NFL 2024/25: Bills – Jaguars
The Bills started the new season with two wins and are aiming for the next one at home against the Jaguars. Last week, Josh Allen and his team had an unexpectedly easy game in Miami against the Dolphins.
I expect more resistance from the Jacksonville football team. Especially since the guests are already under pressure after two defeats. But the Bills offense is currently unstoppable.
In my Bills Jaguars betting tip, I predict at least one Buffalo touchdown per half. With the help of the bet365 bet configurator, this total odds of 1.55 can be built.
31:10 was the final score between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins last Game Week. The Bills managed an important victory in the AFC East, making them the only franchise to secure two wins.
Allen only had to do the bare minimum, especially in the last two quarters not much happened. Despite an unspectacular second half, the team from the northeast of America ended up with 247 yards.
With a Pick Six, another interception and two early touchdowns, the game was over quite quickly. Especially since the guests’ defense offered only a few opportunities. The bookmakers had predicted a high-scoring game in which both teams would easily break the 25-point mark.
A lack of creativity, bad luck on the catch attempts and, ultimately, a good rushing defense by the Bills made for a bad day for the Dolphins, which ended in shock. Star quarterback Tua Tagovailoa suffered a concussion during a rushing attempt.
In the end, the weak performance did more for the easy win of the Bills, who had to fight much harder against the Cardinals in the first game week.
A narrow 34-28 win with two touchdowns from Allen, who not only scored with his strong passing game, but also with his own runs, gained important first downs, or went straight into the end zone.
Last regular season, he averaged 30 yards per game. The most impressive statistic is that he has scored the second-most rushing touchdowns after Raheem Mostart, with 15 in total. In the postseason, he added three more.
Against Arizona, he was able to celebrate two touchdowns. Meanwhile, there have been five matches at Highmark Stadium with at least one Allen touchdown. Only against the Raiders, Giants and Jets did he fail to score a touchdown.
Nevertheless, the odds for the QB’s touchdown are still very high at 1.85. I definitely see value here. Especially since he doesn’t just see it as a nice statistic, but also because his runs bring versatility into the game.
Another argument in favor of the 1.85 odds: a PI or other flag near the end zone quickly creates the opportunity to incorporate a quarterback sneak at just a few yards or inches. At 6’5” and 235 pounds, he has the ideal measurements.
In terms of win odds, Buffalo is ahead with 1.45, the Jaguars have 2.87 in the Betano app. Neither is profitable and I don’t dare to bet on the hosts’ victory. The defense worked up a sweat against the Cardinals.
The Jaguars may have a 0-2 record, but they covered more yards (13:18) against the Browns (323) than a well-known defense. They even only missed the opening win against the Dolphins by four points. The Jaguars allowed 319 of the 400 passing yards.
In the first away game, the Jaguars allowed Miami to score in both halves. Across the season, the Jaguars have even allowed at least one touchdown in both halves in five consecutive games.
The Bills also managed to win in the direct duel, but ultimately lost to the Trevor Lawrence team. In view of the pressure from the guests and the last encounter, I also think the combo that both teams will score over 1.5 touchdowns is not bad.
The odds for this are 1.52. By comparison, you only get 1.17 for over 3.5 touchdowns without specifying who scores them. As a new customer at Bet365, you can also get a whopping sports betting bonus.
Conclusion and Prediction: The pressure is on the Jaguars, who are aiming for their first win. Last year they were able to record a victory in Buffalo, but overall they had a hard time stopping Allen and Co.
In almost every game at Highmark Stadium, Allen scores a touchdown himself. The odds for that are great, but ultimately I’m going with the Jaguars allowing a touchdown in each half for the sixth straight game.
Incidentally, the Bills have scored in every half of every home game, including the postseason, except for the game against the Giants.
My pick: The Bills will score a touchdown in each half.