Bayern – Kiel betting tip, AI prediction & odds 01/02/2025

Bundesliga 20th matchday, Saturday, 01/02/2025 at 3:30 pm

The Earth has no new satellite named “Slovan”. A few days ago, the record champions did not catapult the Slovakians, who were clearly inferior in terms of play, into orbit as hoped. The 3-1 win was actually a bit disappointing.

But now the promoted team from Kiel could be shot directly into the stratosphere from the Allianz Arena.

As for the success of my Bayern Kiel tip, I have no doubts! It looks very much as if the storks will get another half-dozen goals from Munich.

If Bayern perform as they did last Wednesday, it will be difficult for KSV to even get into the opposing half of the field with the ball at their feet.

If you doubt that the record champions’ offense will get going, you should take a look at the first-leg duel.

In the Bundesliga’s first half of the season, Bayern Munich beat Holstein Kiel 6-1, with Jamal Musiala scoring the third-fastest Bundesliga goal in FCB’s history after just 14 seconds.

Previously, the two teams met only once in professional football – in the second round of the 2020/21 DFB Cup, when the Störche, as a second division team, were able to win 6-5 on penalties after a 2-2 draw after extra time.

But on the 20th Bundesliga matchday, in my Bayern Kiel prediction, I openly expect that if anyone scores 6 goals again in this fixture, it will undoubtedly be the record champions.

The betting providers’ prediction?

The Bayern Kiel odds of the football betting providers are almost unique. On average, only a 1.04 for a FCB win, that’s almost an insult to every Kiel fan.

And 40.00 for an away win for the northerners? That’s like booking the next flight to the moon.

According to the bookmakers, anything other than a clear home win for Bayern would be a real sensation – possibly even the biggest of the 2024/25 season so far.

KI prediction Bayern vs Kiel: That’s what ChatGPT tips

The Bayern Kiel AI prediction from ChatGPT gave me three suggestions with different risk levels, but in my opinion, they can still be optimized.

For the highest risk, ChatGPT suggests “Kiel scores the first goal,” which I immediately dismissed.

After all, I can’t see much in this tip, because in the Allianz Arena, the promoted team will probably have little to oppose the hosts.

An early goal or even a goal for the storks seems very unlikely to me personally…

The “Over 4.5 goals” bet offers a medium risk. This is a solid tip, especially considering that the record champions have an extremely strong offense under contract.

I therefore expect a large number of goals, but most of them will come from the ranks of Bayern…

According to the AI, the least risky bet is “Both score: No”. I agree with this assessment, as I expect a clear victory for the record champions, in which Kiel will probably not have an opportunity to score.

Analysis: Bayern vs Kiel

Apart from Alphonso Davies’ injury, there is hardly a key player that Bayern currently lacks.

Leon Goretzka was recently suspended against Slovan Bratislava, but could now move back into the starting lineup – in any case, Vincent Kompany can draw from unlimited resources on Saturday.

A word of advice to the Belgian: Harry Kane scored a hat-trick in the 6-1 win over Kiel on matchday 3 and, in my opinion, should definitely be in the starting lineup. But there doesn’t seem to be any doubt about that anyway…

Fans of the northerners are preparing for the worst.

The visitors have taken four points from their first four Bundesliga games of 2025, which is not too bad considering the demanding opening program.

But Kiel are conceding too many goals: 3 against Freiburg, 2 against Dortmund, 3 against Hoffenheim and most recently two more in the 2-2 draw against Wolfsburg.

It is therefore obvious that I strongly expect FCB’s formidable offensive machine to score between 4 and 8 goals against the storks.

Odds Analysis

“Kane scores a hat-trick” at odds of 3.60 sounds tempting. The Englishman will probably get plenty of opportunities in this game – and thanks to his preserved form, he could actually achieve another feat of this kind against the northerners.

“Bayern over 5.5 goals” at 3.80 is also an attractive offer. FCB has shown in the past that they like to score more than five goals in the Allianz Arena. This time too, the offense could really turn on the heat…

Bayern vs. Kiel: Will the offense decide the game?

Kiel? Winning in Munich? You could almost throw your hands up in horror. One look at the statistics and you know why this seems almost impossible: since joining the Bundesliga in 1965, Bayern Munich have won 34 of 36 home games against Bundesliga newcomers.

And those two magical exceptions? A single 1-2 against Fortuna Düsseldorf in 1967 and a 1-1 against Darmstadt in 1978.

Bayern has even won all of its last 21 home games against promoted teams! So if Kiel wants to get anything out of this game, there would have to be a real football miracle.

Will Kane score against Kiel from all positions?

This really looks like a clear-cut game for Bayern! With this superiority in offense and the highly vulnerable defense of the guests, it should be a real rout.

Holstein Kiel certainly has its strengths, but against Bayern, which currently seems almost unbeatable, it will be hard to hold out.

Hold on: Munich’s 58 goals make up the Bundesliga’s strongest offense of the season to date, which now, on Saturday, will face the league’s weakest defense, which has conceded 48 goals.

If that’s not an added incentive for Kane! The man is about to play his 50th Bundesliga game and has already scored 53 goals in his first 49 appearances – that’s really crazy.

Even if, for some reason beyond my comprehension, he doesn’t score in this game, he’s already guaranteed a record that no one in Bundesliga history has ever achieved in their first 50 games.

And to be honest, he’s already shown against Holstein Kiel how to make a real impression with a hat-trick. So I wouldn’t be surprised if he adds a few more goals this time around – Kane is simply in top form!

Meanwhile, you can bet on at least one, two or even three goals from the Englishman on any decent sports betting app.

The Bayern Kiel odds for this are around 1.22, 1.83 and 3.60 at most bookies.

My Bayern Kiel tip:

The Bavarians should not encounter any problems comparable to those against Mainz against the defensively vulnerable visitors from northern Germany.

The promoted team will, as in the first half of the season, put up a brief fight, but will inevitably suffer defeat in the end.

A clear triumph for the record champions, thanks to the energetic support of Harry Kane, seems only a matter of time.

My Bayern Kiel: Win FCB with HC -3.

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