Bundesliga Matchday 30, Saturday, 20.04.2025 at 15:30
Starting this week, Eintracht Frankfurt can focus 100 percent on the league in the German top flight for the season finale.
Compared to Tottenham, the Eagles didn’t spread their wings in time and were knocked out of the Europa League after a 0-1 home defeat in the second leg.
The clash with Spurs not only cost SGE a lot of energy. Mario Götze suffered at least a slight muscle tear and will probably not be able to play against Augsburg.
In the second half of the season, no Bundesliga club likes to look at its schedule and see FC Augsburg there.
The Fuggerstadt team is the third-best team in the second half of the season (23 points) and already has four points more than it did after the entire first half (19).
This is due to the development of the defense, which also has a major influence on my Augsburg Frankfurt tip. At Interwetten, I’m betting on odds of 2.15 for “Both teams to score – No.”
The bookmakers’ prediction?
FC Augsburg have lost only one of their last five Bundesliga home games and have proven to be extremely difficult opponents in their own arena.
However, the home side have won only one of their last ten Bundesliga matches against SGE (4 draws, 5 losses), which is why the odds of 2.55 for a home win are primarily playable with a free bet.
However, I wouldn’t bet on SGE winning at odds of around 2.77 without some kind of insurance, as Dino Toppmöller’s team hasn’t performed well enough in the second half of the season.
AI prediction Augsburg vs. Frankfurt: ChatGPT’s prediction
The artificial intelligence has once again spit out three predictions, of which I actually like the highest-risk option the best.
But first, I’d like to mention the other two options. You can get a “Double Chance X2” at Bwin at odds of 1.50. For me, however, that’s a false sense of security. After all, SGE has lost two of its last three Bundesliga away games (1W).
I don’t think much of the second recommendation either. ChatGPT actually predicts a game with “over 2.5 goals.” Bet-at-home offers odds of 1.85 for this. However, you can already guess from my Augsburg Frankfurt tip that I’m leaning more in the other direction.
Overall, I’m giving the Fuggerstadt team a slight advantage, partly due to the additional strain on SGE. The high-risk AI prediction also follows this line of thinking. You can find “Half-time/Full-time Draw/Augsburg” at Interwetten with odds of 6.00.
Analysis: Augsburg vs. Frankfurt
Anyone who wants to score against Augsburg will need a lot of patience and more than just good passing to get into the Fuggerstadt penalty area.
In the second half of the season, FCA has defended better than Chelsea at its best in its “park the bus” days. No Bundesliga team has conceded fewer goals in the second half of the season than the home side (7).
Augsburg keep their attacking play simple and rely on individual moments. The ball should primarily find its way to Alexis Claude-Maurice, who leads the internal scoring charts with nine goals this season.
Otherwise, the hosts often offer little in attack, which is why it is not unlikely in the Augsburg Frankfurt tip that FCA will leave the field without scoring.
Odds analysis
The team with the best defense in the second half of the season not only does a lot right in defense, but also probably has a formidable goalkeeper between the posts.
That is definitely the case at FC Augsburg with Finn Dahmen. The keeper has conceded the fewest goals in the league (7.0) and has by far the best save percentage (86.0 percent).
If you want to make your Augsburg Frankfurt tip a little riskier, I recommend betting on “Frankfurt under 0.5 goals” with German bookmakers. This will give you approximately 3.40 times your stake back.
Augsburg vs. Frankfurt: The Eagles are reluctant to leave their nest
With five matchdays to go before the end of the season, the Hessians are very familiar with their position in the table. The SGE has been in third place for weeks and is well on course for the Champions League.
After a difficult phase and only one win in seven games, Toppmöller’s team has set its sights on victory again in the Bundesliga.
Frankfurt has won three of its last four games in the German top flight. However, I would put a big question mark over Eintracht’s chances of winning away from home.
The Eagles are reluctant to leave their nest – the Deutsche Bank Park. The Hessians returned from their last reconnaissance flight with a 0-2 defeat at the Weserstadion in Bremen.
No Bundesliga team has collected fewer away points in the second half of the season than the third-placed team (5), so a slip-up against FCA is a realistic scenario.
The price of a clean sheet has risen
The Fuggerstadt club has emerged as a sneaky top team in the second half of the season and has impressed with its formidable defensive work.
Jess Thorup and his team have already kept ten clean sheets (3rd), many of them in the second half of the season.
However, the price for clean sheets in Augsburg has risen significantly, and in some cases is even too high.
The home side have the fewest expected goals in the league (28 xG). Even FCA’s set pieces are almost nowhere less dangerous, with 7.48 xG (17th).
My Augsburg Frankfurt prediction:
Ahead of this clash, Eintracht have failed to score in three consecutive Bundesliga matches.
In my opinion, the fourth encounter will follow at the WWK Arena. It is difficult to predict in advance whether Augsburg or Frankfurt will sneak off the field goalless. Maybe the game will even end goalless.
Both teams will NOT score!
