World Cup Qualifiers, Tuesday, 10.09.2024 at 23:00
Six go straight through, the seventh goes into the play-offs – the rules in the South American World Cup qualifiers are clear! Five games are still open, and one or two nations still have a lot of catching up to do!
In my Chile Bolivia betting tip, I’m looking at two teams that are below the line and therefore under pressure. Who will come out on top on Saturday? I predict a close race and therefore prefer the 2:0 handicap for the visitors, which has odds of 1.90 at NEObet.
An unsuccessful Copa America and a missed World Cup on top of that? Chile would hate to see that! Unfortunately, one event has already happened and can no longer be prevented.
0:0 against Peru and Canada, plus a 0:1 against Argentina, with no goal threat whatsoever, it was already over after the preliminary round. Several weeks have passed since then and the Chileans know that they have to move on: The disaster must be put behind them
Last year, they won just one of their six qualifying matches, and apart from the 2-0 win against Peru, there was really nothing to celebrate. 1:3 against Uruguay, 0:1 against Ecuador, 0:3 against Venezuela, 0:0 against Paraguay and Colombia? Offensively, that was nothing!
How did the start to the “return” of qualifying go? Anything but positive! They lost 3-0 to Argentina, so everything remains the same. Admittedly, Chile also had a lot of bad luck here, as they conceded the last two goals shortly before the end
And yet, the attack doesn’t seem to be getting back on track. Three goals in seven matches is worrying and let me have a look at Winamax to see what odds you would get for the goalless bet.
The value jumps up to 7.00! And that’s despite the fact that the most recent direct duel ended fittingly with a 0:0, so the bet would have been correct here
The Chileans have only lost once to Bolivia since 2000, but that defeat also came in World Cup qualifying, then as perhaps now in the month of September!
3:2, 1:0, 2:1? The past three victories have all been very close, which also underlines why I have set a handicap of the underdog for Tuesday and thus contradict the bookmakers a little
1.25 to 11.0 on average, everyone agrees that the Bolivians shouldn’t really have a chance. Yet they are actually ahead of their upcoming opponents in the current qualifying table and have at least two wins to their name.
A 2-0 win against Peru was the exception in 2023, while the other five games were lost with a total of 14 goals conceded. Not a particularly good result, but things didn’t go the same way in 2024
The home game against Venezuela was a brilliant 4:0, and the fans couldn’t stop celebrating. Even the boldest optimists would not have thought this result possible.
Why? Partly because Bolivia played a completely unsuccessful Copa America. 0:2 against the USA, 0:5 against Uruguay and 1:3 against Panama – offensively and defensively, there was really no reason for praise at all
In general, the games are much higher-scoring than the competition from Chile, but that is primarily due to the fact that goals are conceded en masse. The nation has conceded nine times in 2024, six of which were more than 2.5 goals.
With 14 goals conceded, the Bolivians also have the worst defense in World Cup qualifying, conceding exactly twice per game on average. But: Eight goals of their own are significantly more than the Chileans’ three
The Chilean national team has had a World Cup qualifying campaign to forget so far – and the Copa America has gone the same way! The race to catch up should start as soon as possible.
Many assume that Bolivia will be a grateful opponent for this very endeavor. But: Based on my analysis, I think the odds are a little too optimistic. Not only because the last direct duels have been very close.
Chile are very harmless offensively, so Bolivia definitely have a chance of scoring here. And that’s exactly why I don’t think the favorites will pull away here and I’m betting on it:
A 2:0 handicap is enough for Bolivia to “win”
