Champions League, Tuesday, 11/02/2025 at 6:45 PM
PSG is in really good form and wants to create a good starting position in the first leg against the opponent from their own country. The last defeat was suffered by the capital city team in November last year.
The teams last faced off in the league just ten days ago. The Ligue 1 leaders won comfortably 5-2. Brest will clearly need to secure a good starting position at home.
But they are also likely to concede a goal or two. That’s why I’m going for both teams to score over 2.5 goals at Interwetten.
This will be a really tough task for the pirates. The last bankruptcy was suffered by PSG against Bayern, which was around three months ago. In the new year, the star ensemble was able to extend its lead in the league and up its game in the premier league.
They beat Manchester City 4-2 at home and scored four goals against Stuttgart on the road to secure a 4-1 win and a place in the knockout stage. Even better, PSG’s leap in the table has now even secured them home advantage against Brest for the second leg.
The bookmakers’ forecast
PSG is considered the overwhelming favorite by the bookmakers. Despite the fact that the game is being played away from home, the German betting providers are only offering a 1.38 return.
Brest start at odds of 7.90. In between, a draw is also on the cards, but at 5.10, this is also considered very unlikely. Does the AI also see PSG as the clear favorite?
AI prediction Brest vs. PSG: ChatGPT’s picks
Due to the many wins, the AI still sees the easy PSG success as profitable and suggests the bet as a low-risk option. The clear 5-2 win against Brest, the acquired self-confidence and the well-oiled offense speak for the tip.
We get a slightly higher odds for the “medium risk” and that is that both teams score. For this, a 1.70 is waiting. But since I expect more than two goals, I find the tight 2.00 odds with over 2.5 goals to be much better.
The third variant of the AI is the bet that PSG will win by exactly two goals. The odds are lucrative at 4.20, covering, for example, a 2-0, 3-1 and 4-2. None of these are improbable results.
Ultimately, however, I can also imagine that we will see a closer victory or a goal festival! If you are looking for a bet in the higher range, you should be well equipped with this option.
Analysis: Brest vs. PSG
As already mentioned, the teams played their last game just a few days ago. In the 5-2 away win, my bet, which I am now targeting, would have easily gone through. However, the hosts didn’t even play that badly.
In the end, they had just as many shots on goal, but the winner had the clearly more dangerous opportunities. In the first leg, PSG also dominated and recorded a 3-1 victory. In general, the matchup promises goals when I look at the last results.
Odds Analysis
I think it is very likely that PSG will create a good starting position for the second leg with a win. Because in addition to the clear head-to-head and the guests’ strength in form, Brest will have to make compromises in defense against the dangerous PSG offense.
With Bradley Locko and Jordan Amavi, Brest are missing two players on the wing. Paris, on the other hand, have a full squad to choose from, with the exception of Warren Zaire-Emery. Nevertheless, I am not convinced by a handicap win and a straightforward PSG victory seems too easy for me.
After all, a one-goal lead would be a good result before the upcoming home game against Wiedersehen, and I think Brest can do something here. Besides the goal of both teams, the single Brest goal at 1.64 is a great quote!
In addition to a 0-2 defeat against Angers, the only league defeat in 2025 was the loss to PSG. Brest has won four of their last five Ligue 1 matches, scoring around twice as many goals at home as they have conceded away from home.
Overall, we have seen at least one goal in seven of the last nine matches of the third-placed team in the French top league. However, the men in red naturally cannot match the strong offensive numbers of PSG.
PSG dominates not only in terms of the number of goals, but also of opportunities.
Odds boost for Brest against PSG
The defense, which will also be weakened by injuries, has conceded the fourth-most goals in Ligue 1, almost two on average. Only the teams in the bottom three places (St. Etienne, Le Havre and Montpellier) have conceded more.
The Oddset odds boost for the game could not have come at a better time. We get an increased 2.05 for a half-time/full-time bet PSG/PSG. A good alternative to the standard win odds.
In addition, the traditional betting provider is offering an improved odds for the bet that Ousmane Dembele will score the first goal of the match. Here we are on the edge of the 5.00 mark.
Eleven goals in the two previous competitive matches between Brest and PSG, so we generally have to look at the scorers. The increased Dembele odds for the first goal of the match are even more interesting when we look at the match report from the last game.
The former Dortmund player scored the first goal, scored a hat-trick and a brace that afternoon in the first game. The 1.95 for Dembele’s goal, regardless of the time, is also tempting.
In addition to a main bet on Dembele, two more players from Paris could be taken with a lower stake. Besides Bradley Barcola, I think the 2.65 for newcomer Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is great.
If you prefer something a bit safer, you could go for the Winamax double chance scorer bet that either Dembele or Barcola will score. We get 1.40 for this.
My Brest PSG tip:
Will the first leg between Brest and PSG be a close fight? I don’t think so, but I think the odds offered by the betting providers are exaggerated and I don’t see any value in a PSG win or -1 handicap.
Ultimately, an easy win would also be a good starting point for the upcoming home game. I expect the guests to score several goals.
Since Brest is practically condemned to playing at home and compared to their defense, their attacking play is promising, having scored in each of the last six duels against PSG, I am going for the following combo.
Incidentally, PSG have not kept a clean sheet in their last nine CL/league matches! If you are still looking for a good bonus offer, you should visit the official sports betting partner of the premier league, Bet365, with the code: “VIPANGEBOT”.
My Brest PSG prediction: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals!
