Champions League, Wednesday, 30.04.2025 at 21:00
The Copa del Rey final, with the dramatic incident involving Antonio Rüdiger, is sure to keep Barcelona busy for a long time to come. But the fire continues to burn as the contours of the “treble” become ever more visible.
The tension is mounting, as the Champions League semi-final will be played on Wednesday against an Inter side that is no longer in the form it was at the start of the season in Serie A.
Barça have been outstanding in recent weeks and are generally in excellent form. Milan, on the other hand, have put in a few weaker performances in the league, which should give the Spaniards confidence.
However, they must not underestimate the Italians – Internazionale are always dangerous on the European stage, especially when they are in a semi-final.
According to my Barcelona Inter Milan betting tip placed with an Apple Pay bookmaker, the dream of three major trophies in the 2024/25 season lives on in large parts of Catalonia even after Wednesday evening.
It is indeed an old classic, and Barcelona have historically carved out a slight advantage against Inter, at least from a statistical perspective.
With 8 wins, 5 draws and only 3 defeats in the 16 encounters, the record does speak in favor of the Catalans, but there is also a small warning!
The last two matches in the group stage of the 2022/23 Champions League did not end as Barca had hoped. A narrow 1:0 away win for Inter and a 3:3 draw at home show that the “Nerazzurri” are certainly capable of standing up to the Catalans.
The bookmaker forecast
The Barcelona Inter Milan odds in the user-friendly Bet365 app paint an interesting picture: Barcelona are the clear favorites at 1.68 – odds that reflect their home advantage and form.
A draw, on the other hand, is around 4.30, which is a respectable option for anyone betting on an exciting, even game.
Finally, Inter Milan have been rated as underdogs with average odds of 4.70, which would certainly result in a nice payout if they were successful.
If you want to get even more for a Barca victory, you can register with Merkur Bets. The top bookmaker has a special offer for new customers on the occasion of the CL semi-final. Simply click on the logo or link in the table and you will receive an odds boost of 10.0 instead of 1.70 on a Barcelona home win in addition to the new customer bonus.
AI prediction Barcelona vs Inter Milan: ChatGPT
The Barcelona Inter Milan AI prediction offers various interesting betting options. ChatGPT knew how to convince me of his thoughts this time too!
High risk: “Ferran Torres scores the 1st goal” – This is a risky, but also quite plausible bet. If Lewandowski is out injured, Torres could really play himself into the limelight.
My prediction? Even if the first goal is always unpredictable, Torres could be the one to give Barcelona an early lead. The odds are great, but the uncertainty remains.
“Win Barcelona & Both teams score” also sounds very plausible. I expect a 2:1 or 3:1 for Barcelona here, although Inter Milan also have enough offensive qualities to score a goal.
The scenario makes sense to me, especially as Barcelona are strong at home and Inter will remain dangerous despite everything.
I’m also fully on board with the low risk of “over 2.5 goals”. Given the offensive strength of both teams – especially Barcelona at home – I think the probability of success of this bet is extremely high. A high-scoring game seems almost inevitable to me.
Analysis: Barcelona vs Inter Milan
Barcelona go into their Champions League semi-final first leg against Inter Milan with plenty of confidence.
On Saturday, they claimed their first truly significant title of the 2024/25 season, which is drawing to a close, after a thrilling 3-2 win over Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey final, which went into extra time.
With an extra day’s rest compared to Inter, they will now be looking to convert their strong form into another energetic home performance on Wednesday.
They are unbeaten at home in the Champions League anyway (5 wins, 1 draw). However, their only point loss at home came in the league phase against Atalanta Bergamo, an Italian Serie A team of all teams.
Inter, on the other hand, are currently knee-deep in a crisis. After a 3-0 defeat to AC Milan in the semi-finals of the Coppa Italia and a 1-0 loss to Roma, they have now gone four competitive games in a row without a win (1 draw, 3 defeats).
Their form could be better ahead of this important clash. Despite their poor performances in Serie A, Inter have been strong in the Champions League so far and are unbeaten in six games (5 wins, 1 draw).
Their last three away wins in the UCL may give them some confidence going forward, but they haven’t won in Spain in over 20 years (3 draws, 7 defeats). That makes me personally a little pessimistic.
Analysis of odds
“Over 3.5 goals” at 2.42 – This very promising Barcelona Inter Milan betting tip definitely has potential, don’t you think? The match could be a real goal festival, especially if the hosts get going with their attacking power.
“2nd half, more goals” at 1.90 – This tip almost sounds like a must! In Barcelona’s last 6 games, there have always been more goals in the second half.
This clearly indicates that this match will also be more intense and higher-scoring after the break than before the break.
UCL semi-final? A historic review!
Deja vu in the semi-final? See you again! It will be only the second time that Barcelona and Inter have met in the knockout phase of the Champions League, and coincidentally again in the semi-finals!
The first time was in the 2009/10 season, when José Mourinho’s Inter eliminated Barcelona with an unexpected 3-2 aggregate victory. Inter won 3-1 at the Giuseppe Meazza and lost 1-0 at the Camp Nou.
A thrilling rematch that rekindles old rivalries and makes for a nerve-wracking contest is guaranteed!
Barca are a real goal factory at home!
There’s a lot to suggest that Barcelona will bombard Inter with goals, and that’s not just because Inter have been on a bit of a slump recently. If you take a look at the numbers, you can see why the Catalans are a real threat at the moment.
As already mentioned, Barca have not lost a single game at home in this Champions League season (5 wins, 1 draw) and have scored an impressive 21 goals in the process.
Only in the 1999/2000 season did they score more goals at home in a single European season – a whopping 29 in eight games. This offensive power gives rise to the suspicion that they are simply unstoppable in their own stadium.
For a better historical understanding: Under Hansi Flick, Barcelona produced an average of 3.1 goals per game in the top flight – the second-highest figure of all coaches with at least 10 games. That’s a pound!
This offensive power therefore speaks for another goal festival against Inter.
Inter, on the other hand, have a lot to offer defensively and could even equal the record for the most white vests by an Italian team in a single Champions League season (they currently stand at eight, the record is nine) with another clean sheet.
However, even the strong defense of the “Nerazzurri” could have difficulties against Barcelona’s top form.
All in all, it looks like an exciting, high-scoring game in which Barcelona are likely to come out on top.
Meanwhile, Lautaro Martínez is a clear candidate for a goal bet at Inter. The Argentine has always scored in his last five competitive appearances for the Italians.
If he is successful again this time, he will become only the second South American player to score in six consecutive games in the top flight – after Edinson Cavani, who did so between November 2016 and October 2017.
His goal rate for Wednesday is currently around 3.55 and is therefore not from bad parents.
My Barcelona Inter Milan tip:
Inter have been through a lot in recent weeks, and their offense is no longer really rolling.
They will certainly give their all against Barcelona, but if the Catalans produce their usual performance, it will be difficult for the Italians to escape a clear defeat.
The chances of an acceptable result from Italy’s point of view are therefore only good if they can significantly improve their performance compared to the previous Serie A weekend. But I doubt that.
That’s why my Barcelona Inter Milan betting tip is: Win Barca with handicap -1.
