Roma – Fiorentina Tip Serie A, Matchday 35 on Monday, 04/05/26 at 20:45 CET
For Monday evening, the bookmakers have taken the side of the “Giallorossi” a bit too much in my eyes. Of course, they urgently need the three points in the fight for fourth place, but that won’t be as easy as many expect!
Consequently, I have chosen two bookmaker offers that promise far more value in different ways. That would be the Betano promo code on the one hand and an AS Roma Fiorentina bet on a draw & under 2.5 goals at odds of 4.70 at the same bookie on the other.
In fact, a lot should take place in midfield in the Olimpico and less in the respective penalty areas. Roma will be pressuring, but without the injured Dovbyk, the suspended El Aynaoui and possibly Lorenzo Pellegrini, it will be difficult to break through!
AS Roma vs. Fiorentina AI Predictions:
You can already place World Cup 2026 bets as you wish. But before that, I dedicate myself fervently to the last matchdays of the 2025/26 Serie A season and have had a detailed AS Roma Fiorentina AI forecast made in this context.
I then put the mental outpourings of our data model to the test for you and was amazed. I would not only recommend the betting suggestion under 2.5 goals to you, but consider it myself!
I consider the risk to be low and the odds of about 1.95 to be extremely high. Especially since exactly this bet would have been successful in 12 of the previous 17 Serie A home games of the “Giallorossi”.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory AS Roma |
Draw |
Win Fiorentina |
| 59.8% |
23% |
17.2% |
Goal(s) in both halves – No is another computer-generated recommendation to values of 2.05, where I see a certain amount of value. Both teams should neutralize each other as much as possible, and a goalless half of the game would be the logical consequence.
And last but not least, an AI pick, which deviates from my AS Roma Fiorentina tip from the headline, but still receives my blessing due to the first-class risk-reward ratio!
Roma must win the fight for the Champions League at all costs and perhaps actually achieve the hoped-for breakthrough with a last, desperate attack in injury time.
History provides additional tailwind: Roma narrowly won the last direct duels with 1-0 and 2-1 respectively.
What you need to know about AS Roma vs. Fiorentina betting
- Rome’s lack of staying power: The Giallorossi reveal a curious weakness in the closing stages; AS Roma is the only Serie A team that has not yet scored a goal from the 90th minute this season.
- Specialists for the opening goal: Roma are masters at opening games; only Inter Milan (28) scored the 1-0 more often than the Romans (21 times). When the lead is in place, the team is also extremely stable (18 wins, 2 draws, only 1 defeat).
- Fiorentina’s concentrated defence: The guests from Florence have been extremely solid before the break and have conceded only one goal in the first half in their last seven league games.
- Disciplinary susceptibility of viola: Fiorentina often acts on the edge of what is allowed; with 75 yellow cards in the current 2025/26 season, they share the inglorious top spot in the cross-club booking statistics.
