Serie A, Sunday, 05.01.2025 at 20:45
When the cat’s away, the mice dance. And while the top four teams in Italy are on the hunt for the Supercoppa in Saudi Arabia, the “Biancocelesti” would like to quietly and secretly stalk the runaway group at the top.
But according to my AS Roma Lazio Rome betting tip, they will come up against a resilient city rival on Sunday. Claudio Ranieri has spiced up battered Roma in much the same way as the Betano promo code refreshes your betting coffers.
After a hard-fought draw against Milan at the end of the year – which incidentally led to the sacking of Paulo Fonseca – AS Roma start the new year next Sunday with the most exciting of all duels – the “Derby della Capitale” against their eternal rivals.
This clash is undoubtedly one of the most intense and emotional city derbies in the world. It is not only about local honor, but also about the best places in Serie A.
However, Roma is currently stuck deep in mid-table, 15 points behind Lazio Rome and, unlike its hated city rivals, has had to change its coach twice this season for good reason.
Although Roma is usually strong at home, home advantage naturally loses some of its significance in this particular derby.
Nevertheless, with a positive home record of 5 wins to 4 defeats, Claudio Ranieri’s team will do everything in their power to record their third win in a row at the Stadio Olimpico.
The “Giallorossi” could be particularly motivated by the fact that they ended a four-game winless streak against Lazio Rome of all teams last season. They always seem to be able to spur themselves on against their city rivals!
Furthermore, Ranieri has only won more often against three other teams in his long coaching career than against Lazio (12 wins). This fact could also encourage the supporters!
Lazio Roma, meanwhile, ended 2024 with an important point win against Atalanta Bergamo and were able to establish themselves in the upper reaches of the table.
Only six points behind the league leaders, Lazio are still a serious contender in the race for this year’s Scudetto.
A win in this derby would significantly boost their chances of winning their first championship since the 1999/00 season. However, a defeat could just as quickly dampen their hopes of winning the title.
Coach Marco Baroni has a rather disappointing personal record against AS Roma, which makes the challenge for Lazio on Sunday all the greater (1 win, 1 draw, 5 defeats).
Although the derby is of course not a real “away game” for Lazio Rome, the Biancocelesti are nevertheless extremely successful away from home.
After all, they have won six of their last seven away games and, in my opinion, are at least on a par with their upcoming opponents.
It is precisely this perceived equality between the two rivals that leads me to believe that the derby will be anything but a one-sided affair.
Lazio Rome will not give in easily, but the same applies to Roma. It could therefore be an exciting and hard-fought derby in which both teams will give their all to take the three points.
There are exactly two interesting betting options for the exciting derby della Capitale between AS Roma and Lazio Roma that you should have on your radar.
One betting suggestion that is ideal here is a 1-0 goal bet on Artem Dovbyk, as he has scored five goals in his last three games.
If the Ukrainian is indeed the first to score in an encounter that tends to be low-scoring, you can expect impressive odds of around 8.00 in most of the sports betting apps tested.
Another promising scenario is a bet on fewer than two goals in the entire match.
The last five meetings between these two teams have never ended with a final score higher than 1:0 or 0:1.
The odds of 3.30 for “Under 1.5 goals” therefore appear to be an attractive option on the betting markets.
Conclusion: Roma have regained their former strength under Claudio Ranieri and are proving to be a competitive opponent. Both teams are likely to be on an equal footing in this match, which promises to be an exciting, hard-fought game.
The high potential for a low-scoring result such as a 0-0 or 1-0 is certainly there, as both teams are well positioned defensively. Who could come out on top?
It speaks more in favor of the “Giallorossi”, who could show a little more stability and assertiveness thanks to Ranieri’s tactics and restored self-confidence.
However, my risk-averse AS Roma Lazio Rome tip is: Under 2.5 goals