World Cup Qualifiers, Tuesday, 10.09.2024 at 22:30
The reigning world champions celebrated the title less than ten months ago and already have to get back to work to secure qualification for the next intercontinental tournament!
On Tuesday, the Gauchos play an opponent who made life difficult for them in the Copa America. And lo and behold: the odds are almost identical! In my Colombia Argentina betting tip, I’ll tell you why exactly this guarantees a close match and why I would bet on the “Double chance X2” at under 3.5 goals!
Four of the last six duels were without a winner, twice extra time or penalty shoot-outs were required and we have almost identical odds for the current match? That’s how close it is between Colombia and Argentina!
Just a few weeks ago, the Gauchos won the Copa America final by the narrow margin of 1-0 after extra time – three years earlier, they triumphed in the semi-finals after extra time
The fact that they have only lost one of their last 13 games certainly suggests that Argentina will be picking up points this Tuesday. What’s more, the 2022 world champions are in pretty good form anyway.
With six wins and one defeat, they are top of the table and have already built up a four-point lead over second-placed Uruguay. They only lost to this very team last November
This defeat was also unusual because the other five games in the qualifiers this year were always played to nil. Three times the scoreboard read 1:0, which was long considered the favorite result.
A few days ago, the qualifiers picked up speed again and suddenly the Argentinians were in really good form offensively! They beat Chile 3:0, but the last two goals were scored very late, the third only in injury time
The score was still 0-0 at half-time, but individual quality can of course strike regardless of the two halves. In any case, the world No. 1 is doing exactly what is expected of them in 2024: winning and winning and winning!
They reached the knockout stages of the Copa with two 2-0 and one 1-0 win, knocking out Ecuador and Canada before the aforementioned 1-0 win over Colombia in the final
Goals against in the entire tournament? Just one, and that came against Ecuador in stoppage time. So you might think that Argentina would be the heavy favorites against Colombia on Tuesday evening.
But that’s not quite the case, because the bookmakers are very divided on who is ahead. In some places, the odds are identical, with an average of 2.70 for both teams in the Oddset app
The Colombians know very well that they have regularly had their rivals on the brink of defeat in recent years, but have almost never managed to come out on top.
They are the only team in South American World Cup qualifying that is still unbeaten, and yet they are already four points behind the leaders. How is that possible? Quite simply, through many draws.
Colombia have won three times, but have already drawn four times. They started the second half of qualifying with a 1-1 draw against Peru, but were unable to make the most of their superiority on the pitch
The Cafeteros played a very strong Copa, beating Uruguay and earning a draw against Brazil. The only blemish on their record was the 1-0 defeat to Argentina in the final, although it was of course all the more annoying.
And yet, since the defeat was only decided after extra time, the Colombians have not lost a single match in 2024, whether in qualifying, the Copa America or rather unimportant friendlies
It’s been incredibly close between Argentina and Colombia for years! Not only did one goal decide the winner at the last Copa, but the fact that both are still unbeaten in 2024 naturally makes predictions more difficult.
The Colombians are conceding a little too much in draws, while the Gauchos are more efficient overall. That’s why I would go for the “double chance X2”.
Defensively, there’s really nothing to criticize on the Argentinian side. However, since the home side can also defend well and the recent duels have not been so high-scoring, I would recommend the following tip:
Argentina will score a maximum of three goals
