Series A, Sunday, 15.09.2024 at 15:00
Good thing the international break came in between. Giampiero Gasperini had enough time to clean up the mess left behind by Inter and realign his team.
Of course, the brutal defeat against the reigning Italian champions will have left its mark.
In my Atalanta Bergamo Fiorentina betting tip for the 4th Serie A matchday, however, I assume that the return of Ademola Lookman will at least significantly improve the home side’s attacking flow.
In recent weeks, no Serie A coach has enjoyed a breather as much as Atalanta Bergamo’s former head coach Gian Piero Gasperini. The 4-0 defeat against Inter Milan was a bitter blow that had to be digested first.
Gasperini used the time to further integrate his new summer signings into his tactics, even if I’m not entirely sure whether the team is actually in a better position on matchday 4 than it was last year.
One of the two “mutineers”, the outstanding Teun Koopmeiners, was able to force through his desired transfer to Juve. However, the other player who insisted on a transfer, Ademola Lookman, ultimately stayed (albeit reluctantly).
However, according to my Atalanta Bergamo Fiorentina tip, the Nigerian could play a key role on Sunday – more on that in a moment!
At first glance, things don’t look particularly rosy for Atalanta, especially as their dream 2023/24 season officially ended with a 3-2 defeat to Fiorentina.
This defeat will certainly be reason enough for the ambitious Gasperini to seek revenge at all costs in this weekend’s home game with the “Viola”.
In addition, recently recovered new signing Nicolò Zaniolo, who originally wanted to play for Fiorentina but ultimately opted for Atalanta, is expected to make an important return (even if there is still a big question mark over his involvement).
Fiorentina fans, meanwhile, can choose between optimism and pessimism. Is the glass half full or half empty?
The “Viola” have neither won nor lost their first five competitive matches of the new 2024/25 season – a historic record (5 draws).
The visitors have now gone seven Serie A games without defeat (3 wins, 4 draws). However, the past season was riddled with problems on and off the pitch, particularly in defense and away from home against strong competition.
Fiorentina only won a single away game away to a team that was placed higher than them on the matchday
When we look at the Atalanta Bergamo Florence odds, we see some interesting betting scenarios for the clash between Atalanta Bergamo and Fiorentina appear on the various betting apps.
Ademola Lookman, whose hoped-for transfer to PSG ultimately fell through, is expected to be back in the starting eleven on Sunday.
The Nigerian has been almost unstoppable at Bergamo of late, scoring in three of his last four Serie A home games. I therefore recommend betting on Lookman to score again. The current goal average of 2.72 is certainly quite nice
In addition, the statistics show that Atalanta have scored more than 2.5 goals in all but three of their last 20 Serie A games.
This suggests that several goals should also be scored in the upcoming match. Therefore, a bet on “Over 2.5 goals” at current odds of around 1.73 would certainly not be a bad choice.
The combination of these two betting recommendations also offers an interesting opportunity to benefit from the advantages of a well-considered combination bet with low risk
If you expect Florence to make a decisive contribution in terms of goals on Sunday, you should avoid a certain player in corresponding goal bets.
Moise Kean, who scored for Fiorentina in their last league game, has never won or scored against Atalanta.
He has drawn five times and lost twice against the Bergamo club. Therefore, a bet on Kean would be risky in my opinion.
So before you bet your money on the Italian international, you should invest your energy in the Winamax bonus on Sunday. Because you’ll definitely get more value back from this great free bet worth 100 euros!
Before we come to the conclusion, there’s some important information about the absences that I’d like to share with you here.
Atalanta currently have a few concerns in defense. Djimsiti, Kolasinac and Scalvini are all injured. This could considerably weaken the Bergamasco defense.
With these three regulars on the bench, it could become more difficult for Atalanta to keep Fiorentina at bay.
You should therefore keep this in mind when placing your bets. Incidentally, this is also the main reason why I’m not backing my favorite team in a 1X2 bet
Conclusion: In my Atalanta Fiorentina prediction, I’m leaning towards the two betting options “Both score” and “Over 2.5 goals”.
Atalanta are currently struggling with the absences of Djimsiti, Kolasinac and Scalvini, which considerably weakens the home side’s defense. These defensive problems could open up opportunities for Fiorentina to score a goal or two.
On the other hand, Ademola Lookman is expected to return and create a lot of action in front of the opposition box. His talent and statistics from last season certainly suggest that he will score again.
Nevertheless, there are questions about his motivation, as he would have liked to join PSG in the summer …
My tip: Both score & over 2.5 goals
