Europa Conference League round of 16, first leg, Thursday, 06/03/2025 at 18:45
Six games, six wins – that’s what you call a clear march! Chelsea FC have shown their best side in our UEFA Conference League tips, not conceding a single point. It’s logical that the Blues are also favored in my FC Copenhagen FC Chelsea betting tip.
In this respect, I can tell you without beating about the bush: I am betting on a victory for the favorites here. The successes that the Londoners have achieved on the international stage have all been quite clear. Incidentally, I found a top win rate at Betano, where your value increases to 1.72.
Copenhagen somehow made it into this round of 16. They won twice during the group stage, and then made it through to the round of 16 after extra time against Heidenheim.
Now, as we all know, Heidenheim are bottom of the Bundesliga, so Chelsea are a completely different kettle of fish. The FCK are still fighting for the national championship title, so they may have to prioritize which is more important.
In any case, in my opinion, the guests from London are not a benchmark and, as long as they take the game seriously, are much too strong. However, since Chelsea did not give up any points in the preliminary round and all victories had a good lead, I do not assume that the game will be taken lightly.
The bookmakers’ forecast
In fact, the victory bet pays off if you have Chelsea on your radar! Not a given after six wins in the preliminary round, but the odds are definitely profitable with an average of 1.70.
If you prefer to bet on FC Copenhagen, however, you can expect odds of 4.85. These are still reasonable because the Danes are playing at home. However… even against Heidenheim, there was a home defeat recently!
The visitors would not be particularly satisfied with a draw, of course, but they could still make up for it in the second leg. A 3.75 can be seen for the draw, so it is not ruled out even by the tax-free bookmakers.
AI Prediction FC Copenhagen vs FC Chelsea: That’s what ChatGPT tips
Does it make sense to ask ChatGPT about this game? The AI-generated tips don’t always convince me, but for the game between Copenhagen and Chelsea, the betting suggestions are at least interesting.
If you want to take a relatively high risk, say: Chelsea will win both halves! Since the Blues were already ahead in five of their six group-stage games and the aforementioned bet would have been correct four times, I could definitely imagine this tip.
You’re taking a medium risk with the bet “Over 1.5 goals Copenhagen” – and I definitely don’t agree with it! Chelsea conceded five goals in the group stage, while Copenhagen scored eight. No, this risk is not worth taking in my opinion.
There is also an AI recommendation for the assumption that Chelsea will score the first goal of the game. The Londoners never fell behind this international season, not even in the qualifiers. So it’s clear: I’m in favor of placing this bet.
Analysis: FC Copenhagen vs FC Chelsea
How much does Chelsea FC want to play in the Conference League? Big names always have a much harder time in the “least important” European competition than expected, because motivation is always an issue.
With Ghent, Panathinaikos Athens, FC Noah, Heidenheim, Astana and the Shamrock Rovers, the Blues definitely didn’t get the toughest group, and they managed to deliver a commanding performance in all six matches.
4:2 against Ghent, 4:1 against Athens, 8:0 against Noah, 2:0 against Heidenheim, 3:1 against Astana and 5:1 against the Shamrock Rovers, there was nothing to complain about. All the games had a handicap of at least -1.
So you can place the HC bet in the Merkur Bets app, which would get odds of 2.70. Whether Chelsea played at home or away didn’t matter much.
Odds analysis
I definitely think Chelsea are strong enough to make it clear early on who is in the lead here. Therefore, I can imagine a halftime lead, the odds make it to a 2.25.
In six FC Copenhagen games, exactly one goal has been scored before half-time. In this respect, I would send the 0:1 result bet into the race, which achieves odds of 3.75 at Betano. In addition, you can look forward to a very lucrative bonus here.
Of course, a “correct” score bet is also a good idea. Here I have a 0-2 in mind. Copenhagen does not convince me offensively, Chelsea has already collected three wins with two-goal leads. The corresponding odds will get you 10.25.
FC Copenhagen vs. FC Chelsea: Will the Blues have everything under control again?
15 goals in the first half, 11 in the second half, I can hardly see any weakness here either. Well, in the Premier League, things are actually going much worse for the Blues than in Europe.
Only three of the last eleven games ended with three points, and they have not been successful away from home since the beginning of December. Of course, the opponents in the league are much more demanding, so I wouldn’t read too much into that.
In the Conference League, Chelsea can use the entire offensive range of the squad. Marc Guiu has six goals, Christopher Nkunku has five, and ten different players have already scored.
However, there is a question mark over Guiu for Thursday, as he is suffering from thigh problems. The quality of the team should of course be high enough to still beat Copenhagen.
Copenhagen with luck!
The last time the two clubs met was in 2011, when they played each other in the last 16 of the Champions League. 0-0 and 2-0, Chelsea only just got the job done to advance. There were four duels in total, with the Londoners only conceding one goal.
For Copenhagen, reaching the last sixteen is an achievement that could not necessarily be taken for granted. The group stage was more than bumpy, with the yield of two wins, two draws and two defeats somehow lifting them into the playoffs.
1-2 against Jagiellonia, 1-1 against Betis, 2-2 against Basaksehir, 2-1 against Dinamo Minsk, 2-0 against Hearts, 0-3 against Rapid – so their own fans are now wondering how they are supposed to stand up to Chelsea after these performances.
In the play-offs, Copenhagen lost the home game against Heidenheim 1-2, despite taking the lead. Nevertheless, the second game saw the required improvement in performance, with the Danes winning 3-1 in extra time.
I don’t necessarily see home advantage on Thursday, because Copenhagen have only won one of four home games. They managed to do so in the 2-0 win over Hearts, but that opponent is definitely not on a par with Chelsea.
By the way, last Sunday FCK made a mistake in the Danish league, only drawing 0-0 against Aalborg. Now they are only one point ahead of Midtjylland, so they can’t focus exclusively on Europe!
Incidentally, only one game, the one against Hearts, did not produce any goals before half-time. Only one goal was conceded in the four home games in the first half, but after a 15-minute break, the opponents scored five times in their own goal.
My FC Copenhagen FC Chelsea Tip:
Will Chelsea have everything under control for the seventh time? The Blues definitely convinced me in the group stage, because while other big names often don’t take the Conference League seriously, there were six comfortable victories here.
Copenhagen, on the other hand, only just made it into the playoffs, where they only just avoided being knocked out by Hoffenheim, the bottom team in the Bundesliga. Who is the favorite and who is the underdog here? Unnecessary question!
That’s why I’m taking the classic approach and once again picking a straight win bet. Copenhagen just seems too weak to really annoy the Londoners. My tip is therefore:
Chelsea win in Copenhagen!
