Super Belgium Cup, Saturday, 20.07.2024 at 20:00
The 2024/25 Belgian soccer season kicks off with a cracker that couldn’t be bigger. The two best teams in the country at the moment will battle it out for the prestigious Super Cup next Saturday.
In my Bruges Union St. Gilloise betting tip, I have included various important factors in my considerations that could have a positive influence on a successful soccer bet
Last season, Bruges were already able to prevail against Union St. Gilloise in the battle for the championship.
To make this task easier this season, however, they decided to put the old New York Yankees motto into practice: “If you can’t beat it, buy it”.
In other words: If you can’t beat it, buy it. During the summer break, Bruges invested an astonishing amount of money by Belgian standards.
A few days ago, Gustaf Nilsson of all people moved from rivals Union St. Gilloise to the newly crowned Belgian champions for the impressive sum of 6.4 million.
However, the Swede has yet to play a single test match for his new employers
It is still unclear whether Gustaf Nilsson will make his debut for Bruges in the Super Cup against his old club. However, he is not the only key player of the 2023/24 season who will be sorely missed by Union St. Gilloise.
Mohamed Amoura moved to VfL Wolfsburg, which raises doubts as to whether the “Unionists” will once again play a significant role in this year’s championship race.
Bruges, on the other hand, made three further transfers in July alone, which – in terms of the respective transfer fees – can be compared to the Nilsson transfer. These were Christos Tzolis (Düsseldorf), Ardon Jashari (Lucerne) and Zaid Romero (Estudiantes).
If you look at the transfer activity alone as the basis for a Bruges Union St. Gilloise betting tip, you could therefore argue that it’s already 1-0 or even 2-0 in favor of FCB on Saturday before kick-off, so to speak.
Bruges last won the Belgian Super Cup in 2022 and is the country’s sole record holder with 17 trophies of this kind.
Union St. Gilloise, on the other hand, will have the opportunity to win this prestigious trophy for the first time – after the club “only” finished runners-up last season, but at least lifted the national cup.
Incidentally, if you use a sports betting app that we have put through its paces to get an overview of the Bruges Union St. Gilloise odds, then you should note that there is no neutral venue this weekend.
The match will be played at the Jan Breydel Stadium in front of a crowd of just under 29,000 spectators.
The Bruges odds were therefore set at a “favorite level” of around 2.10, while the sports betting providers were more generous with odds of 2.50 and 2.95 for extra time and a Union St. Gilloise win.
In addition to the 2024/25 transfer campaign, I was particularly impressed by Bruges’ series of test matches, which was characterized by a convincing 4:1 win against AEK Athens and a 1:1 draw against PSV Eindhoven.
However, USG were also successful in terms of preparation, even though no comparable top clubs were invited to test matches with Nijlen (8-0), Patro Eisden (2-2), G.A. Eagles (2-1) and PAOK (2-1).
The 2024 calendar year is only halfway through, but in that time the two top clubs in Belgian soccer have already had four opportunities to test themselves against each other: two in the cup and two in the league.
The results show how difficult it is to pick a clear favorite for the Bruges Union St. Gilloise betting tip in advance.
Bruges won two competitive matches 2:1, while Royale Union won one 2:0, which was also the deciding factor in their progression to the next cup round.
The last meeting in May ended in a fair 2-2 draw …
Overall, especially as the game will be played at the Jan Breydel Stadium in Bruges, I’m leaning towards a straight win for the Belgian champions, who haven’t lost an intra-Belgian duel since March 2024.
Nevertheless, I must mention that the odds for a draw between Bruges and Union St. Gilloise are also tempting at around 3.60.
However, if you do decide to bet on a draw, I would specifically select a result such as 1:1 or 2:2, as four of the last ten head-to-head duels have ended with one of these two results
The fact that the last five head-to-head meetings at the Jan Breydel Stadium have always resulted in goals for both sides is interesting, albeit not meaningful enough to make a specific prediction.
Nevertheless, I maintain my view that due to Brugge’s outstanding preparation for the season and the significant departures on the Union St. Gilloise side, “Blau-Zwart” should narrowly come out on top – possibly with a result of 1-0 or 2-1.
On the other hand, I would be surprised by a clearer result!
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Conclusion: Bruges play at home and have made significant transfers for the 2024/25 season, including the signing of one of the best players from Union St. Gilloise last season.
Bruges have also played more demanding test matches and simply seem to be a tad better prepared for the start of the season.
Union St. Gilloise, on the other hand, has lost some quality on paper compared to the 2023/24 season…
My tip: Brügge wins and less than 4.5 goals are scored
