Chelsea – Tottenham Hotspur betting tip
In the Premier League, the top 3 teams are clearly on course for the Champions League three matchdays before the end of the season. Behind them, however, things are very tight. Aston Villa currently have the best cards in the battle for fourth place.
But Tottenham can also still hope. With a six-point cushion on sixth place, the Lilywhites seem to be in contention for the Europa League. Spurs are currently seven points behind the Villans.
However, Ange Postecoglou’s men still have two catch-up games up their sleeves. The first of these should actually be played on matchday 26. Instead, the club from the north of the capital will travel to the Blues for the derby this Thursday
And Chelsea can still hope for international business despite a poor season. Sixth place is currently six points away. If Manchester City win the FA Cup, sixth place will also be enough for the Europa League.
If Manchester United win the FA Cup, the sixth-placed team will advance to the Conference League. If both teams want to make up ground in the final sprint, they have to score points in the derby.
In my Chelsea vs Tottenham betting tip, I opt for the bet “Double chance 1/x & Over 1.5 goals” at odds of 1.55 with provider Betway
The forecast of the betting providers?
In the PL table, Spurs are four places and twelve points ahead of the Blues. However, the home side naturally have the home advantage and the direct comparison.
The best bookmakers, who naturally also offer their customers the best sports betting apps, have the hosts as slight favorites in the Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction.
The odds for a home win range from 2.15 to 2.22. On the other hand, you can also get odds averaging 2.95 for a three-pointer for the visitors from North London.
If you are a little afraid of the betting risk with such an even starting position, you can help yourself with a sports betting bonus or a free bet
Analysis: Chelsea vs Tottenham
A club with a history and market value like Chelsea has to qualify for international business and the Champions League every season.
However, after a disappointing twelfth place at the end of the last Premier League season, they did not play internationally at Stamford Bridge this year.
Under new coach Mauricio Pochettino, that was supposed to change this year. However, the Blues are having another disappointing season. After the first half of the season, the Londoners were once again only in 12th place.
Things are now going a little better for the Blues in the second half of the season. However, with a 19-point deficit, the first CL place is once again out of reach. A secure European Cup ticket was lost with the defeat in the League Cup final against Liverpool
In addition, Chelsea repeatedly suffered extremely bitter defeats, such as the 5-0 loss at Arsenal on the penultimate matchday. Coach Pochettino has been unable to stabilize the defence in particular.
59 goals conceded in 33 matchdays is a new negative figure for the club since England’s top division was renamed the Premier League in 1992/93.
On the other hand, CFC have recently been quite strong in front of their own fans. Between March and November 2023, the Blues had only managed one home win in the league. Now there have been seven wins in the last nine PL home games (1U, 1N).
Bridge is also traditionally a good place to play in May. The home side have only lost once in their last 23 league games here (12S, 10U).
Analysis of odds
According to the bookmakers, spectators at the London derby can look forward to goals. In the Chelsea vs Tottenham preview, the odds for the bet “Over 2.5 goals” climb to a high of 1.34.
The fact that the Blues have scored 29 goals in their last ten PL home games also fits in with this. A total of 28 goals have also been scored at the Bridge in the last five league games.
When it comes to goalscorers, Chelsea attacker Cole Palmer must be on the scoresheet. The striker is second in the PL scoring charts with 20 goals. If he scores another goal on Thursday, Merkur Bets will offer odds of 2.25.
This bet plays even better if new customers secure the Merkur Bets welcome bonus beforehand. Spurs have scored 43 of 67 goals in half-time 2.
And Chelsea have conceded 37 of 59 goals after the break. If this streak continues, you’ll get odds of 1.85 at Admiralbet for the bet “More goals HZ2”
The Spurs have already secured their European Cup ticket
Tottenham also missed out on international business in the previous season, finishing eighth. They also had to let club legend Harry Kane move to Munich last summer.
New coach Ange Postecoglou was therefore faced with a difficult task. However, Spurs got off to a surprisingly good start. Up until the eleventh matchday, the team from North London was still in second place.
Hotspur FC could not quite maintain this level. But given the difficult circumstances at the start of the 2023/24 season, qualifying for the Europa League should also be considered a success.
Nevertheless, some experts and fans are dissatisfied with the team’s performance to date. Especially after the last two defeats at Newcastle (0:4) and the 2:3 at home against Arsenal, the mood is currently somewhat gloomy again
Morale and offensive power
The coach was unable to turn around two major weaknesses. Only four PL teams have conceded more goals from set pieces than the Lilywhites (14). The xGA value for resting balls is even the third weakest.
Spurs also concede too many goals on the counter-attack. THFC have only won two of their last ten Premier League games away from home (4U, 4N).
However, the team plays attractive attacking soccer and has scored at least one goal in 31 of 33 league games. Morale is also high.
Only Liverpool and Manchester City have collected more points after falling behind than Tottenham (22). In the final spurt, they face Liverpool (A), Burnley (H), Manchester City (H) and Sheffield (A).
Chelsea have lost just one of their last 14 competitive games against Tottenham (10S, 3U). And Spurs have won just one of their last 38 visits to Stamford Bridge (13U, 24N).
Only against Manchester United (39) have THFC conceded more defeats in the Premier League than against the CFC (34). The Blues have won both league derbies against their northern neighbors nine times in one season
The “PL double” only happened more often against Manchester City (10 times). Spurs have also only lost both league games in a season more often against Manchester United (10) than against the Blues.
The first leg at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium was a clear 4-1 win for the visitors. The home side took the lead after just six minutes. Two goals were scored in stoppage time (90+4 and 90+7)
My Chelsea Tottenham tip:
It’s not easy to predict the result of this London derby. Both teams have been extremely inconsistent so far this season. First and foremost, you can expect goals here.
The visitors are desperate to score again after two defeats in a row. However, more than one point is unlikely to be possible in the end. On the one hand, this has to do with Chelsea’s good home record and the visitors’ poor away form.
In addition, the Blues are an absolute fear opponent for Spurs. My Chelsea Tottenham prediction is therefore: Double chance 1X & Over 1.5 goals!
