Conference League Round of 16 Second Leg, Thursday 13/03/2025 at 18:45
The UECL round of 16 second leg between Djurgården and Pafos promises to be a thrilling encounter! After losing 1-0 in the first leg, the Swedes are under pressure, but with their home strength behind them, they still want to turn the tide of the game.
Meanwhile, there are some interesting options for your Djurgården Pafos betting tip at the best betting providers, because momentum often causes upsets in knockout duels.
The “Blåränder” are under pressure, because after the 0-1 defeat in Cyprus, they have to deliver in the second leg to reach the European quarter-finals for the first time since 1955/56.
However, their current form is worrying: the Swedish club has not won in three games (1 draw, 2 defeats), a dry spell that Djurgården last experienced in October 2020.
At least the home record speaks for the hosts, as they have won five of their six European matches this season.
Nevertheless, there is one weak point: in their last nine home games, the club has only kept a clean sheet once.
Since eight of those encounters ended in goals from both sides, it could be a high-scoring game again – especially since the home side have a goal to catch.
While the Swedes are particularly challenged offensively, the Cypriot team is counting on defensive stability. The “Blues” have kept a clean sheet in their last two competitive games and are therefore traveling to Sweden with a lot of momentum.
Nevertheless, their away record remains a problem: in the current Conference League season, Pafos have only managed one away win (1 win, 2 draws, 4 defeats) – and that was against Petrocub Hîncești, who finished bottom of the league phase.
These figures show that Juan Carlos Carcedo’s team often struggle away from home. The visitors will try to stop Djurgården’s forward play with a compact defense and rely on quick transitions.
A goalless start is not out of the question, as three of the islanders’ last four games have ended 0-0 at half-time. This weekend, Pafos also failed to score in their domestic league, reducing their lead at the top of the table to just one point.
But in the final phase, the team repeatedly shows its quality: in the last seven Conference League games, it always scored after the 60th minute. Especially in a close knockout game, this could be a decisive factor.
Djurgården must therefore be careful not to maneuver itself into a dangerous situation if it does not get a grip on the game early on.
All in all, you can expect an intense duel here, in which Djurgården has the better cards if they can reach their usual home level. The guests from Cyprus, on the other hand, will try to frustrate the Swedes with their defensive compactness and patience.
A quick goal from the Blåränder could set the course in their direction, but the longer it is 0-0, the greater the chances of the guests scoring a late goal to cause another upset.
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A bet on no goal in the first 15 minutes at odds of around 1.35 can be worthwhile here! In none of the previous Conference League matches of Djurgården did an early goal fall – a clear trend. Especially in knockout games, the match often starts cautiously, without much risk.
This bet offers a solid probability, combined with a manageable odds category: small but nice!
A bet on Keita Kosugi as the last scorer at odds of 26.0 could prove to be an insider tip!
The 18-year-old scored in two of the last three games only in injury time – a clear indication of his role as a joker with a nose for goals in the final phase.
Especially when Djurgården puts on late pressure, he can become the decisive factor again. The high odds make this bet particularly attractive on any sports betting app.
In the second leg between Djurgården and Pafos, the Swedes may have the decisive home advantage. The 1-0 deficit from the first leg is a burden, but Djurgården have shown strong home form this season.
With their quality and the fans behind them, I believe the Scandinavians can make a comeback and advance to the quarter-finals of the UECL.
My prediction: Djurgarden qualifies
