Premier League, Wednesday, 01/01/2025 at 6:30 pm
You are the first pursuer, but still don’t really know whether you can actually win the league title! Liverpool FC are currently unstoppable in the Premier League, and even the Gunners are lagging behind.
On New Year’s Day, the Londoners go on a trip, knowing that they can’t afford any more mistakes. They have the role of favorites with them. Rightly so? I will now examine that in my Brentford Arsenal tip and also tell you why I see both clubs scoring here.
Six points behind with one game less – that’s a remarkable package! Arsenal are coming up from behind with the Reds, so the capital city knows exactly how much they would have to catch up to finally win the title.
First of all, the Gunners only have to concentrate on themselves, of course. After only getting two points against Fulham (1-1) and Everton (0-0), the team has recovered.
First, they secured a 5-1 win against Crystal Palace (a team they also defeated in the EFL Cup), then a narrow 1-0 win was enough to get three points against newly promoted Ipswich – two completely different results.
This is precisely what makes Arsenal so difficult to beat. There are often only a few days between a 1-0 home win against a relegation candidate and a 5-1 away win, especially after a 0-0 draw against Everton, which is hard to explain.
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Arsenal have only managed to win three in a row once before, and that was just before the start of the Advent season. Since the team has now won two games in a row, there is bound to be some fear that they will once again fail to win the treble this time.
It is also a fact that Arsenal have to overcome weaknesses away from home. At home, they have six wins and three draws, but on the road, they have only won four of nine games – along with three draws and two defeats.
For the first time since September, they now have to win two away games in a row – and it has not worked since that day in September to keep a clean sheet away from home.
When we talk about Arsenal, we also have to mention that the club has a really painful loss to cope with. Of all people, Bukayo Saka has been injured and will be out for several weeks.
Against Brentford, the Londoners need every fit man they have, because the next opponent is not that easy to get out of the way. 2:1, 1:0, 1:0, 1:1, the last four duels were anything but clear.
This time, however, the PayPal bookmakers are relatively sure: Arsenal should have no problems on Wednesday. The odds come in at an average of 1.44 to 6.75, leaving little room for speculation.
Brentford is in the middle of the table, in 11th place, the team is somewhere in the middle of the league. Seven wins, three draws, eight defeats, 32:32 goals? There are plenty of opportunities for those willing to take risks!
The Bees last played 0-0 against Brighton – despite the fact that their goal average is 3.6! They have already drawn two goalless draws, but on the other hand, they have scored at least four goals per game eight times.
When we look at the Bees, one thing stands out immediately: away from home (two draws and seven defeats), they have scored just six measly goals.
But when it comes to home games, Brentford are in. With seven wins, one draw and one defeat, only Liverpool are stronger, and no team has scored more than their 26 home goals! After five consecutive home wins, which resulted in an incredible 20-11 goal difference, the team recently lost very surprisingly 0-2 to Nottingham.
It is striking that Brentford have never kept a clean sheet at home, but so far their strong offense has compensated for the mistakes. With Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa, the club naturally also has two top-class strikers who have already scored 19 goals between them.
With key defender Kristoffer Ajer out injured and Ethan Pinnock still out of action, it is all the more important that Mbeumo and Wissa are on form on New Year’s Day.
Can Arsenal get back into a stable form and manage to put pressure on Liverpool? The Gunners do slip up from time to time, and they still have to improve, especially away from home.
A trip to Brentford is not one that anyone likes this season. The Bees have only lost once at home and, with 26 goals, have an incredibly strong offense. But: clean sheets are not a given at the Community Stadium.
So, all in all, I can only come to the conclusion that Wednesday will be anything but boring. That can only mean:
Arsenal and Brentford score!
