Athletic Bilbao – Real Sociedad Tip Copa del Rey, first leg on Wednesday, 11/02/26 at 21:00
The fact that the guests could even grab the King’s Cup is something I have already put to the test at a betting provider with PayPal as a long-term bet. But first you certainly want to hear a good Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad tip from me for the semi-final first leg – and you get it!
Without underestimating the hosts, I tend to have an uneventful course of play with another usable result for the seemingly unbeatable “La Real”.
Double Chance & Under 3.5 goals at odds around 2.10 would keep all possibilities open for them anyway, in order to finally knock their neighbours out of the competition in three weeks’ time in their home stadium.
Meanwhile, I wouldn’t want to speculate on the first defeat in 2026 on Wednesday, as even much stronger clubs than Bilbao have recently failed miserably at this task.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad AI Predictions:
Our Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad AI prediction is definitely not wrong: Over 2.5 goals at attractive odds of around 2.20 or alternatively Both teams score at an equally respectable 1.88 are data-based recommendations quite recommendable.
In the last eight competitive games in Bilbao, both teams have scored in each case, at Real Sociedad even in the last 11 games – statistically everything is wonderfully understandable, no question!
Nevertheless, Wednesday’s pairing could lack offensive momentum: Luka Sucic was injured in Real Sociedad’s recent La Liga win over Elche, and Yuri Berchiche has been out for Bilbao for a few days.
However, the home side are likely to be a bit more defensive than usual, especially without the strong full-back …
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Athletic Bilbao |
Draw |
Victory Real Sociedad |
| 42.9% |
28.3% |
28.8% |
Consequently, I would discard the rather goal-heavy suggestions of our Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad AI prediction and instead focus on a suitable sports betting bonus as well as bets that expect a rather uneventful course of the game.
Under 2.5 goals at odds around 1.67 is my preferred betting choice. In the first leg, Real Sociedad should be extremely cautious, and this requirement has already been met in three of the last four direct duels.
The Asian Handicap bet on goals with Under (0.5)/(1.0) as an alternative currently promises odds of around 2.15 at bet365 Germany and at least secures your stake if the score is not 0-0 at half-time as hoped, but instead 1-0 or 0-1.
What you need to know about Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad betting
- Athletic Bilbao have shown extreme staying power in the cup recently – four of the last six Copa del Rey games of the “Lions” have gone the full distance of 120 minutes
- The defence of both teams is shaky: In Athletic Bilbao’s last eight competitive games, both teams have scored a goal
- Real Sociedad provide entertainment in the cup – five of the last six games in the Copa del Rey have ended with a total of more than 2.5 goals
- Sociedad shines with an impressive offensive series: In the last 11 competitive games, both teams have scored in each case, which was also the case in the most recent 1-1 draw in the league derby at the beginning of February
