Conference League round of 16, first leg, Thursday, 06/03/2025 at 6:45 PM
The Greek hosts will certainly do everything they can to take advantage of their home field advantage in the UECL round of 16 first leg. In recent weeks, the “green and whites” have repeatedly demonstrated their home strength and will therefore go into this game with a lot of self-confidence.
On the other hand, Fiorentina has its qualities, but after their recent results and injuries, it could be difficult for the Italians.
A promising Panathinaikos Athens Fiorentina tip could therefore be based on the home strength of the Greeks, especially with betting providers without tax.
Panathinaikos Athens have been playing impressively of late, and that has to be given credit. Since losing 4-1 to Chelsea in the UEFA Europa Conference League at the end of October, the team from Athens have not lost a home game.
They are currently an absolute force in their home stadium, and this is reflected not least in their recent winning streak of five matches in all competitions!
For Panathinaikos, it is now a matter of capitalizing on this strong home form and creating a good basis in the first leg against the “Viola” in order to reach the quarter-finals of the Conference League.
Otherwise, it will be difficult to turn around a possible deficit away at Fiorentina!
On the other side, Fiorentina have been struggling in recent weeks.
Their offensive output is currently worrying – a 0-2 loss to Como and a 0-1 loss to Verona are results that a team that wants to make a mark in Europe cannot afford.
They did manage a laborious 1-0 win over Lecce at the weekend, but it wasn’t the kind of football befitting a Conference League favorite.
It almost seems as if the “Viola” lack the last punch to win consistently, and that will be difficult to cope with against an opponent as strong as Panathinaikos.
For Fiorentina, the clash against Panathinaikos comes at the worst possible time. Their away weakness this season, especially in the Conference League, is unmistakable.
Of their last four international away games, they have only won one, and their opponents were anything but unbeatable. After all, APOEL, Vitoria Guimaraes and Puskas Academy are not teams that a UECL co-favorite should have lost to.
In addition, there are the absences of key players like Folorunsho and Kean, who are currently significantly weakening Coach Palladino’s game.
The visitors’ current form does not bode well for the home side, especially when you look at the Panathinaikos Athens Fiorentina odds, which favor the visitors only slightly.
The bookies’ confidence in the two-time UECL finalist was significantly greater before.
I like the offer in the Merkur Bets app at odds of around 2.87, according to which “Panathinaikos will advance”
Great odds, although it is clear that they will inevitably have to win the first leg, otherwise it will be difficult to turn around a deficit in the cradle of the Renaissance. Nevertheless, I think that’s a perfectly realistic scenario!
Another great offer is the Panathinaikos Athens Fiorentina tip of the kind “Next goal: Panathinaikos” at a handsome rate of about 2.15.
Florence is simply beaten, while the motivated Greeks could seize the initiative right from the kick-off.
Especially since they know how important it is to play to their home advantage if they really want to reach the quarter-finals.
I also consider the selection “Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals” to be extremely interesting at odds of around 2.72.
If the Greeks really give their all, a 2-1 victory should be well within the realms of possibility on Thursday – and that would automatically fulfill the above condition.
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Conclusion: All in all, Panathinaikos are in very strong form, especially at home, and will go into this tie with great confidence.
They have shown on numerous occasions that they can handle pressure and are determined to gain an advantage for the second leg.
Fiorentina, on the other hand, are struggling with form and personnel shortages. It will be a tough task for the Viola, who will have to prove themselves in Athens if they want to remain a serious contender for the Conference League quarter-finals.
My Panathinaikos Athens Fiorentina prediction: Double chance 1X.
