Colombia Paraguay betting tip
Coffee vs Tereré in the Copa America! Colombia face Paraguay. In a tough group with Brazil and Costa Rica, neither side can afford to slip up.
Similar to the EURO 2024 in Germany, the field of participants in this tournament is top-class in some groups.
The Cafeteros certainly have the slightly better starting position. The golden generation of Falcao, Guarin and co. has now been replaced by other up-and-coming players
Powered by Luis Diaz, the Colombians want to pick up where they left off last time out. Preparation for the tournament went smoothly.
The situation is different for the Albirroja. They have not covered themselves in glory in the run-up to the Copa America. Even the 1:0 win over Panama didn’t disguise that.
Therefore, my Colombia Paraguay betting tip assumes a clear advantage for the Tricolor. There could also be a few goals
The prediction of the bookmakers?
Opening matches are always a way of determining where you stand. That’s why some teams don’t want to take too many risks to avoid defeat.
According to the bookmakers at Sunmaker, the Cafeteros can go into the game with a broad chest. In the Colombia Paraguay odds, they are the clear favorites.
The Albirroja, on the other hand, will have to be content with the underdog role. In the double chance betting, the forecast for a draw or win is around 2.00.
Analysis: Colombia vs Paraguay
A draw would certainly be a success for coach Daniel Granero’s side. After all, their current form curve is clearly pointing downwards.
In the seven games he has been in charge since the end of September 2023, there have only been two wins. These came against soccer dwarfs Bolivia (1:0) and Panama (1:0).
Otherwise, there were three defeats and two draws. At the same time, the team only scored two measly goals during this phase
The Tricolor’s recent offensive performance has been completely different. They have scored at least three goals in four of their last five international matches.
Among other things, they did the same in March against the surprise European Championship team Romania (3:2).
Quota analysis
So everything is in place for the Cafeteros to set off fireworks again. However, very few bookmakers are optimistic about this.
At Bet365 sports betting you will find odds of around 2.20 for your Colombia Paraguay bet if more than three goals are scored in this match. Where does the pessimism come from?
In six of Colombia’s last ten games, more than 2.5 goals have been scored. In three of the last five alone, it was over 4.5 goals!
This is undoubtedly due to the Albirroja’s sometimes staid style of play. In their last ten international matches, they have scored less than 1.5 goals eight times.
Neither side has scored since March 2023. The odds are correspondingly high if it does happen
Colombia with a lightning start again?
Colombia’s offense is undoubtedly the showpiece of this tournament. And they will need it in this tight group.
However, it is possible that a win could see them make things clear early on in this Group D. After all, they continue against Costa Rica on Saturday before facing Brazil on the final matchday.
Early decisions have been a feature of coach Nestor Lorenzo’s side anyway. They have scored at least twice before the break in each of their last three games.
If the Cafeteros score over 1.5 goals in the first half again, you will find odds of around 3.90.
for your Colombia Paraguay tip at NEObet Sports Betting.
Little is going right for Paraguay
In view of the field of participants and the fixture list at this Copa America 2024, it would not be surprising if the Albirroja go home in last place in their group.
They have won just three of their last 14 international matches. But the offense is certainly the biggest problem.
Paraguay have failed to score ten times in this phase! They have only scored six goals in total since then.
In the absence of a real striker, it is not surprising that it was the right-back Velazquez who scored the winning goal against Panama
So it will be difficult for the Albirroja to get anything at all. Especially as the Cafeteros have not only won each of their last eight international matches, including against Spain.
They have also been unbeaten since the beginning of February 2022, winning 18 and drawing five.
In the head-to-head between Colombia and Paraguay, the pendulum is also swinging heavily in the Tricolor’s favor. They have won each of the last two Copas alone.
In all competitions, the Colombians have won eight of their last eleven matches, with the Paraguayans winning just once
My tip:
But as the saying goes: hope dies last. In the case of Albirroja, however, I’m not so hopeful.
Although they can always ensure close games, this is at the expense of their own offense, which is almost non-existent. That won’t be enough against the in-form Colombians.
Therefore, my Colombia Paraguay betting tip is: The Cafeteros win and over 1.5 goals are scored!
