Bundesliga Matchday 1, Saturday, 24.08.2024 at 15:30
I was live in the stadium for the last match between Augsburg and Werder Bremen. The Green-Whites celebrated a clear 3:0 away win and worked their way closer to the European Cup places. In the end, it wasn’t enough for either Augsburg or Werder to reach the Conference League.
In 2024/25, the teams will meet this Saturday right at the start of the season. Augsburg are rated as slight favorites by the bookmakers, much to the astonishment of the sports betting community.
Winning a point is absolutely realistic for the visitors, so in my Augsburg Werder Bremen betting tip I choose the “Double Chance X2”, for which there are also strong odds. Will the AI agree with this?
I’ve been to the WWK Arena three times, and the games were never boring. I was able to enjoy at least three goals. Goals are also very realistic on the first matchday between Augsburg and Werder – which is also reflected in the Augsburg Werder predictions of the various betting providers.
Since Jess Thorup has been on the sidelines, FCA have been playing more attractive soccer and it’s no secret that Werder under Ole Werner also want to shape the game against every opponent and leave nothing to chance.
So you can look forward to my analysis below, which looks at two teams who will be looking to improve in the coming months
The betting operators’ forecast
In the introduction to my Augsburg Werder Bremen betting tip, I already mentioned that the bookmakers see Augsburg ahead.
Expressed in odds: Augsburg is in the range of 2.20, so Winamax, NEObet and Co. are not fully convinced.
Werder go into the match with 3.20 before kick-off. The draw is at 3.55. At the moment I’m writing these lines, half of Winamax users have opted for the Werder odds. My “Double Chance X2” at 1.68.
is particularly popular with 86 percent.
KI prediction Augsburg vs. Werder Bremen: That’s what ChatGPT
is betting on.
You probably already know our AI bets from our European Championship predictions, now we also provide you with the suggested artificial intelligence bets for the Bundesliga matches.
As a low-risk Augsburg Werder Bremen AI tip, ChatGPT recommends the classic “Over 2.5 goals”. Due to the offensive style of play of both teams and the fact that it was mostly eventful between Augsburg and Bremen in the WWK Arena, a top odds of 1.72.
The medium-risk option is a goal for both teams. Interesting: The odds are lower here, classified as more realistic by the bookmakers, but less likely by the AI. The goal for both teams was also at the top of the list in my analysis.
I would be very interested to know what data went through the AI’s “head”. Here ChatGPT suggests the 3:2 result tip for Augsburg. The odds of 21.0 are tasty, but I personally don’t think much of result predictions.
Anyone who has ever taken part in betting rounds knows how difficult it is to get the result exactly right, especially when so many goals are expected. I’m also convinced that Bremen will take the points
Analysis: Augsburg vs. Werder Bremen
Augsburg and Bremen reached the second round of the cup without much trouble. Augsburg beat Viktoria Berlin 4:1, although they had to concede an early goal, but their class prevailed in the end.
Werder had to face Energie Cottbus on Monday evening, just like two years ago. With its shaky defense, the club from Lusatia was unable to slow down Bremen returnee Keke Topp. The home-grown player netted three goals on his professional debut
As strong as Werder played, repeatedly getting themselves into dangerous finishing positions, the hosts were just as weak, offering large gaps in the center and being very well served with three goals conceded.
The true potential of the green and white offense will only become apparent against the bigger teams in the Bundesliga – in my opinion, an Augsburg Werder Bremen prediction can still be optimistic.
However, Topp has already shown that he is in top form with several goals in preparation. A Werder fan friend of mine wrote to me full of euphoria in the Cottbus game “Keke Topp new Füllkrug.”
Quota analysis
Marvin Ducksch, on the other hand, remained somewhat pale, but at least he was able to lay on a ball. With 22 scoring points, he is one of the very important pillars in the attacking play, in my eyes still the most important.
His whereabouts are not yet clear. At Bremen, he more than quadrupled his market value from 2.00 million to 9.00 million euros.
In terms of goalscoring odds, which I find interesting in games with many expected goals, Ducksch has 3.15 odds.
The Augbsurg Werder Bremen odds of 3.55 for Topp are hot, no surprise after his treble against Cottbus.
The 20-year-old will play his first Bundesliga game for Werder on Saturday. He already got his first 19 trial minutes at Schalke in the 0:2 against Hoffenheim in April 2023.
The situation surrounding Justin Njinmah, who had a breakthrough performance last year and was considered a mainstay up front alongside Ducksch at the end of the season, will be exciting. What role will Ole Werner find for him?
He shouldn’t be satisfied with the rotation role. He’s also important for the tempo
Augsburg vs Werder Bremen odds: 3.00 odds for Augsburg goalscorer candidates
The FCA are also spoiled for choice. In Steve Mounie, the Bavarians have snapped up a new striker on a free transfer from French first division side Stade Brest. In preparation, he formed a front two with Samuel Essende, who has also joined the club.
And then there’s Philipp Tietz, who, at 3.00 like Mounie, is one of the likely goalscorers against the Hanseatic side. Essende has a 2.90. Mounie was still absent from the DFB Cup due to illness.
It is possible that he will only come off the bench against Bremen. With Keven Schlotterbeck, Kristijan Jakic and Marius Wolf, the Augsburg club management has also done something on the transfer market to reduce the number of goals conceded
How did Augsburg and Bremen prepare?
Augsburg have opted for a 4-3-1-2 system and played a solid preparation, including a 1-0 win against Leicester City. The dress rehearsal for the competitive match against Olympique Marseille, however, went wrong with a 3-1 defeat.
Werder completed a double test against Stade Rennes before the 3:1 against Cottbus. A 1-1 draw and a 1-0 defeat, a 2-1 win against Coventry City and a 2-2 draw against Sheffield Wednesday.
Obvious hint for a useful Augsburg Werder Bremen betting tip: Both teams can apparently score goals here – and concede…
Between Augsburg and Bremen, the WWK Arena is usually the place to be. At least two goals have been scored in all twelve of Augsburg’s Bundesliga home matches. However, the 1.22 for “Over 1.5 goals” is only interesting for a combined ticket
By the way, Winamax does not charge a five percent betting tax. As a new customer, you will also receive free betting credit of up to 100 euros (depending on the deposit amount). Various special promotions and odds boosts also await you
In the meantime, Winamax has become my favorite betting provider. Loyalty also pays off in the form of free credit, free bets and more. Winamax is also known as the shirt sponsor of VfB Stuttgart.
Werder has scored at least one goal eleven times in the twelve Bundesliga home matches played against FC Augsburg. If the trend continues, Augsburg will need two goals for my “Double Chance X2” bet to fail. Both teams have scored ten times.
In addition to Bremen’s 3-0 away win, Werder also celebrated a clean sheet at home (2-0).
My Augsburg Werder Bremen prediction:
Werder won both duels last season by zero. The club from the Weser delivered a strong final spurt, missing out on qualification for the Conference League by just two goals.
In Keke Topp, the Werner team has another strong attacking player in its ranks. Augsburg have scored at least one point every other time so far. The team has made a stable impression at the start of the season.
Augsburg also performed confidently in the cup and played a solid preparation. Overall, however, there are a lot of new names in the team. The Green-Whites are more stable as a team at the start of the season and I definitely think they can get a point.
My Augsburg Werder Bremen tip: Double chance X2!