Bundesliga, match day 19, Saturday, 01/25/2025 at 3:30 pm
And that’s when the BVB board finally had enough – in the wake of the shock defeat in the premier league, they finally pulled the rip cord during the week and parted ways with Nuri Sahin with immediate effect.
Interim coach Mike Tullberg is to fill in for Sahon for the time being, but of course this is not a permanent solution.
In my Dortmund Bremen tip, I therefore assume that Werder could use this unrest to return to the Weser on Saturday with points.
In my opinion, almost all sports betting providers overestimate Borussia’s chances of remaining flawless for 90 minutes…
Without a real coach and discouraged, Dortmund’s winning streak against Bremen could now come to an end! After all, BVB have only lost one of their last twelve Bundesliga duels against the Hanseatic city, recording seven wins and four draws.
Currently, BVB has even been unbeaten by the “green-whites” for four games now…
Werder got its only point during this period in the last meeting in August 2024, when they were able to finally put an end to a club-owned negative streak of 24 Bundesliga games without a clean slate with a 0-0.
In fact, in my BVB Bremen tip, I expect that, as on matchday 2, there will again be a lack of goals in this prestigious duel.
The betting providers’ prediction?
The Dortmund Werder Bremen odds of the sports betting providers with Apple Pay can only be interpreted in one way: the bookmakers see BVB as having a clear advantage.
An 1.63 for a home win shows that they expect a fairly sovereign affair at the Signal Iduna Park.
However, anyone who thinks that Bremen could pull off an upset is lured in return with a tempting 5.00 for an away win.
KI prediction Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: That’s what ChatGPT tips
Unfortunately, the Dortmund Werder Bremen AI prediction from ChatGPT doesn’t offer much this time that would cause me real euphoria.
There is an assessment of the risky suggestion “Dortmund win with handicap -2” right at the start: highly unrealistic – especially in the current form and without a clear lead on the BVB sidelines.
Medium risk with the tip on “Over 3.5 goals”? Sounds nice, but here too the statistics of the last duels raise doubts – they stayed under this mark four times in a row, and the odds of around 2.10 don’t exactly blow away.
Even the supposedly “safe” AI tip for “both teams to score” hardly inspires any enthusiasm in me. Because the 0-0 in the first leg of the group stage duel rather urges caution in this regard.
So maybe it’s worth keeping an eye on other betting options or even the new Winamax bonus.
Analysis: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
After the separation of Nuri Sahin as Borussia Dortmund’s coach, U-19 coach Mike Tullberg will take care of the professionals for the time being.
The decision was made immediately after the 2-1 defeat in the Champions League group stage to team Bologna, against which Matthias Sammer saw the team in a “physical and mental non-condition”.
Sahin, who has to leave after just over half a year, had missed the sporting goal of the season, which is why a new coach is now being sought.
Tullberg will take over the team in the Bundesliga game against Werder Bremen on Saturday, while prominent names are being discussed as potential successors.
It’s actually annoying, because Dortmund only lost one Bundesliga game at home under Sahin until he was fired.
But it is also true that BVB, after initially winning six in a row at Signal-Iduna-Park, have not won in Bundesliga games three times in a row (2 draws, 1 defeat) and also lost 3-2 to Barcelona in the Champions League.
Bremen had an impressive first half of the season, but last weekend’s 2-0 loss to Augsburg has me wondering.
Losing the first competitive game of 2025 against RB Leipzig (2-4) is one thing, but then drawing 3-3 with Heidenheim despite taking the lead three times?
In any case, SVW must not drop many more points against teams from the lower half of the table – which now includes Dortmund – if it wants to realize its big dream: a return to the European stage.
Odds analysis
In my opinion, the bet on “Under 3.5 goals” at odds of around 1.62 is a solid tip.
Dortmund is currently lacking the momentum to dominate the game with full force, and so a low-scoring game could well develop.
However, betting on Bremen to win at odds of around 5.00 (even higher with odds boosts) is another interesting option.
Bremen has performed really well since the turn of the year, and if the leaderless BVB continues to struggle, the underdog could well pull off a surprise victory here.
Dortmund vs Bremen: Weak start to the new year!
The duel between BVB and Werder Bremen could also be held under the motto “need against misery after New Year” if you only look at the performances in 2025 to assess.
Dortmund is in 17th place with zero points and a goal difference of -5, just ahead of Borussia Mönchengladbach, which also has zero points but a worse goal difference (-7).
Werder Bremen are in 16th place in the annual standings with one point and a goal difference of -4. It is worth noting that this is the first time this season that SVW have gone three games in a row without a win…
So it’s fair to say that both clubs would happily turn back time.
Bremen could spring a surprise on Borussia!
The bookmakers, unlike me, are expecting several goals on Saturday! If you look at the defensive weaknesses of both teams in the first Bundesliga games of 2025, you can’t really disagree.
After all, BVB and Werder have each conceded nine goals in their three games – only SC Freiburg have conceded more goals in this period (10).
It is particularly striking that Dortmund conceded seven of the nine goals in the first half: a league record, followed by Bremen with five goals conceded in the first half.
The dismissal of Nuri Sahin at Borussia Dortmund was certainly no coincidence. With an average of just 1.39 points per Bundesliga game, Sahin was the weakest Dortmund coach since Thomas Doll in the 2007/2008 season.
The numbers speak for themselves and show why the decision to part ways was not unexpected.
Incidentally, the former Real Madrid player would have been only too happy to attend this game. Between 2018 and 2020, Sahin played a total of 36 Bundesliga games for Werder Bremen, of all teams…
Meanwhile, under its new interim coach, BVB will face a team that usually does well away from home.
Werder Bremen have already managed to wring 16 points from their first nine away games this season, which is only surpassed by the two title contenders Bayer Leverkusen (18) and Bayern (20) across the league.
Also interesting: the last time Bremen picked up as many points in their first nine away games was in the 2009/10 season (also 16).
This strong away record suggests that Werder could well get a good result, although a draw in this game seems more realistic than a win.
My Dortmund Bremen tip:
Dortmund is under pressure against Bremen because the question of who to entrust with Borussia in the long term has yet to be resolved.
If the team loses control of the game again, as was the case against Bologna, then another defeat could follow…
Bremen, on the other hand, has been putting in solid performances until recently and could take the opportunity to get some important points themselves.
If not now, when will you bet on a successful Werder game at BVB? An exciting duel awaits you in any case.
My prediction: Double chance X2.