Bundesliga matchday 6, Saturday, 05.10.2024 at 15:30
The 2024/25 season of all seasons may be the one in which the Ruhr club, despite a strong final phase, no longer manage to stay above the line after 34 matchdays.
The density of performance in the top flight is extremely high this season and it will not be easy for new coach Peter Zeidler to steer VfL back to safety.
Meanwhile, the bookmakers are expecting a large number of goals on Saturday.
But in my Bochum Wolfsburg betting tip, I personally take the view that there will be less magic in the heart of the Ruhr Valley at the weekend, and much more scoring!
When the Ruhr Valley side meet VfL Wolfsburg, it’s a real “hardship versus misery” duel.
Both teams are fighting for survival in this Bundesliga season, with Bochum having collected the fewest points in the league in the 2024 calendar year with just 18 points and Wolves with 22 points – not counting those promoted and relegated.
The fact that they have already conceded 52 goals in 23 games since the New Year is particularly bitter for the blue-and-whites, which is a clear negative record.
However, I can’t quite bring myself to make a Bochum Wolfsburg betting tip that sees the visitors clearly ahead. The list of absentees for the team from Lower Saxony is really long.
The betting providers’ forecast?
The Bochum Wolfsburg odds are the first step towards a generous sports betting payout. After all, it is important to find out which promising scenario is linked to which odds.
Meanwhile, there is no clear favorite on the betting markets, as there is an average of 3.05 for a blue and white three-pointer, while around 2.20 is offered for a green and white triumph.
KI prediction Bochum vs Wolfsburg: This is what ChatGPT
Here are my personal assessments of the Bochum Wolfsburg AI tips that ChatGPT has spit out on request.
The high-risk bet that Bochum will win by zero is definitely a bold one, but I think the astronomical odds of around 6.20 are at least fair.
If Bochum stabilize defensively and Wolfsburg don’t get going, it could actually work out. But it’s definitely only something for sports betting fans with a high risk appetite.
The medium-risk tip that Mohamed Amoura will score is interesting, as he scored last week, but the odds for another goal on Saturday are simply not high enough for me.
In a game in which both teams will be watching each other, it could be 0-0 for a relatively long time. That’s why I think this bet is rather unattractive.
The Bochum Wolfsburg AI prediction with low risk, both teams scoring a goal, is also questionable for me.
In the end, the odds for this bet are also too low for me to classify it as “safe”. I would rather bet on a defensive game here.
Analysis: Bochum vs Wolfsburg
The season has started poorly for Bochum, but the fans are used to that from their team. They have not won once in their first five league games, just as was the case in the two previous seasons.
They have collected just one point so far this season. The latest shock was the 2:4 defeat against Dortmund, where they were even leading 2:0 at one point! That’s really frustrating, isn’t it?
Coach Peter Zeidler has praised his boys for their performance against the “black and yellows”, but the pressure on the coach, who arrived in the summer, continues to mount.
However, things could also be going better for Wolfsburg. The team from Lower Saxony have only picked up one point in the last three matchdays and have conceded eight goals in the process.
Now it’s time for the “Wolves” to travel to the Ruhrpott and finally improve their away record. At first glance, only three Bundesliga wins on the road in the entire 2024 calendar year looks pretty meagre.
What do you think? Can Bochum finally score again or will Lower Saxony prevail?
Quotenanalyse
At first glance, one could argue that there is some “value” to be gained from the away win odds of 2.20 on average.
However, after a more detailed analysis, I would prefer to be open-minded as far as the outcome of the game is concerned.
At 3.75 and the starting position ahead of this clash, I believe that a draw bet is the much better bet in terms of the potential sports betting payout.
You shouldn’t forget that almost half of Lower Saxony’s squad is injured. Maehle, Majer, Nmecha, Paredes Rogiero and Tomas are just some of the names that are guaranteed to be out.
Wolfsburg are also currently without Baku and Odogu, both of whom are doubtful
Bochum vs Wolfsburg odds: Not a pretty game!
So, looking at the situation, I’d say we can’t exactly expect a goal festival here.
Bochum and Wolfsburg really aren’t known for their ball possession – they’re at the bottom of the league with 40% and 37% respectively.
And hey, if you play the fewest passes, that’s not exactly a sign of offensive soccer either!
With the weakest passing percentage of just 73%, the chances of us seeing an exciting game with lots of goals are pretty slim. My tip? Better bet on “Under 3.5 goals”.
That could really be a smart decision, because with the way these two teams are going at the moment, the game could be more of a midfield battle.
Statistically, there’s more to be said for the visitors!
If anyone has the upper hand here, it’s probably the Wolves – even if I’ll hold back on a bet in view of the situation in the team hospital already mentioned.
Statistically speaking, there is little to suggest that Bochum will be successful. A look at the direct comparison alone is discouraging.
The Ruhr Valley club have only won two of their last ten Bundesliga matches against VfL Wolfsburg since the 2008/09 season (2 draws, 6 defeats).
The overall record does not exactly speak in the Ruhr Valley side’s favor either. Bochum, along with Holstein Kiel, are the only winless team in this Bundesliga season (1 draw, 4 defeats).
And with one point from five games, that is even the second-weakest interim record in the top flight. In 37 first division seasons, Bochum have only had one weaker start – and that was in 2022/23.
The home advantage no longer seems to count for much either. Bochum have won just one of their last eight Bundesliga home games this season, while Wolfsburg have won three of their last six away games under Ralph Hasenhüttl.
However, as I said, I remain skeptical about a win for the visitors! I would rather bet on a fair 1:1 draw.
My Bochum Wolfsburg betting tip:
My Bochum Wolfsburg prediction points to a low-scoring game, which is why my betting tip for you is “Under 3.5 goals”.
Both teams have been rather ineffective this season and there has been a lot of haggling.
With few successful passing sequences and numerous interruptions, it is therefore unlikely that we will see an offensive spectacle here.
Instead, a tough duel could develop in which defensive tactics and fighting spirit take center stage.
My tip: Under 3.5 goals
