Darmstadt – St. Pauli Tip 2nd League, 9th matchday on Friday, 23.10.26 at 18:30
Two games, two goals and a header against the post in Hannover: Abdoulie Ceesay has been running really hot for Hamburg since the international break. My Darmstadt St. Pauli tip on Friday evening is therefore about exactly this man.
Abdoulie Ceesay scores at odds of 2.65 is my choice for the floodlit game at the Böllenfalltor. Four goals in just six second division appearances speak for themselves, especially since the 22-year-old recently scored in both the 2-0 win against Karlsruhe and the 1-1 draw in Hannover.
The opponent also fits into the concept: The Lilies are in the penultimate place and have already conceded 18 goals in eight games. A defence that scares little of an in-form striker!
Darmstadt vs. St. Pauli AI Predictions:
Around my main tip, our Darmstadt St. Pauli AI forecast has thrown out two more ideas that round off the appearance excellently. Both aim in the same direction as the Gambian’s hit.
First of all, there is draw-no-bet: St. Pauli at odds of 1.62. Hamburg have only had to admit defeat once in eight games, while the hosts have lost five of their eight games and most recently went down 4-0 in Karlsruhe.
I find Darmstadt even more exciting under 1.5 goals at 1.57, for which the free bet is also a good idea. Eight goals of their own in eight games is the weakest value in the league – offensively, there is currently little to be gained from the Lilies.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Darmstadt |
Draw |
Victory St. Pauli |
| 50% |
26% |
24% |
The course of the game should suit the guests. Florian Kohfeldt has to deliver in front of his own crowd, so his team will not be able to stonewall exclusively – and as soon as spaces open up, the neighbourhood club is dangerous in transition.
For me, this results in the selection St. Pauli Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.91, which you can also play with free bets at many providers.
If Darmstadt falls behind, the team will inevitably have to risk more. It is precisely this scenario that plays into the hands of Ceesay, who works equally well as a noble joker and enforcer and has recently scored his goals in very different phases of the game.
This is what you have to consider when betting on Darmstadt vs. St. Pauli
- Tabular descent of the Lilies: Darmstadt is in the penultimate place after eight matchdays with seven points and a goal difference of 8:18.
- No way through in the offensive: The hosts lost five of their eight league games, most recently with a 4-0 defeat at Karlsruher SC.
- Draw kings from the neighborhood: St. Pauli have only suffered one defeat, but have already drawn five times and are in seventh place with eleven points.
- The man of the hour: Abdoulie Ceesay scored in both the 2-0 win against Karlsruhe and the 1-1 draw in Hannover and has three goals in five appearances.
- Historical advantage for Darmstadt: In 23 direct duels, the Lilies won twelve times, St. Pauli seven times, and the game ended in a draw four times.



