both teams to get the opportunity to set highlights here.
PSV have scored in all of their 2025 games so far, and Arsenal have kept clean sheets in the Emirates in recent weeks. The only clean sheet we saw was against Zagreb in mid-January.
My Arsenal PSV Eindhoven prediction: Both teams score!
