FA Cup, 5th round, Friday, 02/28/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
First division team against second division team – and the Premier League participant has home advantage! Admittedly, not everything may be evenly matched in my Aston Villa Cardiff betting tip, but the FA Cup is not about tactical thinking.
In this respect, there is a clear favorite, but I will of course tell you why in my current analysis. I absolutely agree with the bookmakers and say: Aston Villa wins with goals on both sides! For you, this bet would result in lucrative odds of 2.86, which are available to you after successful NEO.bet registration.
Don’t lose to a team from a lower division! Aston Villa have only survived the current fifth round once since 2010, which of course puts a certain amount of pressure on Friday.
The club from Birmingham reached the final in 2015, losing 4-0 to Arsenal, and has been waiting ever since to avoid early elimination. So it’s a good thing that the draw brought Cardiff City.
I’ll take a look at the Villans’ first two cup rounds, did they get through them with flying colors? With West Ham and Tottenham, opponents from the Premier League were waiting, so there could well have been defeats.
But there weren’t, they won both games 2-1. So that’s the quick analysis of the competition so far, which hasn’t yielded much yet, and we can look ahead to the Premier League together.
A few days ago, Aston Villa drew 2-2 against Liverpool, which was of course an honorable result. Only one of the last nine games has been lost, so consistency has finally returned.
However, since four of the last six games have ended in a draw, I can’t speak of total satisfaction at the same time. Nevertheless, as many clubs feel the same way, Aston Villa is fighting for a place in the Champions League.
Incidentally, a few days after the FA Cup appearance, the team will play their round of 16 first knockout game against Bruges, so they have a very realistic chance of going straight into the last eight!
Four days separate the two, so it would be foolish to think that the FA Cup is being “abandoned” for this. Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal, Man City, they all failed to beat Aston Villa in recent weeks.
It is also very encouraging for Villa fans that they have not lost at home since a 2-0 defeat to Arsenal in August, and they have always scored in the Premier League at Villa Park.
Anyone expecting clear home victories is barking up the wrong tree here. Three 2-1s, a 1-0, two 3-1s and a 3-2. If they’re going to win at home, it’ll be by a narrow margin. That’s why I recommend you check out the top bookmaker Bet365.
Here you can bet that Aston Villa will win by exactly one goal on Friday. The odds climb to 4.50, which sounds really profitable.
At the same time, I note that the team has only kept three clean sheets in the Premier League. This is obviously a great opportunity for Cardiff, even though the visitors know that they have to play the role of the underdog with odds of 15.5 to 1.20.
The two clubs have not played each other since 2018, when they met in the Championship. Cardiff is still active in England’s second-highest division, but things are not going particularly well for them at the moment.
The Bluebirds are hanging on by a thread, so they have to worry about relegation. They have not won in four games, but there is an even bigger problem: they have only won once away from home!
At the beginning of February, they were beaten 0-7 at Leeds, so Cardiff should definitely be warned. For the first time since 2014, they have reached the fifth round of the FA Cup, but it was a lucky one.
They won 1-0 against Sheffield United in the first round, before facing Stoke City in the second. After a wild 3-3 draw, Cardiff kept their nerve from the spot to claim victory after a penalty shootout.
A Champions League round of 16 contender who have only lost once at home, play at home to a second division team who are in a relegation battle and have only scored three points once away from home – it’s David versus Goliath!
Aston Villa should have no problems getting through the fifth round of the FA Cup on Friday. However, I have discovered in my analysis that the Villans like to make it exciting and, above all, very, very rarely manage to keep a clean sheet.
Therefore, I think it is likely that the guests will be allowed to play along for at least a while. However, I don’t think Cardiff will lose any chances to advance, as their results in the Championship are simply too poor for that. My tip is therefore:
Aston Villa win with goals on both sides!
